Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Preview – 11/3/2024

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Dolphins 6.5, Buffalo Bills -6.5
Over/Under:49.5
Moneyline:Miami Dolphins 225, Buffalo Bills -265


Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Dolphins - 30%Miami Dolphins - 44%
Buffalo Bills - 70%Buffalo Bills - 56%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins faceoff against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter the game as a huge favorite (-265) as the home team. Buffalo is currently favored by -6.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 49.5.

Miami's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #30 in the league with a mere 234 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #1-worst in football with 152 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.62 yards per carry for the Dolphins -- bottom 10 in the league. It's tough to succeed when you don't have much time to throw, as has been the case for Miami. Their offensive line has ranked just #25 in pass protection. This represents a particular disadvantage for Miami given that the Bills have excelled in stopping the pass this year, allowing just 7.21 yards per target (#7-best in the league). In terms of their defense, the Dolphins have ranked #5 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 184 yards per game through the air against them (#29 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #20 with 4.61 yards per carry. Miami pass defense has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 21 yards per game (#2-best). Miami has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 6.87 yards per target (#2-worst).

Buffalo's primary disadvantage has been their pass defense, which has allowed a monstrous 239 yards per game through the air this year, sliding them into the #9 spot among the league's worst. Opposing running backs have given the Bills pass defense the most trouble, posting 50 yards per game against them (#2-worst in football). Buffalo's coverage problems have been exacerbated by their linebackers, who rank just #32 in the league in locking down opposing pass-catchers. This presents a decided disadvantage for Buffalo given that the Dolphins air attack has been so good this year, passing their way to 6.12 yards per target (#26-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Bills check in at #18 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 190 yards per game (#18 in football). Their run game has ranked #11 with 4.53 yards per attempt on the ground.


Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

Final Score: Miami Dolphins 23.48 vs Buffalo Bills 26.01

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-110
27% MIA
-6.0/-110
73% BUF

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+215
7% MIA
-265
93% BUF

Total Pick Consensus

49.0/-112
23% UN
49.0/-108
77% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats
BUF
7
G
8
97
PTs
146
13.9
PPG
18.2
2226
YDS
2627
318
YDS/G
328.4
9
TD
14
1.3
TD/G
1.8
27.3
SC%
31.3
10.4
TO%
15.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats
BUF
7
G
8
157
PTs
230
22.4
PPG
28.8
2100
YDS
2692
300
YDS/G
336.5
15
TD
27
2.1
TD/G
3.4
36.7
SC%
47.0
6.3
TO%
3.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Rushing
BUF
7
G
8
213
ATT
200
922
YDS
962
131.7
Y/G
120.3
4.3
Y/A
4.8
5
TD
5
0.7
TD/G
0.6

Defense/Offense

MIA
Rushing
BUF
7
G
8
197
ATT
226
866
YDS
978
123.7
Y/G
122.3
4.4
Y/A
4.3
10
TD
13
1.4
TD/G
1.6

Offense/Defense

MIA
Passing
BUF
143
CMP
183
225
ATT
277
63.6
CMP%
66.1
186.3
YDS/GM
208.1
6.4
Y/A
6.5
5.3
NY/A
5.6
4
INT
8
19
SK
20

Defense/Offense

MIA
Passing
BUF
117
CMP
145
189
ATT
226
61.9
CMP%
64.2
176.3
YDS/GM
214.2
6.9
Y/A
7.8
6.2
NY/A
7.3
3
INT
1
9
SK
10

Offense/Defense

MIA
Special Teams
BUF
10
Punts/Ret
13
139
Punt/Yds
122
13.9
Punt/Y/R
9.4
6
Kick Off/Ret
9
171
Kick Off/Yds
294
28.5
Kick Off/Y/rt
32.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Special Teams
BUF
9
Punts/Ret
14
90
Punt/Yds
150
10.0
Punt/Y/R
10.7
9
Kick Off/Ret
8
213
Kick Off/Yds
228
23.7
Kick Off/Y/rt
28.5

