Miami Dolphins VS Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Preview – 12/03/2023

Jay Sanin on November 29th, 2023

Dolphins -9.5 (-110) -455

Commanders +9.5 (-110) +350

Commanders +9.5 (-110) over Dolphins

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Dolphins -9.5 (-110) -455

Commanders +9.5 (-110) +350

Miami was very fortunate to have covered against the Jets on the road last week, thanks to a 100-yard pick-six last week.
Washington is at least capable of moving the football, unlike the Jets last week, and they should be able to compete to some extent here.

The Miami Dolphins are set to face another subpar opponent in this weekend’s Dolphins vs Commanders matchup in Week 13. The Dolphins beat up on the New York Jets last time out, but would not have covered the spread had they not been gifted a 100-yard pick-six at the end of the first half. Barring anything like that happening in this game, we should see Washington keep this game within single digits even if Miami should win the game.

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NFL

Dec 03, 2023 01:00 PM

Miami Dolphins

Washington Commanders

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.5/-110

+8.5/-110

60% MIA

WAS 40%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-444

+343

85% MIA

WAS 15%

Total Pick Consensus

49.5/-110

49.5/-110

31% UN

OV 69%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MIA	Team Stats	WAS
10	G	11
181	PTs	243
18.1	PPG	22.1
3190	YDS	3683
319	YDS/G	334.8
18	TD	30
1.8	TD/G	2.7
35.6	SC%	40.2
10.6	TO%	9.3

Defense/Offense

MIA	Team Stats	WAS
10	G	11
221	PTs	308
22.1	PPG	28
3080	YDS	4034
308	YDS/G	366.7
20	TD	31
2	TD/G	2.8
41.9	SC%	55.1
8.6	TO%	3.7

Passing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Passing	WAS
216	CMP	196
317	ATT	298
68.1	CMP%	65.8
197	YDS/GM	184.4
6.8	Y/A	7.4
5.8	NY/A	6.2
5	INT	4
25	SK	29

Defense/Offense

MIA	Passing	WAS
204	CMP	221
317	ATT	320
64.4	CMP%	69.1
199	YDS/GM	218.7
6.6	Y/A	7.9
6.0	NY/A	7.0
6	INT	3
17	SK	24

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MIA	Rushing	WAS
10	G	11
292	ATT	334
1220	YDS	1655
122.0	Y/G	150.5
4.2	Y/A	5.0
8	TD	13
0.8	TD/G	1.2

Defense/Offense

MIA	Rushing	WAS
10	G	11
250	ATT	343
1090	YDS	1628
109.0	Y/G	148.0
4.4	Y/A	4.7
10	TD	19
1	TD/G	1.7

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

MIA	Special Teams	WAS
15	Punts/Ret	15
159	Punt/Yds	112
10.6	Punt/Y/R	7.5
10	Kick Off/Ret	48
278	Kick Off/Yds	1205
27.8	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.1

Defense/Offense

MIA	Special Teams	WAS
10	Punts/Ret	13
119	Punt/Yds	142
11.9	Punt/Y/R	10.9
12	Kick Off/Ret	18
284	Kick Off/Yds	541
23.7	Kick Off/Y/rt	30.1

Scoring

Offense/Defense

MIA	Scoring	WAS
10	G	11
8	RshTD	13
10	RecTD	17
19	FGM	13
23	FGA	16
18.1	Pts/G	22.1

Defense/Offense

MIA	Scoring	WAS
10	G	11
10	RshTD	19
10	RecTD	12
24	FGM	28
28	FGA	32
22.1	Pts/G	28.0

Team Advanced Defense

MIA	Defense	WAS
23.6%	Bltz%	30.8%
7.5%	Hrry%	8.5%
7.6%	QB Hit%	8.7%
19.3%	QB Prss%	24.2%

Open

Current

Book

MIA

WAS

MIA

WAS

Consensus

-6.5 -110

+6.5 -108

-9.0 -110

+9.0 -110

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-7.0 -110

+7.0 -110

-8.0 -110

+8.0 -110

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Open

Current

Book

MIA

WAS

MIA

WAS

Consensus

-302

+242

-444

+343

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$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

-300

+240

-400

+310

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

48.5 -110

49.5 -112

49.5 -110

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49.0 -110

50.0 -110

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48.5 -110

49.5 -118

49.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

49.5 -110

49.5 -112

49.5 -109

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

49.0 -110

49.5 -110

—-

49.0 -110

49.5 -110

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49.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alec Ingold	FB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Blake Ferguson	LS	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Bradley Chubb	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Chase Claypool	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Chris Brooks	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Connor Williams	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
De'Von Achane	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Durham Smythe	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Eli Apple	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Elijah Campbell	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Erik Ezukanma	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Isaiah Wynn	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Jaelan Phillips	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Jevon Holland	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Keion Crossen	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Kendall Lamm	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Lester Cotton	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Raheem Mostert	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Robbie Chosen	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Robert Hunt	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Robert Jones	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Salvon Ahmed	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Skylar Thompson	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Terron Armstead	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Tua Tagovailoa	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/30/23
Tyler Kroft	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Tyreek Hill	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/01/23
Zeke Vandenburgh	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alex Armah	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Armani Rogers	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Braeden Daniels	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Curtis Brooks	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Curtis Hodges	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Darrick Forrest	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
David Bada	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Dax Milne	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
De'Jon Harris	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Drew White	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Efe Obada	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Emmanuel Forbes Jr.	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
James Smith-Williams	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Jeremy Reaves	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Julian Good-Jones	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Mitchell Tinsley	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Ricky Stromberg	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Saahdiq Charles	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Shaka Toney	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23
Tyler Larsen	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/03/23

