The Week 18 NFL betting slate features a Saturday night winner take all game for the AFC South title between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans. Jacksonville stormed back into the playoff picture with an impressive second half of the season, earning a home game in Week 18 where a win would earn them the division and a place in the postseason. Here, we put together a Titans vs Jaguars parlay for this contest.
On the other side, the Titans had a nightmare of a second half of the season and are at risk of blowing the division. Without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill, oddsmakers aren’t giving the Titans much of a shot as they are +6.5 underdogs to the Jags.
With both teams playing for all the marbles, this is a Week 18 game perfect for prop bettors as the risk of uncertainty of how teams with nothing to play for will perform isn’t a factor. Here are three of our best bets for this winner take all showdown in a NFL Week 18 Same Game Parlay preview.
| Pick 1 | Titans +6.5 (-110) |
| Pick 2 | Derrick Henry Over 90.5 Rushing Yards (-115) |
| Pick 3 | Joshua Dobbs Over 186.5 Passing Yards (+100) |
| Titans vs Jaguars Parlay Odds | +400 (Bet $20 to win $80) |
NFL
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Passing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 139 | CMP | 197 |
| 220 | ATT | 280 |
| 63.2 | CMP% | 70.4 |
| 161.9 | YDS/GM | 271.1 |
| 5.8 | Y/A | 8.1 |
| 4.7 | NY/A | 7.3 |
| 10 | INT | 2 |
| 20 | SK | 17 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Passing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 117 | CMP | 158 |
| 190 | ATT | 252 |
| 61.6 | CMP% | 62.7 |
| 151.6 | YDS/GM | 213.8 |
| 6.2 | Y/A | 7.4 |
| 5.2 | NY/A | 6.3 |
| 1 | INT | 4 |
| 14 | SK | 18 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Rushing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | G | 8 |
| 189 | ATT | 212 |
| 838 | YDS | 888 |
| 119.7 | Y/G | 111.0 |
| 4.4 | Y/A | 4.2 |
| 6 | TD | 9 |
| 0.9 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Rushing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | G | 8 |
| 185 | ATT | 193 |
| 797 | YDS | 961 |
| 113.9 | Y/G | 120.1 |
| 4.3 | Y/A | 5.0 |
| 7 | TD | 7 |
| 1 | TD/G | 0.9 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Special Teams | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Punts/Ret | 14 |
| 172 | Punt/Yds | 130 |
| 8.2 | Punt/Y/R | 9.3 |
| 14 | Kick Off/Ret | 4 |
| 368 | Kick Off/Yds | 115 |
| 26.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 28.8 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Special Teams | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Punts/Ret | 12 |
| 454 | Punt/Yds | 221 |
| 18.2 | Punt/Y/R | 18.4 |
| 7 | Kick Off/Ret | 14 |
| 250 | Kick Off/Yds | 347 |
| 35.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 24.8 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Scoring | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | G | 8 |
| 6 | RshTD | 9 |
| 7 | RecTD | 17 |
| 9 | FGM | 14 |
| 9 | FGA | 16 |
| 17.1 | Pts/G | 28.0 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Scoring | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | G | 8 |
| 7 | RshTD | 7 |
| 11 | RecTD | 11 |
| 14 | FGM | 13 |
| 14 | FGA | 14 |
| 28.0 | Pts/G | 21.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
| TEN | Defense | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3% | Bltz% | 14.9% |
| 4.7% | Hrry% | 6.0% |
| 6.3% | QB Hit% | 6.8% |
| 16.8% | QB Prss% | 17.5% |
Injuries
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Moore | S | Ankle | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Andrew Adams | SS | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Ben Jones | C | Concussion | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Bud Dupree | OLB | Pectoral | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Caleb Farley | CB | Back | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Chance Campbell | LB | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Chris Jackson | DB | Undisclosed | Out | 01/07/23 |
| C.J. Board | WR | Rib | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Cody Hollister | WR | Neck | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Da'Shawn Hand | DE | Quad | Out | 01/07/23 |
| David Long Jr. | LB | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Davontae Harris | DB | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Dillon Radunz | OL | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | RB | Neck | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Elijah Molden | CB | Groin | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Harold Landry III | OLB | Knee (acl) | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jamarco Jones | OL | Triceps | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Kyle Philips | WR | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Mike Brown | DB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Naquan Jones | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Nate Davis | G | Ankle | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Ryan Tannehill | QB | Ankle | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Taylor Lewan | OT | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Terrance Mitchell | CB | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Trenton Cannon | RB | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Zach Cunningham | LB | Elbow | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jeffery Simmons | DT | Ankle | Questionable | 01/05/23 |
| Tarell Basham | DE | Back | Questionable | 01/05/23 |
