Houston Texans at New York Jets Pick & Prediction – 10/31/2024

Texans vs Jets Betting Odds

Houston Texans vs New York Jets Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Houston Texans vs New York Jets Betting Preview

It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The Jets won by double digits at home, outscoring the Texans 30-6 in Week 14 of 2023. New York entered that game as a 3.0 point road underog. They had an implied win probablity of only 40% before pulling of the upset. The Game Total for that game was 33.5 and which the Over hit.

New York's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 311 yards per game -- #7-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #2-least yards per game: 182. To give credit where credit is due, their run defense has also been terrific, checking in at #9 in yards per carry (4.44). The New York Jets pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing wide receivers, who have managed just 7 yards per target against them (#31-least in football). New York's best coverage unit has been their linebackers, which grade out as the #1 unit in the NFL in this regard. New York's pass rush has been led by their defensive tackles who, ranking as the #8 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. When it comes to their offense, the Jets check in at #10 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 227 yards per game (#6 in football). Their run game has ranked #29 with 3.6 yards per attempt on the ground.

Houston's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #3 in the league while allowing just 296 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #4-least yards per game: 184. The Texans have done the best job shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 23 yards per game (#1-best). Houston's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #9 in the league in locking down route-runners. Houston's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #10-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Texans have ranked #9 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 210 yards per game (#11 in football). On the ground they've ranked #12 with 4.51 yards per carry.

Houston Texans vs New York Jets Prediction

Final Score: Houston Texans 18.72 vs New York Jets 22.33

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