Prop bets have taken over the world of NFL betting, as bettors look to test their knowledge in hyper-specific components of each football game. With such a massive demand for NFL prop betting action, it is only right that we give bettors our top picks in the NFL prop betting markets. Each week, we will give you the best NFL props this week, to help you build your bankroll betting all kinds of football props.
NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bets
NFL Prop Bet #1: Colts vs Bengals – Jake Browning Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+120)
Our first NFL player prop for Week 14 is for Jake Browning to throw at least two touchdown passes for the Cincinnati Bengals against the Indianapolis Colts. Browning looked legitimately good in the game between the Bengals and Jaguars on Monday Night Football last week. Against a Colts team whose defense is anything but convincing in 2023, Browning will do it again with another impactful performance through the air.
How Does ATS.io Pick The Best NFL Player Prop Bets?
There are a number of ways that our team of NFL handicappers select their best NFL player props this week and every week during the NFL season. Below, you will find some strategic tips that our handicappers use to pinpoint their top NFL prop selections each week. But the overview of those strategies is simple: we look for prop bets that have a better chance of cashing than their odds would imply.
There are many different ways to find value in NFL prop bets relative to their odds. But the upshot is that our NFL experts use a combination of data modeling and qualitative analysis to identify where the best spots to bet are. Bettors should come back to this page on a regular basis to find out what those prop bets are going into each week of action.
Types Of NFL Prop Bets
One of the great things about placing NFL prop bets is the fact that there are so many different types of props that bettors can get involved with. There is the potential to bet on everything from how a player will perform in a specific statistical category to whether or not specific things will happen over the course of a game. Below is a list of the main types of NFL prop bets available at NFL sportsbooks, and the majority of the bet types you will see on this page each week.
Yardage props are incredibly popular each week in the NFL, as these over/under bets ask bettors to determine how many yards a player will get. These can come in the form of passing yardage, rushing yardage, or receiving yardage, depending on the player being focused on. With these props, bettors need to evaluate the matchups throughout an entire game, to determine whether a player has the potential to underperform or outperform their expectations.
In a similar vein, NFL touchdown props ask bettors to predict whether or not individual players will score touchdowns in a game. Bettors can wager on whether a player will score the first touchdown in a game or whether they will score a touchdown at any point in the game. Either way, these props can often come at nice plus prices, as even the best players in the NFL typically average less than a touchdown per game.
Turnovers can destroy a team’s chances to score points in the NFL, but they can be incredibly profitable for bettors thanks to turnover props. With turnovers props, bettors can wager on quarterbacks to throw interceptions, which can often come at plus prices depending on which quarterback you are wagering on. But it’s not enough to just bet on turnover prone quarterbacks in this market, as it takes more digging than that to find profitable angles.
Along with individual player props, bettors are able to wager on team props during the NFL season. Bettors can wager on things like how many points a team will score or which team will score more touchdowns over the course of a matchup. For those who do not wish to grind out single-player prop bets, these can be a nice option.
Bettors who don’t want to wager on props specific to players or teams can get involved with props pertaining to the entire game itself. These props include wagering on whether or not a game will go to overtime, whether a team will score three times in a row, and countless other options. If nothing else, these are worth looking into each week to see if any potential value is lurking out there.
NFL Player Prop Betting Strategies
Now is when we answer the most important question when it comes to our best NFL player prop bets this week: how do we decide what player prop bets to bet on? There are several bits of strategy that our NFL experts employ to make that determination. Below are some of those strategies that help us bet on NFL props successfully.
Analyze the Matchups
This should go without saying, but it is imperative that bettors analyze the matchups going into any NFL game to determine what the best player prop bets are. Bettors should be sure to make themselves aware of any injuries that teams are dealing with, and how that could lead to better or worse performances from the players who are on the field. Figuring out the strong and weak points of each team is also vital to successful NFL prop betting.
Scheduling Is Everything
Looking at the schedule is so important when betting on the NFL, and that is especially true when evaluating player prop bets. Teams may rely on some players more or less in a given week depending on the demands of their schedule. There is also the potential for teams to look ahead to bigger games, which can mean unders and turnovers from the team lacking focus that week. This should all be a part of a bettor’s handicap when looking at the list of props each week.
Above all else, it is important for bettors to wager on NFL player props responsibly. Bettors should make sure to wager the same amount on each prop bet that they place, and avoid chasing losses by betting bigger amounts to try and even things out. This is true of any type of sports betting, but is worth repeating in the prop marketplace.
More NFL Best Bets
Bettors can find way more than just NFL prop bets here at ATS. Bettors can also find everything from straight bets to parlays, and a whole lot more. Just click the links below to check out all of the NFL bets we have to offer each week throughout the season.