| Amani Hooker | FS | Knee | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Denico Autry | DL | Biceps | Probable | 01/04/23 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | Hip | Probable | 01/04/23 |
| Dylan Cole | LB | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Josh Thompson | CB | Concussion | Probable | 01/04/23 |
| Kristian Fulton | CB | Groin | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Nicholas Petit-Frere | OL | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Treylon Burks | WR | Groin | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Bartch | G | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | Suspended | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Cam Robinson | OL | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Dawuane Smoot | DL | Achilles | Out | 01/07/23 |
| De'Shaan Dixon | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Gregory Junior | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jeremiah Ledbetter | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jordan Smith | DE | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Kendric Pryor | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Montaric Brown | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Shaquill Griffin | CB | Back | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Andrew Wingard | S | Shoulder | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Brandon Scherff | G | Abdomen/ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Folorunso Fatukasi | DL | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Rayshawn Jenkins | S | Shoulder | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Ross Matiscik | LS | Back | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Travon Walker | OLB | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | Toe | Probable | 01/07/23 |
Betting Trends
| TEN | Betting Trends | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 0-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 13.67 | Avg Score | 30 |
| 21 | Avg Opp Score | 13.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 17 | Avg Score | 31.67 |
| 23 | Avg Opp Score | 27 |
| TEN | Betting Trends | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 0-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 14.6 | Avg Score | 28 |
| 26.8 | Avg Opp Score | 20.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 17 | Avg Score | 25.8 |
| 19.8 | Avg Opp Score | 25 |
| TEN | Betting Trends | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 16.7 | Avg Score | 24.6 |
| 21.1 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 17.8 | Avg Score | 21.5 |
| 21.8 | Avg Opp Score | 20 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Pick 1: Titans +6.5 (-110)
Nothing has gone right for the Titans in the second half of the season. Losing six straight to let Jacksonville back into the division, including a 36-22 loss at home.
However, 6.5 is a lot of points and the Titans should be expected to play up to the occasion in this one. Derrick Henry will also be back and rested with nothing to play for last week against the Dallas Cowboys, giving the Titans the weapon of the ground game to try to keep this one close.
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Pick 2: Derrick Henry Over 90.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Derrick Henry is rested and ready to go for the biggest game of the season for the Titans. Sitting Henry allowed him to rest up and get his body right for a big workload, which should make the Jaguars nervous.
Henry cleared the 90.5 yard number in his last three games played, averaging 117 yards over that stretch. He also had a monster game in the Week 14 loss to the Jags, putting up 121 yards on the day.
With no Tannehill and an unproven Dobbs at quarterback, the Titans should give Henry a big workload on the ground. Unless they go down big early, Henry should cash his yardage prop based on the number of touches he will receive alone.
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Pick 3: Joshua Dobbs Over 186.5 Passing Yards (+100)
Despite the obvious gameplan to feed Derrick Henry, Dobbs’ passing yardage total should be considered a value plus money play due to the low number of yards needed.
Dobbs threw 39 times against the Cowboys, completing 20 of those passes for 232 yards. Should the Titans need to air it out late to make a comeback – an expected reality as 6.5 point dogs – Dobbs should get another opportunity to clear a real low yardage total through the air here.
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Titans vs Jaguars Preview
Despite the recent form of both teams, the Titans can hang their hat on their recent historical success over the Jaguars. Prior to the Week 14 loss at home, the Titans had beaten Jacksonville nine times in their prior ten meetings as AFC South rivals.
Derrick Henry will look to continue his dominance against the Jaguars but without the costly miscues that helped contribute to their defeat in Week 14. In the past two games in Jacksonville, Henry has combined for 345 rushing yards and five touchdowns on 55 carries. However, in Tennessee in Week 14 his two fumbles played a big part in a tough divisional loss where a win would have all but guaranteed them the AFC South crown.
Jacksonville’s second level defenders will have to do a lot better job of tackling than they have this season if they want to contain Henry. Pro Football Focus has two of the Jacksonville linebackers and one of their safeties near the top of the league in missed tackles this season, not a good sign when facing one of the toughest running backs to tackle in the NFL.
