Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers

Jan 21, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Preview – 1/21/2025

  • Date: January 21, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Portland Trail Blazers 11 (-110), Miami Heat -11 (-110)
Over/Under:221
Moneyline:Portland Trail Blazers 430, Miami Heat -550


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Portland Trail Blazers - 18%Portland Trail Blazers - 21%
Miami Heat - 82%Miami Heat - 79%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers (14-28) face off against the Miami Heat (21-20) on Tuesday night at 7:30 PM ET, with the game taking place at Kaseya Center in Miami. This matchup presents a significant challenge for the Trail Blazers, who will be traveling cross-country and across two time zones, a situation that could hinder their performance.

Miami enters as a substantial favorite, with a spread currently set at Heat -10.5 and a moneyline of -540, implying an 82% win probability for the Heat. In contrast, the Trail Blazers, sitting at +430 on the moneyline, have an implied win probability of just 18%.

The Heat have shown solid form at home, winning 10 of their last 15 games in Miami. Conversely, the Trail Blazers have struggled recently, losing 26 of their last 40 contests. However, Portland comes off an impressive upset victory over the Chicago Bulls, where they won 113-102 despite entering as 4.5-point underdogs with only a 38% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop markets, Tyler Herro's rebounds have caught bettors' attention, with the prop total opening at Over 4.5 Rebounds (-155) and moving to 5.5 (-105) as sharp money has come in on the Over. With both teams' recent performances and the betting odds, this matchup is set to be an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.


Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Portland Trail Blazers 108.06 vs Miami Heat 118.43

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-110
42% POR
-9.0/-110
58% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+307
7% POR
-385
93% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-112
18% UN
218.5/-108
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
75
Games
74
40.4
FG
41.3
89.6
FGA
88.6
.451
FG%
.466
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.6
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.346
3Pt%
.360
27.4
2Pt-FG
27.6
52.0
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.526
2Pt%
.546
16.9
FT
13.8
22.1
FTA
17.7
.765
FT%
.778
13.0
ORB
10.8
31.1
DRB
33.9
44.2
TRB
44.7
23.7
AST
26.5
8.1
STL
7.6
5.3
BLK
4.7
15.9
TOV
13.8
19.0
PF
17.0
110.7
PTS
110.1

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
75
Games
74
41.7
FG
39.9
88.1
FGA
86.2
.474
FG%
.462
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
35.3
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.364
3Pt%
.366
28.9
2Pt-FG
26.2
52.8
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.547
2Pt%
.536
18.1
FT
16.1
22.6
FTA
20.3
.798
FT%
.792
11.9
ORB
9.4
32.1
DRB
33.4
44.0
TRB
42.9
26.2
AST
26.3
9.4
STL
8.0
5.5
BLK
3.8
15.2
TOV
13.9
19.2
PF
15.6
114.4
PTS
109.5

Offense/Defense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.523
eFG%
.544
13.8
TOV%
12.5
28.9
RB%
75.6
.189
FT/FGA
.156

Defense/Offense

POR
Four Factors
MIA
.547
eFG%
.542
13.4
TOV%
12.7
72.3
RB%
21.8
.205
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
75
Games
74
40.8
FG
42.5
90.6
FGA
91.1
.451
FG%
.466
13.2
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.0
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.346
3Pt%
.360
27.7
2Pt-FG
28.4
52.6
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.526
2Pt%
.546
17.1
FT
14.2
22.4
FTA
18.2
.765
FT%
.778
13.2
ORB
11.1
31.5
DRB
34.9
44.7
TRB
46.0
24.0
AST
27.3
8.2
STL
7.8
5.3
BLK
4.8
16.1
TOV
14.2
19.3
PF
17.5
112.0
PTS
113.2

Defense/Offense

POR
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
75
Games
74
42.2
FG
41.0
89.1
FGA
88.7
.474
FG%
.462
13.0
3Pt-FG
14.1
35.7
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.364
3Pt%
.366
29.2
2Pt-FG
26.9
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.547
2Pt%
.536
18.3
FT
16.5
22.9
FTA
20.9
.798
FT%
.792
12.0
ORB
9.7
32.5
DRB
34.3
44.5
TRB
44.1
26.5
AST
27.0
9.5
STL
8.3
5.5
BLK
3.9
15.3
TOV
14.3
19.4
PF
16.0
115.7
PTS
112.6

POR
Analytics
MIA
29
Pythag Wins
36
46
Pythag Losses
38
-3.69
Margin Of Victory
-0.61
112.0
O Rtg
112.6
115.7
D Rtg
113.2
98.4
Pace
96.0
.247
FTr
.235
.420
3PAr
.435
.557
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+11.5 (-109)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-109)
-9.0 (-111)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-108)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-107)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-107)
-9.0 (-114)
+11.0 (-115)
-11.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
POR MIA
POR MIA
Consensus
+460
-650
+307
-385
+470
-650
+320
-410
+460
-620
+315
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-111)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-108)
218.5 (-112)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-105)
220.0 (-115)
219.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)

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