The two quarterbacks starting in Super Bowl LVIII have taken very different paths to get to the biggest game of the year. Patrick Mahomes is playing in his fourth career Super Bowl, while Brock Purdy is playing in his first. But they both have interesting prop options listed for them, as we take a look at this year’s Super Bowl passing props.
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Super Bowl LVIII Passing Props
There are four major Super Bowl passing props that we will look at for Purdy and Mahomes ahead of this game. With odds from DraftKings Sportsbook below for each of those markets, let’s take a look at the yardage, touchdowns, completions, and pass attempts props that are up for grabs in this 49ers vs Chiefs rematch.
Passing Yards
| Player | Yards | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 246.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 261.5 | -115 | -115 |
The passing yardage props in this year’s Super Bowl are interesting, as both of these teams have leaned heavily on their defenses to win games throughout the season. Mahomes’ total is up slightly from the opening total, as his reputation is one of a gunslinger who runs up huge numbers. But we lean toward both unders in the passing yardage market in the Super Bowl, as both of these defenses are good enough to take both passers out of their rhythm.
Passing TDs
| Player | TDs | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 1.5 | -125 | -105 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 1.5 | -160 | +124 |
The unders in both passing touchdown props are very appealing going into Super Bowl LVIII. The prevailing thought here is that these teams are both incredibly aggressive about running the ball close to the goal line. That will take away from the total number of touchdown passes that we see in this game, along with the elite defenses that are set to compete in this contest.
Pass Completions
| Player | Completions | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 20.5 | -130 | +100 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 25.5 | +100 | -130 |
Going into the Super Bowl, Brock Purdy has completed 21.5 passes per game in the 49ers’ two postseason wins. But he was throwing the ball frequently in the middle of that game to help the Niners come back from a 17-point deficit, with Purdy logging 39 pass attempts because of that game script. In a game where both teams should be more conservative offensively thanks to the opposing defenses, Purdy’s under on completions is appealing.
Pass Attempts
| Player | Attempts | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 31.5 | -105 | -125 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 36.5 | -110 | -120 |
The pass attempts prop in this Super Bowl will hinge largely on how you feel about the game script for the game. For example, if you think the Chiefs will win the game and will control the ball on the ground late, the under for Mahomes might be the way to go. That is our handicap of the game, so we like the Mahomes under and the Purdy over, but things could swing dramatically in this game based on the time and score for each possession.
Other Super Bowl Props
Our expert NFL handicappers have broken down so many prop markets ahead of Super Bowl 58. From passing and rushing props to the touchdown scorer markets, we have got you covered with comprehensive prop looks. Just click the links below to check out all of the props we have covered thus far.
- Super Bowl First TD Scorer Props
- Super Bowl Anytime TD Scorer Props
- Super Bowl Rushing Props
- Super Bowl Receiving Props
- Super Bowl Defense Props
- Super Bowl Special Teams Props
Super Bowl Player Props
Do not forget about our robust selection of individual player prop coverage ahead of the Super Bowl either. Bettors can find links below for player props concerning everyone from the quarterbacks in this game to rushers, receivers, and tight ends.