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA BUF
MIA BUF
Consensus
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-111)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-120)
+5.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-109)
-6.0 (-112)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-105)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA BUF
MIA BUF
Consensus
+212
-260
+224
-274
+200
-245
+215
-265
+225
-275
+215
-260
+200
-250
+230
-295
+228
-285
+215
-267
+240
-300
+225
-275
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
48.0 (-110)
48.0 (-110)
49.0 (-112)
49.0 (-109)
48.0 (-110)
48.0 (-110)
49.0 (-108)
49.0 (-112)
47.5 (-115)
47.5 (-105)
49.5 (-110)
49.5 (-110)
48.0 (-108)
48.0 (-113)
49.0 (-113)
49.0 (-108)
48.0 (-110)
48.0 (-110)
49.0 (-105)
49.0 (-115)
48.5 (-110)
48.5 (-110)
49.0 (-110)
49.0 (-110)

Game Props

  • To Record A Safety
  • Race To 15 Points
  • Total Touchdowns
  • Total Net Offensive Yards
  • Last Team To Score
  • Total Points Odd/Even
  • Race To 35 Points
  • Both Teams To Score A Touchdown
  • First Team to Use Coach Challenge
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Both Teams to Score on Their 1st Drive
  • Race to 10 Points
  • Race To 20 Points
  • To Score First and Win
  • Both Teams to Score
  • Both Teams to Score 10 Points
  • To Attempt an Onside Kick
  • Either Team TD on their 1st Offensive Play
  • To Score First and Lose
  • Team To Win Every Quarter
  • To Win Both Halves
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score First Field Goal
  • Both Teams to Score 20 Points
  • Both teams to score 1+ TD in each half
  • Both Teams To Score 3+ Points
  • Total Pass Completions
  • To Attempt 2-Point Conversion
  • Punt Returned For Touchdown
  • Race To 5 Points
  • To Record Successful Two Point Conversion
  • Both Teams to Score 35 Points
  • Both teams to score 2+ TD in each half
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Both Teams To Complete First Pass Attempt
  • Punt To Be Blocked
  • Team To Score Most Touchdowns (3-Way)
  • Total Rushing Touchdowns
  • Both Teams To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • First Team To Call Timeout
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Race To 25 Points
  • Both Teams to Score 15 Points
  • Field Goal To Be Blocked
  • To Score In Each Quarter
  • Both Teams To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • First Team To Score
  • Total Passing Yards
  • Both Teams To Score 7+ Points
  • Both Teams to Score 25 Points
  • Team To Lead After Every Quarter
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Team To Score Most Touchdowns
  • Both Teams to Score 30 Points
  • Team To Score First Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Punt Downed Inside The 5-yard line
  • Team with Highest Scoring Quarter
  • Race To 30 Points
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Receiving Touchdowns
  • To Go To Overtime
  • To Record A Safety
  • Race To 15 Points
  • Total Touchdowns
  • Total Net Offensive Yards
  • Last Team To Score
  • Total Points Odd/Even
  • Race To 35 Points
  • Both Teams To Score A Touchdown
  • First Team to Use Coach Challenge
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Both Teams to Score on Their 1st Drive
  • Race to 10 Points
  • Race To 20 Points
  • To Score First and Win
  • Both Teams to Score
  • Both Teams to Score 10 Points
  • To Attempt an Onside Kick
  • Either Team TD on their 1st Offensive Play
  • To Score First and Lose
  • Team To Win Every Quarter
  • To Win Both Halves
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score First Field Goal
  • Both Teams to Score 20 Points
  • Both teams to score 1+ TD in each half
  • Both Teams To Score 3+ Points
  • Total Pass Completions
  • To Attempt 2-Point Conversion
  • Punt Returned For Touchdown
  • Race To 5 Points
  • To Record Successful Two Point Conversion
  • Both Teams to Score 35 Points
  • Both teams to score 2+ TD in each half
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Both Teams To Complete First Pass Attempt
