Jay Sanin on January 15, 2025
Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 18, 2025
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Joe Mixon is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.1 targets.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Joe Mixon is projected to have 3.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Joe Mixon is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.1 targets.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Joe Mixon is projected to have 23.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 20.7 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The predictive model expects the Texans as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
Joe Mixon is projected to have 18.4 Carries in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 20.7 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The predictive model expects the Texans as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
Joe Mixon is projected to have 80.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
