The Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans have been linked for much of this season due to trade rumors involving Deshaun Watson. And while those rumors have come and gone without any movement, these teams will again be intertwined this week, as the Texans and Dolphins square off in Miami. In this week’s NFL betting picks, we look at Texans vs Dolphins, as both teams will search for a win that they desperately need.
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Texans vs Dolphins Betting Pick
This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 7, 2021.
Why Bet The Texans:
✅ These teams are very evenly matched this season in terms of their yardage for and against per play. Without much to separate these dismal sides, taking the points with the Texans is the way to go given that they are getting a full touchdown against a fellow one-win opponent in Miami.
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✅ Home field advantage has been anything but advantageous for the Miami Dolphins this season, as they have gone 0-3 straight up in their three home games in 2021. While Houston is the worst team they will face at home this year, Miami has already blown a game at home against the Atlanta Falcons, who are also in the league’s bottom echelon.
✅ This could be the worst defense that Davis Mills has faced as the quarterback of the Texans. Miami is allowing 6.0 yards per play this season, which is a bottom-10 defense in the NFL this year. While Houston is worse in that regard, Mills should be able to have his best game as a starting quarterback this week.
Houston Texans
The Houston Texans are mired in a seven-game losing streak, dropping all of their contests after winning in Week 1 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The most recent defeat for the Texans came at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams, who ran up a huge lead against a Texans team that was clearly overmatched. But there were some positives to be taken away from that game for the Texans.
Mainly, the Texans did show some fight late in the game, scoring multiple times and recovering an onside kick to get within a more respectable margin against Los Angeles. The Rams game was just the second start in Davis Mills’ pro career where the Texans scored in double digits. And against a struggling Dolphins team, Houston could have another respectable offensive performance.
Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins are also mired in a seven-game losing streak, dropping every one of their games after a season opening win against the New England Patriots. Miami’s latest loss came at the hands of the Buffalo Bills, in what was a tight game into the second half, before the Bills pulled away and won by multiple possessions. This game against the Texans represents one of Miami’s best chances to win in the near future.
For Miami, the defense has to be better against Davis Mills than it has been against their recent opponents. Houston’s offensive struggles are well documented, but the Dolphins have not been lighting up the scoreboard themselves. It will be up to the Miami defense to make sure that the the Dolphins do not have to do too much scoring to win this game.