Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game 1 Pick 5/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 4, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves 4.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 207.5
Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves 160, Denver Nuggets -185

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 37% Minnesota Timberwolves - 50%
Denver Nuggets - 63% Denver Nuggets - 50%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Saturday night matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves (60-26) will take on the Denver Nuggets (61-26) at Ball Arena to open up their second-round playoff series in the Western Conference. These two divisional foes are set to clash, adding an extra level of significance to this game as both teams seek to assert their dominance.

The Timberwolves enter the game with plenty of rest, having had four days off since their last game. This additional time to rest and recover could potentially work in their favor and increase their chances of securing a victory. On the other hand, the Nuggets had five days off prior to this game, giving their players ample time to recharge and prepare.

As the home team, the Nuggets are considered the favorites in this matchup. The current spread stands at Nuggets -4.5, reflecting the expectations of a closely contested game. The moneyline odds also favor the Nuggets at -190, indicating a higher probability of them emerging victorious. However, the Timberwolves should not be underestimated, with a moneyline of +165 and an implied win probability of 37%.

Both teams enter the game in good form. The Timberwolves have won their last four consecutive games, riding a wave of momentum. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have been consistent, winning 36 of their last 50 games, showcasing their ability to perform at a high level.

For those interested in player prop betting, keep an eye on Jamal Murray's points. It has emerged as the most popular betting market for this game, drawing attention from sharp bettors. The prop total for Murray's points initially opened at Under 24.5 (-115) but has since shifted to 23.5 (-115), indicating a belief that he may score fewer points than initially anticipated.

With all the factors at play, this Saturday night showdown promises to be an exciting battle between two divisional rivals. Will the rest advantage propel the Timberwolves to victory, or will the Nuggets defend their home court and secure the win? Only time will tell.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 105.7 vs Denver Nuggets 105.79

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-115
73% MIN
-4.5/-105
27% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+153
57% MIN
-187
43% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

209.5/-110
26% UN
209.5/-110
74% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
57
Games
56
39.9
FG
43.1
86.8
FGA
93.4
.460
FG%
.462
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.3
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.376
3Pt%
.360
25.2
2Pt-FG
29.2
47.5
2Pt-FGA
54.8
.530
2Pt%
.533
16.9
FT
15.7
21.4
FTA
20.2
.792
FT%
.778
11.1
ORB
11.8
33.1
DRB
30.5
44.2
TRB
42.3
25.2
AST
29.3
7.9
STL
8.7
5.0
BLK
5.2
15.0
TOV
13.3
17.9
PF
19.0
111.6
PTS
115.8

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
57
Games
56
40.1
FG
45.9
87.8
FGA
90.1
.457
FG%
.509
12.5
3Pt-FG
12.0
35.9
3Pt-FGA
31.4
.349
3Pt%
.380
27.6
2Pt-FG
33.9
51.9
2Pt-FGA
58.6
.531
2Pt%
.578
15.6
FT
17.9
20.1
FTA
23.1
.779
FT%
.777
11.0
ORB
11.3
31.9
DRB
34.7
43.0
TRB
45.9
24.3
AST
31.3
9.0
STL
8.3
4.8
BLK
4.8
14.8
TOV
14.1
19.1
PF
17.5
108.3
PTS
121.7

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.545
eFG%
.536
13.5
TOV%
11.5
25.8
RB%
74.6
.195
FT/FGA
.168

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.528
eFG%
.576
13.3
TOV%
12.4
75.0
RB%
27.0
.178
FT/FGA
.199

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
57
Games
56
40.9
FG
42.7
88.9
FGA
92.5
.460
FG%
.462
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
40.3
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.376
3Pt%
.360
25.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
48.6
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.530
2Pt%
.533
17.4
FT
15.6
21.9
FTA
20.0
.792
FT%
.778
11.4
ORB
11.7
33.8
DRB
30.2
45.2
TRB
41.9
25.8
AST
29.0
8.0
STL
8.6
5.1
BLK
5.2
15.4
TOV
13.2
18.4
PF
18.9
114.3
PTS
114.8

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
57
Games
56
41.0
FG
45.5
89.9
FGA
89.3
.457
FG%
.509
12.8
3Pt-FG
11.9
36.8
3Pt-FGA
31.2
.349
3Pt%
.380
28.2
2Pt-FG
33.6
53.1
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.531
2Pt%
.578
16.0
FT
17.8
20.6
FTA
22.9
.779
FT%
.777
11.3
ORB
11.2
32.7
DRB
34.4
44.0
TRB
45.5
24.8
AST
31.0
9.2
STL
8.2
4.9
BLK
4.7
15.2
TOV
14.0
19.6
PF
17.4
110.9
PTS
120.6

MIN
Analytics
DEN
34
Pythag Wins
37
23
Pythag Losses
19
3.25
Margin Of Victory
5.82
114.3
O Rtg
120.6
110.9
D Rtg
114.8
97.3
Pace
100.1
.247
FTr
.257
.453
3PAr
.349
.580
TS%
.607

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+4.0 (-114)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+4.0 (-114)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-107)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+152
-183
+153
-187
+154
-185
+154
-185
+158
-188
+154
-184
+148
-177
+155
-190
+158
-190
+158
-190
+160
-190
+150
-180
+150
-185
+150
-185
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
207.5 (-111)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-111)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
208.0 (-110)
209.5 (-112)
209.5 (-108)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-112)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)

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