Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers

Jan 21, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 1/21/2025

  • Date: January 21, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Portland Trail Blazers 11 (-110), Miami Heat -11 (-110)
Over/Under:221
Moneyline:Portland Trail Blazers 430, Miami Heat -550


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Portland Trail Blazers - 18%Portland Trail Blazers - 21%
Miami Heat - 82%Miami Heat - 79%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers (14-28) face off against the Miami Heat (21-20) on Tuesday night at 7:30 PM ET, with the game taking place at Kaseya Center in Miami. This matchup presents a significant challenge for the Trail Blazers, who will be traveling cross-country and across two time zones, a situation that could hinder their performance.

Miami enters as a substantial favorite, with a spread currently set at Heat -10.5 and a moneyline of -540, implying an 82% win probability for the Heat. In contrast, the Trail Blazers, sitting at +430 on the moneyline, have an implied win probability of just 18%.

The Heat have shown solid form at home, winning 10 of their last 15 games in Miami. Conversely, the Trail Blazers have struggled recently, losing 26 of their last 40 contests. However, Portland comes off an impressive upset victory over the Chicago Bulls, where they won 113-102 despite entering as 4.5-point underdogs with only a 38% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro's rebounds have caught bettors' attention, with the prop total opening at Over 4.5 Rebounds (-155) and moving to 5.5 (-105) as sharp money has come in on the Over. With both teams' recent performances and the betting odds, this matchup is set to be an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Portland Trail Blazers 108.06 vs Miami Heat 118.43

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-110
42% POR
-9.0/-110
58% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+307
7% POR
-385
93% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-112
18% UN
218.5/-108
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.3
90.2
FGA
88.6
.450
FG%
.466
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.7
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.342
3Pt%
.360
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.6
52.5
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.527
2Pt%
.545
16.9
FT
13.9
22.2
FTA
17.9
.762
FT%
.776
13.4
ORB
10.7
31.4
DRB
33.9
44.8
TRB
44.7
23.8
AST
26.5
8.3
STL
7.5
5.3
BLK
4.7
16.0
TOV
13.8
19.0
PF
17.0
110.9
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
40.5
88.3
FGA
87.0
.471
FG%
.465
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.7
35.2
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.361
3Pt%
.367
28.9
2Pt-FG
26.8
53.1
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.544
2Pt%
.538
18.0
FT
16.0
22.5
FTA
20.2
.799
FT%
.791
11.9
ORB
9.7
32.3
DRB
33.7
44.2
TRB
43.4
26.2
AST
26.4
9.5
STL
8.1
5.5
BLK
3.8
15.5
TOV
13.6
19.3
PF
15.5
113.9
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.521
eFG%
.543
13.8
TOV%
12.5
29.2
RB%
75.8
.187
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.543
eFG%
.544
13.6
TOV%
12.4
72.5
RB%
22.3
.204
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
40.8
FG
42.3
90.9
FGA
90.9
.450
FG%
.466
13.0
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.342
3Pt%
.360
27.9
2Pt-FG
28.3
52.8
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.527
2Pt%
.545
17.0
FT
14.3
22.4
FTA
18.4
.762
FT%
.776
13.5
ORB
11.0
31.6
DRB
34.8
45.1
TRB
45.8
24.0
AST
27.2
8.3
STL
7.7
5.3
BLK
4.8
16.1
TOV
14.2
19.1
PF
17.4
111.7
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
41.9
FG
41.5
88.9
FGA
89.3
.471
FG%
.465
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.1
35.4
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.361
3Pt%
.367
29.1
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.5
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.544
2Pt%
.538
18.1
FT
16.4
22.7
FTA
20.7
.799
FT%
.791
12.0
ORB
10.0
32.6
DRB
34.5
44.6
TRB
44.5
26.4
AST
27.1
9.6
STL
8.4
5.6
BLK
3.9
15.6
TOV
13.9
19.4
PF
16.0
114.7
PTS
113.5

POR
Analytics
MIA
33
Pythag Wins
42
49
Pythag Losses
40
-2.98
Margin Of Victory
0.56
111.7
O Rtg
113.5
114.7
D Rtg
112.9
98.8
Pace
96.2
.246
FTr
.232
.418
3PAr
.429
.555
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+11.5 (-109)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-109)
-9.0 (-111)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-108)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-107)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-107)
-9.0 (-114)
+11.0 (-115)
-11.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+460
-650
+307
-385
+470
-650
+320
-410
+460
-620
+315
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-111)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-112)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-105)
220.0 (-115)
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)

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