On Saturday, the NBA’s Central Division will take center stage, when the Milwaukee Bucks take on the Cleveland Cavaliers. This game will be the second in as many nights for the Cavs, while the Bucks will look to get the better of Cleveland after several days off. In our NBA betting picks for Saturday, we look at this Bucks vs Cavaliers matchup from Cleveland.
Bucks vs Cavaliers Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Bucks Moneyline (EVEN) |
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This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse at 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, January 21, 2023.
Why Bet the Bucks:
✅ This is the second leg of a back to back for the Cavaliers, after they lost outright at home against a Warriors team that rested nearly all of their key players. Milwaukee, meanwhile, has not played a game since January 17, and will be well-rested for this contest.
✅ The Cleveland defense has struggled recently, despite ranking first in points allowed on the season. They have allowed 110 or more points in three of their last four games, losing those three contests.
✅ Milwaukee is 24-18-3 against the spread this season. They have the third best record in the league against the spread, and they will continue to have success as a slight underdog in this contest.
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
Cleveland Cavaliers
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| MIL | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Games | 14 |
| 41.2 | FG | 40.2 |
| 87.4 | FGA | 86.8 |
| .472 | FG% | .463 |
| 13.3 | 3Pt-FG | 13.5 |
| 37.2 | 3Pt-FGA | 35.7 |
| .358 | 3Pt% | .377 |
| 27.9 | 2Pt-FG | 26.7 |
| 50.1 | 2Pt-FGA | 51.0 |
| .557 | 2Pt% | .524 |
| 16.1 | FT | 16.5 |
| 22.4 | FTA | 20.6 |
| .720 | FT% | .803 |
| 8.7 | ORB | 9.5 |
| 35.2 | DRB | 31.6 |
| 43.9 | TRB | 41.1 |
| 23.0 | AST | 24.5 |
| 7.5 | STL | 6.9 |
| 5.7 | BLK | 4.3 |
| 13.6 | TOV | 16.4 |
| 19.0 | PF | 18.1 |
| 111.9 | PTS | 110.4 |
Defense/Offense
| MIL | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Games | 14 |
| 41.0 | FG | 45.6 |
| 90.4 | FGA | 87.5 |
| .453 | FG% | .521 |
| 15.1 | 3Pt-FG | 15.6 |
| 39.8 | 3Pt-FGA | 37.3 |
| .379 | 3Pt% | .418 |
| 25.9 | 2Pt-FG | 30.0 |
| 50.6 | 2Pt-FGA | 50.3 |
| .512 | 2Pt% | .597 |
| 17.2 | FT | 15.7 |
| 20.8 | FTA | 20.4 |
| .825 | FT% | .767 |
| 10.7 | ORB | 7.9 |
| 35.8 | DRB | 33.5 |
| 46.5 | TRB | 41.4 |
| 26.3 | AST | 28.4 |
| 6.8 | STL | 9.7 |
| 3.9 | BLK | 5.1 |
| 13.3 | TOV | 12.8 |
| 19.2 | PF | 18.4 |
| 114.3 | PTS | 122.4 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| MIL | Four Factors | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| .548 | eFG% | .541 |
| 12.3 | TOV% | 14.7 |
| 19.6 | RB% | 77.9 |
| .184 | FT/FGA | .190 |
Defense/Offense
| MIL | Four Factors | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| .537 | eFG% | .610 |
| 11.8 | TOV% | 11.7 |
| 76.7 | RB% | 19.9 |
| .190 | FT/FGA | .179 |
Analytics
| MIL | Analytics | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pythag Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Pythag Losses | 3 |
| -2.38 | Margin Of Victory | 12.14 |
| 111.9 | O Rtg | 122.4 |
| 114.3 | D Rtg | 110.4 |
| 98.6 | Pace | 100.8 |
| .256 | FTr | .233 |
| .426 | 3PAr | .426 |
| .576 | TS% | .634 |
Betting Trends
| MIL | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 119 | Avg Score | 113.67 |
| 117.33 | Avg Opp Score | 112.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 103.67 | Avg Score | 105.67 |
| 108 | Avg Opp Score | 103.67 |
| MIL | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 114.6 | Avg Score | 112.4 |
| 113 | Avg Opp Score | 112.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 105.2 | Avg Score | 115.8 |
| 106.4 | Avg Opp Score | 114 |
| MIL | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 111.5 | Avg Score | 113.1 |
| 114.2 | Avg Opp Score | 111.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 109.1 | Avg Score | 114 |
| 114.1 | Avg Opp Score | 110.4 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Milwaukee Bucks
Last time out, the Milwaukee Bucks defeated the Toronto Raptors at home. That was on January 17, as the Bucks have had several days off since that game. Now, the Bucks take the floor against the Cleveland Cavaliers, as they look to hand the Cavs a rare loss at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse after an extended period of time off.
Khris Middleton will not play in this game for the Bucks due to injury, while Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable to play as well. After so much time off, one would think that Antetokounmpo will take the floor for this game. However, bettors may want to wait until that is confirmed before locking any wagers in on this matchup.
Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cleveland Cavaliers suffered a rather embarrassing loss on Friday night, falling against the Golden State Warriors. Normally that would not be a shameful result, but the Warriors were resting Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, and Andrew Wiggins on the second leg of a back to back. After losing to the Warriors’ reserves, the Cavs will look to rebound against the Bucks on Saturday.
On the bright side for the Cavaliers, they could have Donovan Mitchell back for this contest. Mitchell sat out on Friday night, forcing Darius Garland to take over a larger portion of the offensive workload. If Mitchell returns here, the Cavaliers will have better balance offensively and that would be huge against the Bucks.
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