Cincinnati Bengals
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Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 10/20/2024
Bengals vs Browns Betting Odds
Spread: | Cincinnati Bengals -6.5, Cleveland Browns 6.5 |
Over/Under: | 42 |
Moneyline: | Cincinnati Bengals -280, Cleveland Browns 235 |
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Cincinnati Bengals - 71% | Cincinnati Bengals - 54% |
Cleveland Browns - 29% | Cleveland Browns - 46% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals faceoff against Deshaun Watson and the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals enter the game as a huge favorite (-280) despite being on the road. Cincinnati is currently favored by -6.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 42.0.
Cleveland's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 250 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their aerial attack, clocking in at #28 in the league with just 182 yards per game. Partially to blame is Cleveland's offensive line, which has given the quarterback very little protection, ranking just #26 in the NFL. When it comes to their defense, the Browns check in at #15 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 209 yards per game against Cleveland this year (#23 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #6 against them with 5.1 yards per ground attempt. This Browns defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, allowing them to complete just 54.7% of their passes (#2-lowest in the league). A strong argument could be made that their worst position group is their cornerbacks, who rank just #31 in the league in coverage.
Cincinnati's biggest strength has been their passing offense, ranking #7 in the league with 257 yards per game through the air. In terms of their defense, the Bengals have ranked #24 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 220 yards per game through the air against them (#18 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #17 with 4.78 yards per carry. Cincinnati pass defense has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 28 yards per game (#9-best). Cincinnati has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 96.8% completion rate (#2-highest).
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction
Final Score: Cincinnati Bengals 22.26 vs Cleveland Browns 20.51
**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.
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Cincinnati Bengals
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