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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers came into last season with unclear expectations, as they went from Tom Brady to Baker Mayfield at quarterback. But they managed to exceed expectations, winning the NFC South and winning a playoff game as well. Here, we look at the upcoming season for the remaining members of the Buccaneers, in our 2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers season preview. We will also make our prediction for the Bucs in the season win total market, in what will be an interesting year for the Bucs, for better or worse.
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| Caesars Sportsbook | 8.5 |
| BetMGM | 8.5 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Futures Betting Odds
Standings Data
| 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual Record | 9-8 | 8-9 |
| Point Differential | +23 | -45 |
| ATS W/L | 12-7 | 4-13-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 7-12 | 6-12 |
| Record in Division Games | 4-2 | 2-4 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Randy Gregory, Bryce Hall, Jordan Whitehead
Key Departures: Shaq Barrett, Devin White, Carlton Davis
It wasn’t a huge offseason for the Buccaneers in terms of players going out or coming in. Instead, the team prioritized re-signing a lot of their key players on both sides of the ball. Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans were among those who got paid on the offensive side of the ball, while key defenders like Lavonte David and Antoine Winfield Jr. got paid on defense. While this might not result in huge improvement from the Bucs in 2024, it will prevent them from getting actively worse.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play | 5.2 (T-14th) | 5.1 (T-23rd) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 3.6 (T-30th) | 3.4 (32nd) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt | 7.3 (10th) | 6.2 (31st) |
| Points Per Game | 20.5 (20th) | 18.4 (25th) |
| Turnovers | 18 (T-6th) | 22 (T-14th) |
Tampa Bay had some clearly defined strengths and weaknesses offensively in 2023. They were a perfectly fine team throwing the football, with Baker Mayfield performing admirably in his first year as their starter. But their running game was abysmal, which made it tougher to keep teams off-balance. This group still lacks high-end running back talent, which could hold them back from meaningful improvement in 2024 and beyond.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.4 (T-19th) | 5.2 (T-9th) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed | 3.8 (T-3rd) | 4.4 (T-15th) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed | 6.9 (T-25th) | 6.2 (T-8th) |
| Points Per Game Allowed | 19.1 (T-6th) | 21.1 (T-13th) |
| Takeaways | 26 (T-12th) | 20 (T-20th) |
On defense, the Bucs did a nice job of stopping the run and bending but not breaking on the scoreboard in 2023. Losing Devin White could hurt this group this coming season, but they kept most of their nucleus in tact and that should be encouraging news for Bucs fans. In a division where there is no guarantee that any of the other three teams will be good offensively, the Bucs defense is in position to have some success this year.
Positives & Negatives
A major positive for the Buccaneers going into 2024 is continuity, something they did not have going into last season. Tampa managed to weather the storm of their first year post-Tom Brady and will face far less uncertainty in the year to come. That can’t possibly be a bad thing, even if this roster does have some limitations.
On the negative side, continuity is nice, but there is a clear ceiling for this Buccaneers team as currently constructed. They are severely lacking in their running game and that will always make things a little tougher on them in terms of putting Mayfield in positions to succeed. While this team could make the playoffs again, it is hard to see them as a serious threat in the NFC title race.
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Total Prediction: Under 8.5 Wins
Tampa Bay should be right around where they were last season, when they won the NFC South at 9-8. But with largely the same roster last year, their season win total was set at 6.5 games. Therefore, we see a little value in taking the under at 8.5 wins this time around, as even the slightest regression from this roster will give us an under for the Bucs.
