As the United Football League enters Week 4, the St. Louis Battlehawks (2-1) prepare to face the Arlington Renegades (2-1) on Saturday, April 19, 2025, at Choctaw Stadium in Arlington, TX. This game presents a significant opportunity for both teams, as the winner of this St. Louis Battlehawks vs Arlington Renegades matchup will have sole possession of second place in the XFL Division.
St. Louis Battlehawks vs Arlington Renegades Game Preview
Going into Week 4 of the UFL season, the St. Louis Battlehawks lost their most recent outing agianst the DC Defenders. That 27-15 loss at home was the team’s first setback of the 2025 season, raising questions about the team’s ability to perform against quality competition. After beating the lowly San Antonio Brahmas and Houston Roughnecks to start the season, the Battlehawks have a chance to prove themselves against a quality opponent again this week.
The Battlehawks have demonstrated a strong defensive presence this season, allowing an average of 14 points per game. But after giving up a total of 15 points in their first two games against the Brahmas and Roughnecks, St. Louis’ defense showed vulnerabilities for the first time against DC last week.
The Renegades also suffered their first loss of the season last week, falling 10-9 on the road against the defending UFL champions, the Birmingham Stallions. Despite losing that game, Arlington’s defense continued to look great, holding Birmingham to just 10 points. The Renegades have allowed just 9.3 points per game coming into Week 4 and will look for another strong defensive showing at home this week.
Offensively, the Renegades will look to running back Kalen Ballage to push them over the hump in this contest. Ballage leads the UFL in rushing yards with 189 yards on the ground on an efficient 5.1 yards per carry. His presence will help quarterback Luis Perez and the Arlington passing game to operate effectively, even against a good St. Louis defense.
Betting Insights
- Spread: Battlehawks -1.5
- Moneyline: Battlehawks -125, Renegades +105
- Over/Under: 39.5 points
The Battlehawks are slight favorites going into this game according to the above odds from BetMGM. As the odds indicate, a close contest is expected. It is interesting to note that the total for this game is the highest of any Week 4 game in the UFL. Given how well both defenses have played going into this matchup, the offenses on each side will need to step up to help the game reach the total.
St. Louis Battlehawks vs Arlington Renegades Prediction
Analyzing the current form and statistical data, the Renegades appear to have the upper hand in our opinion. Their defense has been consistently great, while we have questions about the Battlehawks’ defense after they were lit up by Jordan Ta’amu and the Defenders in their loss last week.
Our prediction is for the Renegades to win this game as a slight underdog. We also envision the game going under the total of 39.5 points, as the Arlington defense should lead things in a low-scoring direction on Saturday afternoon.
