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Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
The Minnesota Vikings finished in third in the NFC North last season after a turbulent season that saw them forced into several quarterback changes. This year, more changes are on the horizon, as Kirk Cousins is gone and the team has drafted a new option at the quarterback position. Here, we decide whether their current nucleus will result in an over or under in the season win total market, as we give you our 2024 Minnesota Vikings season preview.
2024 Minnesota Vikings Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
---|---|
Caesars Sportsbook | 6.5 |
BetMGM | 6.5 |
Minnesota Vikings Futures Betting Odds
Standings Data
2023 | 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Actual Record | 7-10 | 13-4 |
Point Differential | -18 | -3 |
ATS W/L | 7-7-3 | 7-10-1 |
Over/Under Record | 7-10 | 12-6 |
Record in Division Games | 2-4 | 4-2 |
Minnesota Vikings Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: JJ McCarthy, Sam Darnold, Aaron Jones, Robert Tonyan, Andrew Van Ginkel, Jihad Ward, Jerry Tillery, Blake Cashman, Shaq Griffin
Key Departures: Kirk Cousins, Joshua Dobbs, Alexander Mattison, KJ Osborn, Marcus Davenport, Danielle Hunter, Sheldon Day, Anthony Barr, Jordan Hicks, Greg Joseph
It has been an eventful offseason for the Minnesota Vikings, starting at the quarterback position. They let Kirk Cousins go to the Atlanta Falcons, while ditching Joshua Dobbs as well. In exchange, they brought in JJ McCarthy via the draft, while Sam Darnold is on board as well. Neither of those options should be all that good this season, but the goal is to make McCarthy their quarterback of the future and deal with the growing pains that come with that in the short-term.
Minnesota Vikings Offensive Stats
2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
---|---|---|
Yards Per Play | 5.5 (T-10th) | 5.5 (T-11th) |
Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.0 (T-21st) | 4.1 (T-25th) |
Yards Per Pass Attempt | 7.4 (T-8th) | 7.1 (T-10th) |
Points Per Game | 20.2 (22nd) | 24.9 (8th) |
Turnovers | 34 (31st) | 23 (T-17th) |
The Minnesota Vikings were all over the place offensively last season, thanks in large part to quarterback uncertainty. With Kirk Cousins injured, Minnesota had to turn to a bunch of options they would not normally turn to. And while Justin Jefferson helped them move the ball in chunks on a per-play basis, they turned the ball over a ton and did not do much scoring. This year, Jefferson is back after some contract uncertainty, while Aaron Jones is now here in an attempt to help their running game alleviate some pressure on their passing attack.
Minnesota Vikings Defensive Stats
2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
---|---|---|
Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.2 (T-10th) | 5.9 (T-29th) |
Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed | 3.8 (T-3rd) | 4.5 (T-20th) |
Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed | 6.6 (T-13th) | 7.4 (30th) |
Points Per Game Allowed | 21.3 (T-13th) | 25.1 (30th) |
Takeaways | 22 (T-19th) | 25 (T-8th) |
Minnesota wasn’t terrible defensively over the course of the 2023 season, ranking in the top-half of most important statistical categories. Going into this season, there are some concerns about this defense, especially with the loss of Danielle Hunter looming large for them. Hunter finished fifth in the league in sacks last year, racking up 16.5 sacks in 2023. Without him, opposing quarterbacks could have more time to throw, making things tougher on the rest of the defense.
Positives & Negatives
The Vikings should be very good at the skill positions in 2024, which is likely their biggest positive for the season. Justin Jefferson is back, which is huge for a quarterback room that will need all the help it can get in order to have success this season. Meanwhile, adding a legitimate number-one running back in Aaron Jones will make their offense more balanced, something that they desperately need.
With all of that said, the Vikings could really struggle on the defensive side of the ball. Their pass rush should take a major hit with Danielle Hunter moving onto the Houston Texans, which could make every other facet of their defense worse. In a year where the Vikings defense will be more important than ever given the team’s quarterback situation, the timing could not be worse for a big name to go elsewhere.
2024 Minnesota Vikings Win Total Prediction: Under 6.5 Wins
There are a ton of question marks surrounding the Minnesota Vikings in 2024. Maybe either Sam Darnold or JJ McCarthy will latch on and find some immediate success with the team. However, it is entirely possible that they both struggle and the Vikings have a hard time putting points on the board at all. For now, we lean toward the latter taking place and will take the under in the season win total market for the Vikings.