Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals

Oct 20, 2024

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 10/20/2024

Bengals vs Browns Betting Odds

Spread: Cincinnati Bengals -6.5, Cleveland Browns 6.5
Over/Under: 42
Moneyline: Cincinnati Bengals -280, Cleveland Browns 235

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Cincinnati Bengals - 71% Cincinnati Bengals - 54%
Cleveland Browns - 29% Cleveland Browns - 46%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals faceoff against Deshaun Watson and the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals enter the game as a huge favorite (-280) despite being on the road. Cincinnati is currently favored by -6.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 42.0.

Cleveland's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 250 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #28 in the league with just 182 yards per game. Partially to blame is Cleveland's offensive line, which has given the quarterback very little protection, ranking just #26 in the NFL. When it comes to their defense, the Browns check in at #15 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 209 yards per game against Cleveland this year (#23 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #6 against them with 5.1 yards per ground attempt. This Browns defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, allowing them to complete just 54.7% of their passes (#2-lowest in the league). A strong argument could be made that their worst position group is their cornerbacks, who rank just #31 in the league in coverage.

Cincinnati's biggest strength has been their passing offense, ranking #7 in the league with 257 yards per game through the air. In terms of their defense, the Bengals have ranked #24 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 220 yards per game through the air against them (#18 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #17 with 4.78 yards per carry. Cincinnati pass defense has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 28 yards per game (#9-best). Cincinnati has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 96.8% completion rate (#2-highest).

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

Final Score: Cincinnati Bengals 22.26 vs Cleveland Browns 20.51

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-115
75% CIN
+5.5/-105
25% CLE

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-245
93% CIN
+200
7% CLE

Total Pick Consensus

42.5/-110
18% UN
42.5/-110
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

CIN
Team Stats
CLE
13
G
13
362
PTs
335
27.8
PPG
25.8
4705
YDS
4462
361.9
YDS/G
343.2
42
TD
36
3.2
TD/G
2.8
43.2
SC%
34.4
9.4
TO%
6.4

Defense/Offense

CIN
Team Stats
CLE
13
G
13
360
PTs
232
27.7
PPG
17.8
4752
YDS
4069
365.5
YDS/G
313
40
TD
24
3.1
TD/G
1.8
42.6
SC%
26.1
9.2
TO%
13.1

Offense/Defense

CIN
Rushing
CLE
13
G
13
283
ATT
369
1174
YDS
1663
90.3
Y/G
127.9
4.1
Y/A
4.5
9
TD
18
0.7
TD/G
1.4

Defense/Offense

CIN
Rushing
CLE
13
G
13
379
ATT
299
1694
YDS
1151
130.3
Y/G
88.5
4.5
Y/A
3.8
16
TD
6
1.2
TD/G
0.5

Offense/Defense

CIN
Passing
CLE
335
CMP
234
490
ATT
383
68.4
CMP%
61.1
271.6
YDS/GM
215.3
7.6
Y/A
7.8
6.8
NY/A
6.7
6
INT
4
32
SK
33

Defense/Offense

CIN
Passing
CLE
282
CMP
313
439
ATT
512
64.2
CMP%
61.1
235.2
YDS/GM
224.5
7.3
Y/A
6.3
6.6
NY/A
5.2
8
INT
14
24
SK
53

Offense/Defense

CIN
Special Teams
CLE
26
Punts/Ret
28
180
Punt/Yds
428
6.9
Punt/Y/R
15.3
29
Kick Off/Ret
22
821
Kick Off/Yds
604
28.3
Kick Off/Y/rt
27.5

Defense/Offense

CIN
Special Teams
CLE
21
Punts/Ret
39
182
Punt/Yds
397
8.7
Punt/Y/R
10.2
13
Kick Off/Ret
29
324
Kick Off/Yds
690
24.9
Kick Off/Y/rt
23.8

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CIN CLE
CIN CLE
Consensus
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
CIN CLE
CIN CLE
Consensus
-222
+185
-238
+198
-230
+190
-245
+200
-215
+180
-250
+205
-225
+180
-245
+195
-220
+180
-240
+196
-225
+185
-250
+200
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
45.0 (-111)
45.0 (-109)
42.5 (-111)
42.5 (-109)
45.0 (-112)
45.0 (-108)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
43.5 (-115)
43.5 (-105)
42.5 (-114)
42.5 (-106)
44.5 (-112)
44.5 (-109)
42.0 (-112)
42.0 (-109)
45.0 (-110)
45.0 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
44.5 (-110)
44.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)