Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers

Jan 21, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 1/21/2025

  • Date: January 21, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Portland Trail Blazers 11 (-110), Miami Heat -11 (-110)
Over/Under:221
Moneyline:Portland Trail Blazers 430, Miami Heat -550


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Portland Trail Blazers - 18%Portland Trail Blazers - 21%
Miami Heat - 82%Miami Heat - 79%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers (14-28) face off against the Miami Heat (21-20) on Tuesday night at 7:30 PM ET, with the game taking place at Kaseya Center in Miami. This matchup presents a significant challenge for the Trail Blazers, who will be traveling cross-country and across two time zones, a situation that could hinder their performance.

Miami enters as a substantial favorite, with a spread currently set at Heat -10.5 and a moneyline of -540, implying an 82% win probability for the Heat. In contrast, the Trail Blazers, sitting at +430 on the moneyline, have an implied win probability of just 18%.

The Heat have shown solid form at home, winning 10 of their last 15 games in Miami. Conversely, the Trail Blazers have struggled recently, losing 26 of their last 40 contests. However, Portland comes off an impressive upset victory over the Chicago Bulls, where they won 113-102 despite entering as 4.5-point underdogs with only a 38% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro's rebounds have caught bettors' attention, with the prop total opening at Over 4.5 Rebounds (-155) and moving to 5.5 (-105) as sharp money has come in on the Over. With both teams' recent performances and the betting odds, this matchup is set to be an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Portland Trail Blazers 108.06 vs Miami Heat 118.43

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.0/-108
39% POR
-11.0/-112
61% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+400
6% POR
-535
94% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

221.5/-112
20% UN
221.5/-108
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
42
Games
41
40.0
FG
41.1
89.3
FGA
89.1
.447
FG%
.462
12.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
35.9
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.338
3Pt%
.358
27.8
2Pt-FG
27.6
53.4
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.521
2Pt%
.538
15.8
FT
14.2
20.4
FTA
17.9
.773
FT%
.793
12.5
ORB
11.2
30.7
DRB
34.5
43.2
TRB
45.6
23.2
AST
27.0
8.0
STL
7.3
5.6
BLK
5.1
16.5
TOV
14.5
19.2
PF
17.9
107.9
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
42
Games
41
42.4
FG
39.8
88.4
FGA
86.9
.479
FG%
.458
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.3
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.378
3Pt%
.370
28.5
2Pt-FG
25.5
51.8
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.550
2Pt%
.528
18.1
FT
17.3
22.8
FTA
22.0
.795
FT%
.790
12.1
ORB
9.3
32.8
DRB
34.2
44.9
TRB
43.5
27.2
AST
26.3
9.8
STL
8.6
5.9
BLK
3.8
15.2
TOV
13.5
18.6
PF
15.8
116.7
PTS
111.2

Offense/Defense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.515
eFG%
.538
14.4
TOV%
13.0
27.6
RB%
75.4
.177
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.557
eFG%
.540
13.4
TOV%
12.3
71.8
RB%
21.3
.205
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
42
Games
41
40.3
FG
41.9
90.1
FGA
90.7
.447
FG%
.462
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.2
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.338
3Pt%
.358
28.1
2Pt-FG
28.1
53.9
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.521
2Pt%
.538
15.9
FT
14.4
20.6
FTA
18.2
.773
FT%
.793
12.6
ORB
11.4
31.0
DRB
35.1
43.6
TRB
46.5
23.4
AST
27.5
8.1
STL
7.5
5.6
BLK
5.2
16.7
TOV
14.7
19.4
PF
18.2
108.8
PTS
112.0

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
42
Games
41
42.7
FG
40.5
89.2
FGA
88.4
.479
FG%
.458
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.5
36.9
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.378
3Pt%
.370
28.7
2Pt-FG
26.0
52.3
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.550
2Pt%
.528
18.3
FT
17.7
23.0
FTA
22.3
.795
FT%
.790
12.2
ORB
9.5
33.1
DRB
34.8
45.3
TRB
44.3
27.5
AST
26.8
9.9
STL
8.8
6.0
BLK
3.9
15.3
TOV
13.7
18.8
PF
16.1
117.7
PTS
113.2

POR
Analytics
MIA
10
Pythag Wins
22
32
Pythag Losses
19
-8.83
Margin Of Victory
1.22
108.8
O Rtg
113.2
117.7
D Rtg
112.0
99.1
Pace
97.0
.229
FTr
.253
.402
3PAr
.443
.549
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-109)
+11.5 (-108)
-11.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-112)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-108)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-113)
-11.5 (-110)
+11.0 (-113)
-11.0 (-108)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-105)
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+460
-650
+401
-533
+470
-650
+400
-535
+460
-620
+440
-590
+430
-590
+380
-500
+460
-650
+400
-550
+475
-650
+425
-600
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-109)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
221.5 (-108)
221.5 (-112)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
221.0 (-113)
221.0 (-108)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)

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