Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Overview
- Date: March 29, 2024
- Venue: Ball Arena
- Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -3 (6.5), Denver Nuggets 3(-6.5)
- Total (Over/Under): 211.5
- Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves 220, Denver Nuggets -260
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities
Implied Win %:
- Minnesota Timberwolves - 30%
- Denver Nuggets - 70%
Projected Win %:
- Minnesota Timberwolves - 28%
- Denver Nuggets - 72%
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game Preview
In a highly anticipated Friday night matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22) will take on their divisional rivals, the Denver Nuggets (51-22), at 9:00 PM ET. This game holds extra significance as it not only pits two talented teams against each other but also adds an element of rivalry and motivation for both sides.
The game will be held at the Ball Arena, the home arena of the Denver Nuggets. Known for their strong performances at home, the Nuggets enter this game as favorites with a spread of -6.5. The Moneyline odds for the Nuggets stand at -260, indicating a higher probability of winning at 70%. On the other hand, the Timberwolves have a Moneyline of +220, implying a 30% chance of victory based on the odds.
Both teams have been in good form lately, with the Timberwolves winning 33 of their last 50 games and the Nuggets victorious in 37 of their last 50. In their most recent outings, the Timberwolves secured a convincing 106-91 victory against the Detroit Pistons, while the Nuggets suffered a close 104-97 defeat against the Phoenix Suns.
One player to watch in this matchup is Anthony Edwards of the Timberwolves. The Points and Assists market for Edwards has garnered significant attention from bettors, making it the most popular betting market for this game. Those looking to place wagers may want to keep an eye on his performance.
Interestingly, sharp bettors seem to favor the Under in this game, believing that the current line of 30.5 Points and Assists for Edwards is mispriced and offers value. The odds for the Under 30.5 are currently at -105.
As the two divisional foes clash, the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Denver Nuggets will look to secure a crucial victory. With an implied win probability of 30%, the Timberwolves will aim to overcome the odds and showcase their strong recent form. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, with a 70% implied win probability, will rely on their home-court advantage to come out on top. It's sure to be an exciting battle on the hardwood.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves 102.9 vs Denver Nuggets 110.7
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| MIN | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Games | 57 |
| 40.9 | FG | 42.8 |
| 88.9 | FGA | 92.5 |
| .460 | FG% | .462 |
| 15.2 | 3Pt-FG | 13.8 |
| 40.4 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.3 |
| .376 | 3Pt% | .361 |
| 25.7 | 2Pt-FG | 29.0 |
| 48.6 | 2Pt-FGA | 54.2 |
| .529 | 2Pt% | .534 |
| 17.5 | FT | 15.7 |
| 22.0 | FTA | 20.1 |
| .796 | FT% | .779 |
| 11.4 | ORB | 11.7 |
| 33.8 | DRB | 30.2 |
| 45.2 | TRB | 41.9 |
| 25.8 | AST | 29.0 |
| 8.0 | STL | 8.8 |
| 5.1 | BLK | 5.2 |
| 15.3 | TOV | 13.1 |
| 18.5 | PF | 18.9 |
| 114.5 | PTS | 115.0 |
Defense/Offense
| MIN | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Games | 57 |
| 41.2 | FG | 45.3 |
| 89.9 | FGA | 89.2 |
| .458 | FG% | .508 |
| 12.9 | 3Pt-FG | 11.9 |
| 36.7 | 3Pt-FGA | 31.4 |
| .352 | 3Pt% | .381 |
| 28.2 | 2Pt-FG | 33.4 |
| 53.1 | 2Pt-FGA | 57.9 |
| .532 | 2Pt% | .576 |
| 16.0 | FT | 17.8 |
| 20.6 | FTA | 22.9 |
| .778 | FT% | .776 |
| 11.2 | ORB | 11.2 |
| 32.7 | DRB | 34.4 |
| 43.9 | TRB | 45.5 |
| 25.0 | AST | 30.9 |
| 9.2 | STL | 8.2 |
| 4.9 | BLK | 4.7 |
| 15.2 | TOV | 14.1 |
| 19.6 | PF | 17.4 |
| 111.3 | PTS | 120.3 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| MIN | Four Factors | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| .545 | eFG% | .537 |
| 13.4 | TOV% | 11.5 |
| 25.9 | RB% | 74.6 |
| .197 | FT/FGA | .169 |
Defense/Offense
| MIN | Four Factors | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| .530 | eFG% | .574 |
| 13.3 | TOV% | 12.5 |
| 75.0 | RB% | 27.0 |
| .178 | FT/FGA | .199 |
Analytics
| MIN | Analytics | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Pythag Wins | 37 |
| 23 | Pythag Losses | 20 |
| 3.07 | Margin Of Victory | 5.32 |
| 114.5 | O Rtg | 120.3 |
| 111.3 | D Rtg | 115.0 |
| 97.3 | Pace | 100.1 |
| .248 | FTr | .256 |
| .454 | 3PAr | .351 |
| .580 | TS% | .606 |
Betting Trends
| MIN | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 108 | Avg Score | 113 |
| 97.33 | Avg Opp Score | 106 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 117 | Avg Score | 112.67 |
| 101.33 | Avg Opp Score | 102.33 |
| MIN | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 110 | Avg Score | 113.4 |
| 102.2 | Avg Opp Score | 106 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 112.8 | Avg Score | 121 |
| 107.4 | Avg Opp Score | 109.4 |
| MIN | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 111.3 | Avg Score | 115.6 |
| 105.5 | Avg Opp Score | 107.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 117.6 | Avg Score | 117.7 |
| 105.3 | Avg Opp Score | 107.6 |