Betting Trends

MIA	Betting Trends	WAS
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
22.67	Avg Score	18.33
15.67	Avg Opp Score	35
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	0-2-1
21.67	Avg Score	23.33
21.67	Avg Opp Score	36.33

MIA	Betting Trends	WAS
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-2-1
23.2	Avg Score	21.2
19	Avg Opp Score	32
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	0-4-1
21.8	Avg Score	18.6
26	Avg Opp Score	32.4

MIA	Betting Trends	WAS
OVERALL		OVERALL
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-8-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	4-5-1
30.3	Avg Score	19.1
21.7	Avg Opp Score	30.1
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-7-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	2-6-2
24.3	Avg Score	17.7
27.6	Avg Opp Score	24.5

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
10/13/19	WAS MIA	42 5	-248 +201	0 0	7 3	10 0	0 13	0 0	17 16
09/13/15	MIA WAS	46 4	-210 +175	0 3	7 7	0 0	10 0	0 0	17 10
11/13/11	WAS MIA	37.5 -4	N/A N/A	3 7	3 3	3 3	0 7	0 0	9 20
09/09/07	MIA WAS	34.5 -3	N/A N/A	0 0	7 3	3 7	3 3	0 3	13 16
11/23/03	WAS MIA	35 -6.5	N/A N/A	6 7	14 3	3 0	0 14	0 0	23 24
01/02/00	MIA WAS	39.5 2.5	N/A N/A	0 0	3 7	0 7	7 7	0 0	10 21
10/04/93	WAS MIA	39.5 -4	N/A N/A	0 14	3 0	0 0	7 3	0 0	10 17
12/02/90	MIA WAS	39 -3	N/A N/A	0 7	3 14	3 14	14 7	0 0	20 42
12/20/87	WAS MIA	49 -3	N/A N/A	0 0	7 9	7 0	7 14	0 0	21 23

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	LV MIA	2 10	13.4 -2.5	26:48 33:12	2-18 2-25	3-13-82 3-11-83
11/11/24	MIA LAR	24 16	2.2 52.1	29:48 30:12	23-70 19-74	21-29-180 34-48-270
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159
10/27/24	ARI MIA	41 40	68.5 -6.6	29:29 30:31	38-121 37-221	38-53-452 41-56-334
10/20/24	MIA IND	4 6	1.2 27.4	31:11 28:49	25-117 23-96	6-16-93 4-15-80
10/06/24	MIA NE	5 3	20.5 0.6	34:20 25:40	23-107 11-84	6-17-99 6-19-82
09/30/24	TEN MIA	42 16	4.5 50.2	34:52 25:08	54-190 40-142	16-28-137 19-29-104
09/22/24	MIA SEA	1 12	20.3 -2.0	28:32 31:28	4-32 11-49	5-16-68 13-17-132
09/12/24	BUF MIA	39 13	62.3 -3.2	23:41 36:19	33-137 43-177	17-24-177 32-50-269
09/08/24	JAX MIA	3 4	20.8 -1.5	26:50 33:10	11-54 10-34	2-4-58 4-16-134

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/14/24	WAS PHI	2 2	0.4 15.0	26:56 33:04	3-29 12-70	2-3-52 2-3-63
11/10/24	PIT WAS	29 28	47.9 -1.6	36:11 23:49	45-147 23-63	15-31-181 18-36-191
11/03/24	WAS NYG	19 15	-2.8 30.4	28:00 32:00	26-103 21-113	10-15-144 14-18-112
10/27/24	CHI WAS	22 27	68.5 -2.2	27:44 32:16	49-298 47-247	15-35-155 31-56-461
10/20/24	CAR WAS	3 25	31.7 -6.2	24:55 35:05	14-59 23-133	5-11-53 12-16-129
10/13/24	WAS BAL	32 42	13.8 71.0	23:52 36:08	25-73 52-247	34-49-356 28-37-433
10/06/24	CLE WAS	4 19	24.1 -1.7	28:42 31:18	13-58 19-119	5-16-60 5-16-122
09/29/24	WAS ARI	56 19	6.3 64.9	33:22 26:38	50-289 43-242	35-40-312 21-29-154
09/23/24	WAS CIN	19 16	1.7 22.2	33:06 26:54	16-53 5-61	10-11-121 14-19-152
09/15/24	NYG WAS	23 27	54.7 -1.9	22:28 37:32	28-164 44-273	20-36-222 29-37-267

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