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Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
Last season’s Indianapolis Colts were put in an unfortunate spot. Things looked promising briefly with Anthony Richardson as their quarterback, but they lost Richardson for the season due to injury pretty early on, forcing them to change course. This year, they have Richardson back and will look to get back on top of the AFC South with him at the helm. Here, we break down the upcoming season in our 2024 Indianapolis Colts season preview and pick how their season will go in the season win total market.
2024 Indianapolis Colts Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 |
Indianapolis Colts Futures Betting Odds
Standings Data
| 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual Record | 9-8 | 4-12-1 |
| Point Differential | -19 | -138 |
| ATS W/L | 9-8 | 6-11 |
| Over/Under Record | 11-6 | 7-10 |
| Record in Division Games | 3-3 | 1-4-1 |
Indianapolis Colts Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Joe Flacco, Trey Sermon, Raekwon Davis
Key Departures: Gardner Minshew, Zack Moss, Isaiah McKenzie, Jake Martin
The Colts didn’t do much of anything from a movement standpoint in the offseason. They added a couple of bit part players and lost a few on the other side. But the most important thing for this franchise has been getting Richardson healthy so that he can help them to live up to the hype that was set for them going into last season.
Indianapolis Colts Offensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play | 5.2 (T-14th) | 4.8 (T-29th) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.3 (T-10th) | 4.3 (T-18th) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt | 6.8 (T-21st) | 6.4 (T-27th) |
| Points Per Game | 23.3 (T-10th) | 17.0 (T-30th) |
| Turnovers | 22 (T-17th) | 34 (32nd) |
Indianapolis wasn’t terrible offensively when you take into account the fact that they lost their starting quarterback early in the year. Expectations will be much higher for the Colts offense this year, though, as they expect to have Richardson on the field for the duration of the year. Keeping Jonathan Taylor should be huge for the offense of the Colts, something that did not look like a guarantee for most of last year.
Indianapolis Colts Defensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.2 (T-10th) | 5.2 (T-9th) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed | 4.1 (T-10th) | 4.1 (T-4th) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed | 6.8 (T-22nd) | 6.6 (T-15th) |
| Points Per Game Allowed | 24.4 (28th) | 25.1 (T-28th) |
| Takeaways | 24 (T-16th) | 21 (19th) |
The Colts need to be better on the defensive side of the ball if they are going to elevate themselves to the top of the AFC South. Indy finished in the bottom-five in scoring defense last year, with their defense betraying them at the end of the season in a win-or-go-home game against the Houston Texans. For the Colts to have any chance to surpass the Texans in this division, they are going to need to find a way to dig in and get some stops.
Positives & Negatives
The biggest positive for the Colts this season is that they have their starting quarterback on the field once again. The toughest thing for a team to do in football is to adjust on the fly to quarterback changes when your whole season was prepped with a specific player in mind at that position. If the Colts can avoid that again this year, they could be in for a year where they get back to the top of their division.
However, this team will only go as far as their defense will take them. Even if Richardson plays and is effective, if this team is a bottom-five scoring defense again in 2024, they will not make meaningful improvements in the standings.
2024 Indianapolis Colts Win Total Prediction: Over 8.5 Wins
We are high on the Indianapolis Colts going into the 2024 NFL season. That defense is going to get slightly better, which could be all they need in order to have more success. We have them winning around 10 games this year and will take the Colts to go over their season win total in what should be a fascinating season of football in the AFC South from top to bottom.
