An exciting Friday night game in the NBA is scheduled to go down in Indiana. There, the Indiana Pacers will host the Sacramento Kings, in a battle of young teams that have been better than expected this year. In our NBA betting picks for Friday, we break down this Kings vs Pacers matchup from Bankers Life Fieldhouse.
Kings vs Pacers Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 235.5 |
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This game will be played at Bankers Life Fieldhouse at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, February 3, 2023.
Why Bet the Under:
✅ There is a drop-off in offensive efficiency from the Sacramento Kings at home and on the road. They have the best offensive rating in the NBA at home, but drops to fifth on the road at a much lower number. We will see that difference play out to the tune of an under on Friday.
✅ De’Aaron Fox is set to miss this game due to personal reasons. Without him, the Kings are much worse at working the ball into the paint from the guard spots. That will limit their entire offense in this matchup.
✅ The Kings have gone under the total at the fifth highest rate in the NBA this season. They are 22-27 in the over/under market this year, and we will see another under this time around.
NBA
Sacramento Kings
Indiana Pacers
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| SAC | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | IND |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Games | 12 |
| 43.1 | FG | 42.0 |
| 87.5 | FGA | 89.4 |
| .493 | FG% | .470 |
| 11.3 | 3Pt-FG | 12.4 |
| 34.0 | 3Pt-FGA | 37.1 |
| .331 | 3Pt% | .336 |
| 31.9 | 2Pt-FG | 29.6 |
| 53.4 | 2Pt-FGA | 52.3 |
| .596 | 2Pt% | .566 |
| 19.0 | FT | 20.1 |
| 22.8 | FTA | 25.2 |
| .832 | FT% | .796 |
| 8.9 | ORB | 11.6 |
| 33.9 | DRB | 32.8 |
| 42.8 | TRB | 44.4 |
| 24.4 | AST | 23.8 |
| 8.2 | STL | 7.5 |
| 4.7 | BLK | 4.5 |
| 13.5 | TOV | 13.6 |
| 20.2 | PF | 19.2 |
| 116.4 | PTS | 116.6 |
Defense/Offense
| SAC | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | IND |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Games | 12 |
| 40.3 | FG | 42.1 |
| 88.8 | FGA | 86.5 |
| .455 | FG% | .487 |
| 15.0 | 3Pt-FG | 12.3 |
| 39.8 | 3Pt-FGA | 32.8 |
| .377 | 3Pt% | .374 |
| 25.3 | 2Pt-FG | 29.9 |
| 49.0 | 2Pt-FGA | 53.6 |
| .517 | 2Pt% | .556 |
| 17.3 | FT | 16.5 |
| 21.9 | FTA | 21.6 |
| .793 | FT% | .765 |
| 10.4 | ORB | 8.1 |
| 31.0 | DRB | 31.7 |
| 41.4 | TRB | 39.8 |
| 25.0 | AST | 27.6 |
| 8.1 | STL | 7.6 |
| 3.3 | BLK | 4.5 |
| 15.1 | TOV | 14.8 |
| 18.9 | PF | 21.6 |
| 113.0 | PTS | 113.0 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| SAC | Four Factors | IND |
|---|---|---|
| .557 | eFG% | .540 |
| 12.2 | TOV% | 11.9 |
| 22.3 | RB% | 73.2 |
| .217 | FT/FGA | .224 |
Defense/Offense
| SAC | Four Factors | IND |
|---|---|---|
| .539 | eFG% | .558 |
| 13.3 | TOV% | 13.4 |
| 76.5 | RB% | 19.9 |
| .195 | FT/FGA | .191 |
Analytics
| SAC | Analytics | IND |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pythag Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Pythag Losses | 7 |
| 3.43 | Margin Of Victory | -3.58 |
| 116.4 | O Rtg | 113.0 |
| 113.0 | D Rtg | 116.6 |
| 98.7 | Pace | 98.8 |
| .261 | FTr | .249 |
| .389 | 3PAr | .380 |
| .597 | TS% | .589 |
Betting Trends
| SAC | Betting Trends | IND |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 115.67 | Avg Score | 114 |
| 112.33 | Avg Opp Score | 121.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 115.67 | Avg Score | 119.33 |
| 112.33 | Avg Opp Score | 121 |
| SAC | Betting Trends | IND |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 115 | Avg Score | 115.6 |
| 110 | Avg Opp Score | 120.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 119 | Avg Score | 116.2 |
| 113.4 | Avg Opp Score | 121.2 |
| SAC | Betting Trends | IND |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-9-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-8-0 |
| 120.7 | Avg Score | 113.3 |
| 113.6 | Avg Opp Score | 123.5 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-2-1 |
| 116.9 | Avg Score | 119.3 |
| 115.9 | Avg Opp Score | 118.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Sacramento Kings
The Sacramento Kings have been one of the best stories in the NBA this season. They are in third place in the Western Conference standings, and they come into this matchup having won two games in a row. Here, the Kings will look for a third straight win here against Indiana, but will need to overcome the loss of one of their on-court leaders to do so.
With De’Aaron Fox set to miss this game due to personal reasons, Domantas Sabonis will need to be even better than usual for the Kings. Sabonis has been a regular in the triple-double department this season, but his passing will be even more important than usual, as Fox is typically the player besides Sabonis capable of distributing the ball from the paint for this team.
Indiana Pacers
The Indiana Pacers have fallen out of the top-10 in the Eastern Conference this season, dropping to 11th recently. They have gone through a serious cold spell over their last 11 or so games, with the absence of Tyrese Haliburton really hurting them. But Haliburton will be back for this game against his former team, which could make things very interesting.
Haliburton should win the point guard battle against anyone he is matched up against in this game, without Fox there to keep up with him from a scoring perspective. But the Pacers around Haliburton will need to play at their best defensively to prevent the top scoring team in the NBA from getting going.
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