  • Punt To Be Blocked
  • Team To Score Most Touchdowns (3-Way)
  • Total Rushing Touchdowns
  • Both Teams To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • First Team To Call Timeout
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Race To 25 Points
  • Both Teams to Score 15 Points
  • Field Goal To Be Blocked
  • To Score In Each Quarter
  • Both Teams To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • First Team To Score
  • Total Passing Yards
  • Both Teams To Score 7+ Points
  • Both Teams to Score 25 Points
  • Team To Lead After Every Quarter
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Team To Score Most Touchdowns
  • Both Teams to Score 30 Points
  • Team To Score First Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Punt Downed Inside The 5-yard line
  • Team with Highest Scoring Quarter
  • Race To 30 Points
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Receiving Touchdowns
  • To Go To Overtime
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+1000
-3000
+1000
-3000
+1000
-3000
+1000
-3000
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+3250
-210
+183
+3500
-223
+180
Consensus
-205
+148
-190
+144
+176
-225
+184
-240
-186
+158
-205
+148
+180
+2500
-200
+180
+2500
-200
+4500
+185
-210
+3500
+190
-210
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-110
-129
-110
-119
Consensus
+134
-139
+108
-150
Consensus
-172
+142
-172
+130
-131
-104
-121
-133
+114
-124
+104
-120
+134
-136
+108
-172
-166
+142
-174
+130
-135
-105
-125
+105
-145
+110
-140
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+112
-138
+110
-136
Consensus
-142
+128
-146
+126
+112
-140
+112
-138
-156
+118
-152
+126
Open
Current
Book
Odd Even
Odd Even
Consensus
-112
-108
-116
-116
Consensus
-108
-114
-108
-112
Consensus
-110
-116
-110
-112
Consensus
-106
-116
-110
-114
Consensus
-110
-116
-106
-110
Consensus
-124
+103
-123
+105
Consensus
-110
-116
-108
-108
+105
-125
+105
-125
-110
-112
-108
-110
-114
-110
-112
-108
-112
-112
-116
-110
-116
-106
-112
-108
-106
-110
-110
-116
+110
-120
+106
-124
-110
-110
-110
-116
+100
-120
+100
-120
Open
Current
Book
Home Neither Away
Home Neither Away
Consensus
+280
-260
+1300
+300
-275
+1200
+1100
-285
+280
+1200
-260
+300
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-2000
+800
-2000
+800
Consensus
+135
-175
+140
-185
+800
-2000
+850
-2000
+140
-175
+135
-185
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+570
-1000
+550
-950
Consensus
-412
+265
-377
+250
Consensus
+300
-430
+350
-550
Consensus
+660
-1450
+680
-1200
+550
-950
+520
-1000
+260
-360
+250
-360
+290
-550
+300
-430
+740
-1200
+630
-1200
+230
-350
+240
-350
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-750
+450
-700
+425
-700
+425
-750
+450
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
-201
+25000
+164
-201
+25000
+163
Consensus
-196
+152
-182
+140
-215
+164
-215
+160
+152
-180
+140
-180
+160
+10000
-200
+160
+10000
-200
-210
+30000
+165
-200
+30000
+175
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
-213
+212
+1000
-216
+211
+1050
Consensus
+158
-210
+160
-205
+200
-290
+215
-260
+160
-210
+158
-210
+950
-190
+220
+1050
-200
+225
+220
+1000
-190
+230
+1000
-190
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+430
-110
+370
-108
+430
-112
+400
-110
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-144
+112
-146
+114
Consensus
+245
-350
+235
-360
Consensus
+162
-225
+170
-230
Consensus
-108
-128
-102
-122
+108
-142
+112
-146
-360
+245
-350
+245
-220
+170
-230
+172
-122
-102
-128
+100
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+4000
-8000
+4300
-8000
Consensus
+115
-155
+120
-150
Consensus
-1000
+620
-1000
+580
Consensus
+750
-1450
+740
-1350
Consensus
+687
-1400
+687
-1325
Consensus
-10000
+3600
-15000
+3750
+4300
-8000
+4000
-8000
-1000
+600
-1000
+580
+740
-1300
+750
-1450
-1600
+750
-1450
+850
-20000
+5000
-20000
+5000
+120
-155
+120
-150
-1100
+625
-1200
+650
+2500
-10000
+2200
-10000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+333
+333
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3000
+3000
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+250
