Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Pick – 5/18/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 18, 2024
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder 3.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 209.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder 150, Dallas Mavericks -175

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 39% Oklahoma City Thunder - 37%
Dallas Mavericks - 61% Dallas Mavericks - 63%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

In a Saturday night showdown, the Oklahoma City Thunder (63-28) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (57-36) in Game 6 of their Western Conference second-round playoff series at the American Airlines Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET, with Dallas leading the series 3-2 going into this contest.

Both teams are coming off three days of rest, which could play a significant role in their performance. The Thunder, who won 35 of their last 50 games, will benefit from the extra time off as it allows their players to rest and recover. This could potentially improve their chances of victory. Similarly, the Mavericks, who have won 33 of their last 50 games, will also have an advantage with the extended rest.

The Mavericks, playing on their home court, are considered slight favorites. The current spread stands at Mavericks -3.5, indicating that they are favored to win by 3.5 points. The Moneyline odds for the Mavericks are -175, suggesting that they have a 61% chance of winning, while the Thunder's Moneyline odds are +150, giving them a 39% implied win probability.

In their most recent encounter, the Mavericks defeated the Thunder with a score of 104-92. This result was considered an upset, as the Mavericks entered the game as 4.5-point underdogs with a 37% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop bets, keep an eye on Chet Holmgren's Points and Rebounds. It has been the most popular betting market for this game so far. Additionally, sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, as they believe the current price of Under 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-125) offers value.

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will eagerly await the outcome of this thrilling matchup between the Thunder and the Mavericks. With both teams well-rested and aiming for victory, it is sure to be an intense battle on the court.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 108.94 vs Dallas Mavericks 113.6

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-115
24% OKC
-4.0/-105
76% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+148
13% OKC
-178
87% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

208.5/-110
13% UN
208.5/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
25
Games
26
42.9
FG
41.1
92.4
FGA
91.1
.465
FG%
.451
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.4
39.6
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.351
3Pt%
.356
29.0
2Pt-FG
27.7
52.8
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.550
2Pt%
.518
15.9
FT
16.9
19.6
FTA
22.3
.810
FT%
.760
10.4
ORB
12.3
33.3
DRB
31.3
43.7
TRB
43.6
25.7
AST
27.3
12.2
STL
8.4
6.3
BLK
4.2
11.8
TOV
14.1
21.1
PF
19.3
115.6
PTS
112.5

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
25
Games
26
36.2
FG
43.7
85.2
FGA
89.1
.424
FG%
.491
12.6
3Pt-FG
13.7
38.0
3Pt-FGA
35.7
.331
3Pt%
.382
23.6
2Pt-FG
30.1
47.2
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.500
2Pt%
.564
18.6
FT
18.3
25.2
FTA
23.8
.737
FT%
.769
12.9
ORB
11.4
35.1
DRB
34.5
48.0
TRB
45.9
24.0
AST
26.0
7.0
STL
8.3
5.0
BLK
5.5
19.1
TOV
14.4
18.3
PF
19.7
103.5
PTS
119.5

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DAL
.540
eFG%
.525
10.5
TOV%
12.3
22.9
RB%
73.8
.172
FT/FGA
.186

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DAL
.498
eFG%
.568
16.5
TOV%
12.7
72.1
RB%
26.7
.218
FT/FGA
.206

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
25
Games
26
43.0
FG
41.1
92.6
FGA
91.0
.465
FG%
.451
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.4
39.7
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.351
3Pt%
.356
29.1
2Pt-FG
27.7
52.9
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.550
2Pt%
.518
15.9
FT
16.9
19.6
FTA
22.3
.810
FT%
.760
10.4
ORB
12.3
33.4
DRB
31.3
43.8
TRB
43.5
25.8
AST
27.3
12.2
STL
8.4
6.3
BLK
4.2
11.8
TOV
14.1
21.1
PF
19.3
115.8
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
25
Games
26
36.2
FG
43.7
85.3
FGA
89.0
.424
FG%
.491
12.6
3Pt-FG
13.6
38.1
3Pt-FGA
35.7
.331
3Pt%
.382
23.6
2Pt-FG
30.1
47.2
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.500
2Pt%
.564
18.6
FT
18.3
25.2
FTA
23.8
.737
FT%
.769
12.9
ORB
11.4
35.1
DRB
34.5
48.0
TRB
45.9
24.0
AST
26.0
7.1
STL
8.3
5.0
BLK
5.5
19.1
TOV
14.4
18.3
PF
19.6
103.7
PTS
119.4

OKC
Analytics
DAL
21
Pythag Wins
18
4
Pythag Losses
8
12.12
Margin Of Victory
6.92
115.8
O Rtg
119.4
103.7
D Rtg
112.4
99.8
Pace
99.7
.212
FTr
.268
.429
3PAr
.401
.572
TS%
.600

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DAL
OKC DAL
Consensus
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-115)
-4.0 (-105)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DAL
OKC DAL
Consensus
+148
-185
+148
-178
+154
-185
+150
-180
+148
-176
+152
-180
+160
-190
+148
-177
+158
-190
+152
-180
+150
-185
+140
-165
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-111)
208.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-108)
210.5 (-109)
210.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)