The AFC South championship is on the line on Saturday night, when the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars face off in Duval County. The winner of this game will be the only AFC South representative in this year’s playoffs. Jacksonville comes in as the favorite at home against a reeling Titans team. In our NFL betting picks for this weekend, we look at this Titans vs Jaguars matchup, which is the de facto AFC South championship game.
Titans vs Jaguars Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 39 |
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This game will be played at TIAA Bank Field at 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, January 7, 2023.
Why Bet the Under:
✅ The Titans offense is in shambles right now, as Josh Dobbs or Malik Willis will be in at quarterback. That will mean a low scoring output for the Titans, en route to an under.
✅ Only the Atlanta Falcons and Chicago Bears have averaged fewer passing yards per game than the Titans this year. And that is before you factor in the quarterback downgrade of going with Dobbs or Willis.
✅ Tennessee has gone under the total in 11 of their 16 games so far this season. They will close things out with one last under on Saturday night.
NFL
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Passing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 278 | CMP | 323 |
| 439 | ATT | 471 |
| 63.3 | CMP% | 68.6 |
| 190.6 | YDS/GM | 264.3 |
| 6.7 | Y/A | 8.3 |
| 5.5 | NY/A | 7.4 |
| 17 | INT | 5 |
| 46 | SK | 26 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Passing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 274 | CMP | 283 |
| 412 | ATT | 453 |
| 66.5 | CMP% | 62.5 |
| 182.2 | YDS/GM | 204.4 |
| 6.6 | Y/A | 6.8 |
| 5.8 | NY/A | 6.0 |
| 10 | INT | 14 |
| 28 | SK | 27 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Rushing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 366 | ATT | 420 |
| 1546 | YDS | 1849 |
| 110.4 | Y/G | 132.1 |
| 4.2 | Y/A | 4.4 |
| 9 | TD | 16 |
| 0.6 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Rushing | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 391 | ATT | 326 |
| 1613 | YDS | 1422 |
| 115.2 | Y/G | 101.6 |
| 4.1 | Y/A | 4.4 |
| 16 | TD | 11 |
| 1.1 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Special Teams | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Punts/Ret | 22 |
| 221 | Punt/Yds | 202 |
| 7.6 | Punt/Y/R | 9.2 |
| 32 | Kick Off/Ret | 7 |
| 832 | Kick Off/Yds | 207 |
| 26.0 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 29.6 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Special Teams | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Punts/Ret | 20 |
| 619 | Punt/Yds | 257 |
| 14.7 | Punt/Y/R | 12.9 |
| 20 | Kick Off/Ret | 27 |
| 644 | Kick Off/Yds | 683 |
| 32.2 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 25.3 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
| TEN | Scoring | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 9 | RshTD | 16 |
| 18 | RecTD | 27 |
| 21 | FGM | 26 |
| 22 | FGA | 30 |
| 18.1 | Pts/G | 26.9 |
Defense/Offense
| TEN | Scoring | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 16 | RshTD | 11 |
| 23 | RecTD | 15 |
| 22 | FGM | 22 |
| 26 | FGA | 24 |
| 27.1 | Pts/G | 18.8 |
Team Advanced Defense
| TEN | Defense | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 20.2% | Bltz% | 14.0% |
| 5.5% | Hrry% | 7.1% |
| 7.3% | QB Hit% | 5.7% |
| 17.6% | QB Prss% | 17.0% |
Injuries
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Moore | S | Ankle | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Andrew Adams | SS | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Ben Jones | C | Concussion | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Bud Dupree | OLB | Pectoral | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Caleb Farley | CB | Back | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Chance Campbell | LB | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Chris Jackson | DB | Undisclosed | Out | 01/07/23 |
| C.J. Board | WR | Rib | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Cody Hollister | WR | Neck | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Da'Shawn Hand | DE | Quad | Out | 01/07/23 |
| David Long Jr. | LB | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Davontae Harris | DB | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Dillon Radunz | OL | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | RB | Neck | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Elijah Molden | CB | Groin | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Harold Landry III | OLB | Knee (acl) | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jamarco Jones | OL | Triceps | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Kyle Philips | WR | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Mike Brown | DB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Naquan Jones | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Nate Davis | G | Ankle | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Ryan Tannehill | QB | Ankle | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Taylor Lewan | OT | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Terrance Mitchell | CB | Hamstring | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Trenton Cannon | RB | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Zach Cunningham | LB | Elbow | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jeffery Simmons | DT | Ankle | Questionable | 01/05/23 |
| Tarell Basham | DE | Back | Questionable | 01/05/23 |
| Amani Hooker | FS | Knee | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Denico Autry | DL | Biceps | Probable | 01/04/23 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | Hip | Probable | 01/04/23 |
| Dylan Cole | LB | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Josh Thompson | CB | Concussion | Probable | 01/04/23 |
| Kristian Fulton | CB | Groin | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Nicholas Petit-Frere | OL | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Treylon Burks | WR | Groin | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Bartch | G | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | Suspended | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Cam Robinson | OL | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Dawuane Smoot | DL | Achilles | Out | 01/07/23 |
| De'Shaan Dixon | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Gregory Junior | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jeremiah Ledbetter | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Jordan Smith | DE | Knee | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Kendric Pryor | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Montaric Brown | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Shaquill Griffin | CB | Back | Out | 01/07/23 |
| Andrew Wingard | S | Shoulder | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Brandon Scherff | G | Abdomen/ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Folorunso Fatukasi | DL | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Rayshawn Jenkins | S | Shoulder | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Ross Matiscik | LS | Back | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Travon Walker | OLB | Ankle | Probable | 01/07/23 |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | Toe | Probable | 01/07/23 |
Betting Trends
| TEN | Betting Trends | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 0-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 13.67 | Avg Score | 30 |
| 21 | Avg Opp Score | 13.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 17 | Avg Score | 31.67 |
| 23 | Avg Opp Score | 27 |
| TEN | Betting Trends | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 0-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 14.6 | Avg Score | 28 |
| 26.8 | Avg Opp Score | 20.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 17 | Avg Score | 25.8 |
| 19.8 | Avg Opp Score | 25 |
| TEN | Betting Trends | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 16.7 | Avg Score | 24.6 |
| 21.1 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 17.8 | Avg Score | 21.5 |
| 21.8 | Avg Opp Score | 20 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Tennessee Titans
The Tennessee Titans have fallen apart down the stretch this season, losing six straight games. Their most recent loss came in Week 17, where they fell against the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday Night Football. Despite all of that, though, the Titans could still get into the playoffs if they were to win on Saturday night against Jacksonville.
At this point, the Titans are simply hoping that either Josh Dobbs or Malik Willis can generate some kind of offense through the air. Doing so would make the Titans offense less predictable and help Derrick Henry find some more running room. But that is clearly easier said than done based on the performances of these two quarterback this year.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars are on fire late in the season, having won four straight games coming into this regular season finale. They beat the Houston Texans 31-3 in their last game, stifling the Texans while generating early offense in a game they led 21-0 and never looked back on. Here, the Jags are looking to win a fifth straight game to clinch the AFC South title.
Jacksonville’s offense has looked impressive of late, with Trevor Lawrence playing at a high level. He has had help in the form of Travis Etienne, who rushed for 108 yards against Houston last week. If both former Clemson players perform well in Week 18, they could be heading to the postseason.
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