Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Pick – 5/18/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 18, 2024
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder 3.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 209.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder 150, Dallas Mavericks -175

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 39% Oklahoma City Thunder - 37%
Dallas Mavericks - 61% Dallas Mavericks - 63%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

In a Saturday night showdown, the Oklahoma City Thunder (63-28) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (57-36) in Game 6 of their Western Conference second-round playoff series at the American Airlines Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET, with Dallas leading the series 3-2 going into this contest.

Both teams are coming off three days of rest, which could play a significant role in their performance. The Thunder, who won 35 of their last 50 games, will benefit from the extra time off as it allows their players to rest and recover. This could potentially improve their chances of victory. Similarly, the Mavericks, who have won 33 of their last 50 games, will also have an advantage with the extended rest.

The Mavericks, playing on their home court, are considered slight favorites. The current spread stands at Mavericks -3.5, indicating that they are favored to win by 3.5 points. The Moneyline odds for the Mavericks are -175, suggesting that they have a 61% chance of winning, while the Thunder's Moneyline odds are +150, giving them a 39% implied win probability.

In their most recent encounter, the Mavericks defeated the Thunder with a score of 104-92. This result was considered an upset, as the Mavericks entered the game as 4.5-point underdogs with a 37% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop bets, keep an eye on Chet Holmgren's Points and Rebounds. It has been the most popular betting market for this game so far. Additionally, sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, as they believe the current price of Under 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-125) offers value.

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will eagerly await the outcome of this thrilling matchup between the Thunder and the Mavericks. With both teams well-rested and aiming for victory, it is sure to be an intense battle on the court.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 108.94 vs Dallas Mavericks 113.6

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-115
24% OKC
-4.0/-105
76% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+148
13% OKC
-178
87% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

208.5/-110
13% UN
208.5/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
13
Games
13
42.5
FG
39.5
92.6
FGA
88.3
.459
FG%
.447
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.5
39.3
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.352
3Pt%
.339
28.7
2Pt-FG
26.9
53.3
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.538
2Pt%
.525
16.2
FT
18.5
19.6
FTA
25.2
.824
FT%
.734
9.3
ORB
12.9
33.5
DRB
33.1
42.8
TRB
46.0
25.2
AST
26.5
12.2
STL
7.1
7.3
BLK
4.2
11.8
TOV
14.4
21.4
PF
18.2
115.1
PTS
109.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
13
Games
13
35.7
FG
43.0
86.1
FGA
89.8
.415
FG%
.479
12.4
3Pt-FG
12.2
37.2
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.333
3Pt%
.337
23.3
2Pt-FG
30.8
48.8
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.477
2Pt%
.574
18.4
FT
15.8
25.4
FTA
20.6
.724
FT%
.765
13.3
ORB
10.8
36.7
DRB
32.7
50.0
TRB
43.5
25.0
AST
25.6
7.5
STL
7.9
4.7
BLK
4.9
19.9
TOV
12.8
18.1
PF
21.3
102.2
PTS
113.9

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DAL
.534
eFG%
.518
10.4
TOV%
12.6
20.2
RB%
71.7
.174
FT/FGA
.209

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DAL
.487
eFG%
.546
17.0
TOV%
11.5
71.6
RB%
24.6
.214
FT/FGA
.176

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
13
Games
13
42.1
FG
40.1
91.6
FGA
89.8
.459
FG%
.447
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.8
38.9
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.352
3Pt%
.339
28.4
2Pt-FG
27.4
52.7
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.538
2Pt%
.525
16.0
FT
18.8
19.4
FTA
25.6
.824
FT%
.734
9.2
ORB
13.1
33.2
DRB
33.7
42.4
TRB
46.8
24.9
AST
26.9
12.0
STL
7.2
7.2
BLK
4.2
11.6
TOV
14.6
21.1
PF
18.5
113.8
PTS
111.8

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
13
Games
13
35.3
FG
43.7
85.1
FGA
91.4
.415
FG%
.479
12.2
3Pt-FG
12.4
36.8
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.333
3Pt%
.337
23.1
2Pt-FG
31.4
48.3
2Pt-FGA
54.7
.477
2Pt%
.574
18.2
FT
16.0
25.1
FTA
21.0
.724
FT%
.765
13.2
ORB
11.0
36.3
DRB
33.3
49.4
TRB
44.2
24.7
AST
26.1
7.4
STL
8.1
4.6
BLK
5.0
19.7
TOV
13.1
17.9
PF
21.7
101.0
PTS
115.9

OKC
Analytics
DAL
11
Pythag Wins
8
2
Pythag Losses
5
12.92
Margin Of Victory
4.00
113.8
O Rtg
115.9
101.0
D Rtg
111.8
101.1
Pace
98.3
.212
FTr
.229
.424
3PAr
.402
.568
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DAL
OKC DAL
Consensus
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-115)
-4.0 (-105)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DAL
OKC DAL
Consensus
+148
-185
+148
-178
+154
-185
+150
-180
+148
-176
+152
-180
+160
-190
+148
-177
+158
-190
+152
-180
+150
-185
+140
-165
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-111)
208.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-112)
208.5 (-108)
210.5 (-109)
210.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
210.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)