+480
+280
+500
+500
+280
+500
+260
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+850
+2500
+900
+2800
+2800
+850
+2800
+900
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+175
+900
+175
+850
+800
+175
+900
+185
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-129
-104
-103
-133
-104
-103
-106
-131
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+100
-122
-106
-116
-106
-122
+100
-108
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+1650
-10000
+1600
-10000
Consensus
-118
-105
-118
-104
-104
-128
+104
-116
+1600
-10000
+1650
-10000
-125
-110
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+104
-138
+108
-134
+108
-140
+110
-118
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+130
-155
+125
-160
-165
+130
-160
+125
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-133
-103
-103
-133
-103
-103
-133
-103
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-150
+115
-150
+115
-150
+115
-150
+115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1800
+1800
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
-182
+146
-200
+144
Consensus
-154
+128
-156
+122
-186
+148
-182
+154
-156
+122
-156
+122
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-400
+275
-400
+275
-400
+275
-400
+275
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+2600
-5000
+2800
-5000
+2800
-5000
+2700
-5000
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+1600
-3500
+1700
-3500
-4500
+1700
-3500
+1600
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-120
-102
-120
-102
-120
-102
-120
-102
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1600
+1600
Open
Current
Book
Home Away Draw
Home Away Draw
Consensus
-165
+290
+305
-165
+290
+305
-165
+305
+290
-165
+305
+290
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-174
+126
-174
+126
+126
-174
+126
-174
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+185
-250
+210
-275
-275
+185
-250
+210
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
Open
Current
Book
Neither Home Away
Neither Home Away
Consensus
+335
-194
+240
+333
-184
+250
+230
-320
+220
-300
+220
-135
+450
+220
-135
+450
+350
-120
+260
+350
-125
+250
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-1400
+675
-1400
+700
Consensus
-300
+245
-320
+225
-320
+230
-310
+240
+675
-1400
+675
-1400
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1000
+1000
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+280
+120
+280
+115
+260
+120
+260
+120
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+160
-200
+145
-190
-210
+145
-190
+155
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
-169
+135
-168
+134
+142
-172
+140
-172
-165
+130
-165
+130
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+360
-500
+340
-550
+360
-550
+340
-500
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+290
-370
+280
-390
+290
-390
+280
-390
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+700
+165
+750
+160
+160
+700
+160
+750
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
+126
-174
+126
-174
-174
+126
-174
+126
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
-278
+222
-278
+222
+222
-278
+222
-278
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+655
-1100
+630
-1150
-1200
+710
-1300
+760
-900
+550
-1000
+550
Open
Current
Book
Away Neither Home
Away Neither Home
Consensus
+150
+10000
-200
+145
+20000
-200
-200
+20000
+145
-200
+10000
+150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-133
-103
-133
-123
-103
-103
-133
-103
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+200
+200
Open
Current
Book
Away Draw Home
Away Draw Home
Consensus
+220
+500
-150
+230
+550
-145
+500
+220
-150
+550
+210
-145
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Neither
Away Home Neither
Consensus
+500
-172
+107
+486
-197
+102
+310
-370
+240
-350
+700
+100
+130
+700
+100
+130
+105
+550
+130
+110
+550
+125
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-174
+126
-174
+126
-174
+126
-174
+126
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-3926
+1041
-4001
+1059
-6004
+964
-6004
+964
-5000
+1500
-5000
+1500
+775
-2500
+750
-2500
+1000
-2200
+950
-2500