Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings Best Bet – 11/3/2024

Colts vs Vikings Betting Odds

Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played was in Week 15 of 2022. That contest produced a high scoring shootout, as the Vikings pulled off the home win 39-36. Although the Vikings recorded the win, they failed to cover the -3.5 point spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 46.5 and which the Over hit.

Indianapolis's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #31 in the league while allowing 400 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #6-most yards per game: 253. The Colts have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 9.31 yards per target (#1-worst). Indianapolis's worst position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank just #25 in the league in locking down route-runners. Indianapolis's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their linebackers, which check in as just the #24-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. This represents a particular disadvantage for Indianapolis given that the Vikings have excelled in the pass game this year, accumulating 8.43 yards per target (#4-best in the league). In terms of their offense, the Colts have ranked #24 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 174 yards per game (#23 in football). On the ground they've ranked #16 with 4.24 yards per carry.

Minnesota's primary disadvantage has been their pass defense, which has allowed a monstrous 286 yards per game through the air this year, sliding them into the #2 spot among the league's worst. Opposing wide receivers have given the Vikings the most trouble, posting 192 yards per game against this defense (#3-worst in football). Minnesota's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #1-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Minnesota given that the Colts air attack has been so good this year, passing their way to 6.62 yards per target (#23-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Vikings check in at #12 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 199 yards per game (#15 in football). Their run game has ranked #9 with 4.65 yards per attempt on the ground.

Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction

Final Score: Indianapolis Colts 21.39 vs Minnesota Vikings 27.79

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