New York Jets at New England Patriots Prediction For 10/27/2024

Jets vs Patriots Betting Odds

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Betting Preview

Sunday the New York Jets (2-5) will battle the New England Patriots (1-6). Oddsmakers peg the Jets as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 74%, leaving the Patriots with a 26% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Jets -7.5 with a Game Total of 41.5.

New England's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #29 in football with a low 229 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #31 in the league with just 145 yards per game. Partially to blame is New England's offensive line, which has given the quarterback very little protection, ranking just #27 in the NFL. When it comes to their defense, the Patriots check in at #26 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 232 yards per game against New England this year (#11 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #10 against them with 4.85 yards per ground attempt. This Patriots defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, allowing them to complete just 69.6% of their passes (#7-lowest in the league). New England's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have caught 69.5% of their passes, #6-highest in the league.

New York's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #8 in the league while allowing just 312 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #2-least yards per game: 182. The Jets have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 118 yards per game (#3-best). New York's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #1 in the league in locking down route-runners. New York's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive tackles, which check in as the #9-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. This represents a particular advantage for New York given that the Patriots have struggled so much with their pass game this year, managing just 5.77 yards per target (#3-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Jets have ranked #14 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 223 yards per game (#5 in football). On the ground they've ranked #28 with 3.61 yards per carry.

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction

Final Score: New York Jets 23.28 vs New England Patriots 14.9

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