The Phoenix Suns will head to Houston on Monday night to take on the Rockets in what should be a highly entertaining Western Conference matchup. Phoenix arrives off a dramatic 108-105 comeback win over the Oklahoma City Thunder, punctuated by a last-second three-pointer from Devin Booker. The Rockets are off to a strong start of their own and will try to pick up another win at home here. Before tip-off from Houston, you will find my analysis and my Suns vs Rockets prediction below.
Our Suns vs Rockets Pick
| Pick: | |
| Confidence: | 2/5 |
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Phoenix Suns @ Houston Rockets
- Date & Time: January 5, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, Texas
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
The Suns have momentum after a dramatic comeback win over the Oklahoma City Thunder, with Booker drilling a game-winner to uplift a Phoenix squad dealing with some key absences. Grayson Allen (knee) is questionable and Jalen Green (hamstring) is listed as out for Monday’s contest, meaning Phoenix will once again rely on role players such as Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Mark Williams, and Jordan Goodwin. Goodwin who erupted for 26 points in the Thunder game and he will likely play a role in the second night of a back-to-back.
Houston’s injury situation has been tumultuous inside, with Alperen Şengün ruled out and Steven Adams listed as questionable. That said, the Rockets have maintained strong form at home with a 10-2 home record, even with key big men banged up. Kevin Durant continues to carry much of the offensive load alongside Amen Thompson, and Houston will look to exploit Phoenix’s defensive vulnerabilities.
The Western Conference standings make this contest significant, with both squads right on the border between the playoffs and the play-in tournament. Houston has a rest advantage, with the Suns playing for the second night in a row. But the winner of this game will make a huge leap in their quest to make the playoffs later in the year.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Houston is 2-0 against the Suns this season, winning both of those meetings by double-digits.
- Phoenix is an NBA-best 24-11 against the spread this year.
- Houston is 18-14 against the spread this season.
- Houston is 18-13-1 to the over going into this contest.
- The Suns have gone under the total in 19 of their 35 games.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Devin Booker | |
| Kevin Durant | |
| Amen Thompson |
Suns vs Rockets Model Projection
Final Thoughts
