Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Pick – 5/18/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 18, 2024
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Betting Odds

Spread:Oklahoma City Thunder 3.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total:209.5
Moneyline:Oklahoma City Thunder 150, Dallas Mavericks -175

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 39%Oklahoma City Thunder - 37%
Dallas Mavericks - 61%Dallas Mavericks - 63%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

In a Saturday night showdown, the Oklahoma City Thunder (63-28) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (57-36) in Game 6 of their Western Conference second-round playoff series at the American Airlines Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET, with Dallas leading the series 3-2 going into this contest.

Both teams are coming off three days of rest, which could play a significant role in their performance. The Thunder, who won 35 of their last 50 games, will benefit from the extra time off as it allows their players to rest and recover. This could potentially improve their chances of victory. Similarly, the Mavericks, who have won 33 of their last 50 games, will also have an advantage with the extended rest.

The Mavericks, playing on their home court, are considered slight favorites. The current spread stands at Mavericks -3.5, indicating that they are favored to win by 3.5 points. The Moneyline odds for the Mavericks are -175, suggesting that they have a 61% chance of winning, while the Thunder's Moneyline odds are +150, giving them a 39% implied win probability.

In their most recent encounter, the Mavericks defeated the Thunder with a score of 104-92. This result was considered an upset, as the Mavericks entered the game as 4.5-point underdogs with a 37% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop bets, keep an eye on Chet Holmgren's Points and Rebounds. It has been the most popular betting market for this game so far. Additionally, sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, as they believe the current price of Under 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-125) offers value.

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will eagerly await the outcome of this thrilling matchup between the Thunder and the Mavericks. With both teams well-rested and aiming for victory, it is sure to be an intense battle on the court.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 108.94 vs Dallas Mavericks 113.6

Check out all our free picks on every NBA game daily in our NBA betting section.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-115
24% OKC
-4.0/-105
76% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+148
13% OKC
-178
87% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

208.5/-110
13% UN
208.5/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
43.1
92.7
FGA
91.7
.482
FG%
.469
14.5
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.374
3Pt%
.363
30.1
2Pt-FG
30.2
53.9
2Pt-FGA
56.3
.559
2Pt%
.537
16.7
FT
16.4
20.4
FTA
21.1
.819
FT%
.779
10.6
ORB
12.1
34.2
DRB
33.2
44.8
TRB
45.3
26.9
AST
27.1
10.3
STL
8.1
5.7
BLK
4.6
11.7
TOV
13.2
19.9
PF
18.7
120.5
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
42.0
87.0
FGA
87.7
.436
FG%
.479
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.4
39.3
3Pt-FGA
34.2
.342
3Pt%
.364
24.5
2Pt-FG
29.5
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.513
2Pt%
.552
18.3
FT
17.8
23.7
FTA
23.1
.774
FT%
.770
11.6
ORB
10.1
33.3
DRB
33.0
44.9
TRB
43.0
24.6
AST
25.2
6.7
STL
7.8
4.8
BLK
5.4
17.0
TOV
14.0
18.1
PF
17.8
107.6
PTS
114.2

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DAL
.560
eFG%
.540
10.3
TOV%
11.6
24.2
RB%
73.1
.180
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DAL
.513
eFG%
.549
14.9
TOV%
12.5
74.6
RB%
23.3
.211
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
43.3
92.6
FGA
92.2
.482
FG%
.469
14.5
3Pt-FG
12.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.374
3Pt%
.363
30.1
2Pt-FG
30.4
53.8
2Pt-FGA
56.6
.559
2Pt%
.537
16.7
FT
16.5
20.4
FTA
21.2
.819
FT%
.779
10.6
ORB
12.2
34.1
DRB
33.3
44.7
TRB
45.5
26.8
AST
27.2
10.3
STL
8.1
5.7
BLK
4.6
11.7
TOV
13.3
19.9
PF
18.8
120.3
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
42.2
86.8
FGA
88.2
.436
FG%
.479
13.4
3Pt-FG
12.5
39.3
3Pt-FGA
34.3
.342
3Pt%
.364
24.4
2Pt-FG
29.7
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.513
2Pt%
.552
18.3
FT
17.9
23.7
FTA
23.2
.774
FT%
.770
11.6
ORB
10.2
33.2
DRB
33.1
44.8
TRB
43.3
24.6
AST
25.4
6.7
STL
7.8
4.8
BLK
5.5
17.0
TOV
14.1
18.1
PF
17.9
107.5
PTS
114.8

OKC
Analytics
DAL
68
Pythag Wins
38
14
Pythag Losses
44
12.87
Margin Of Victory
-1.20
120.3
O Rtg
114.8
107.5
D Rtg
116.0
100.0
Pace
99.2
.220
FTr
.263
.419
3PAr
.389
.593
TS%
.583

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DAL
OKC DAL
Consensus
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-115)
-4.0 (-105)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DAL
OKC DAL
Consensus
+148
-185
+148
-178
+154
-185
+150
-180
+148
-176
+152
-180
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-111)
208.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-108)
210.5 (-109)
210.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)

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