Joe Mixon Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars on Dec 1, 2024

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 21.5 over: -108
• Carries 21.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 26.84 seconds per snap, the model projects the Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

In this week's contest, Joe Mixon is predicted by the model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 22.1 rush attempts.

Joe Mixon has garnered 73.5% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 38.2% run rate.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of DEs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Joe Mixon Carries Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 19.9 Carries in this weeks game.

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 84.5 over: -129
• Rushing Yards 84.5 under: -106

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 26.84 seconds per snap, the model projects the Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

In this week's contest, Joe Mixon is predicted by the model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 22.1 rush attempts.

Joe Mixon's 90.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a noteable boost in his running skills over last season's 61.0 mark.

This year, the weak Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has given up a monstrous 139.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 38.2% run rate.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of DEs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 87.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 3.5 over: 123
• Receptions 3.5 under: -159

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (61.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Texans.

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 26.84 seconds per snap, the model projects the Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.4 per game) this year.

In this game, Joe Mixon is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among running backs with 4.0 targets.

With a remarkable 11.9% Target Share (91st percentile) this year, Joe Mixon rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Joe Mixon's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 83.5% to 69.7%.

Projection For Joe Mixon Receptions Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 21.5 over: -120
• Receiving Yards 21.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (61.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Texans.

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 26.84 seconds per snap, the model projects the Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.4 per game) this year.

In this game, Joe Mixon is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among running backs with 4.0 targets.

With a remarkable 11.9% Target Share (91st percentile) this year, Joe Mixon rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Joe Mixon's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 83.5% to 69.7%.

Projection For Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 22.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.