Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Feb 21, 2025

Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Pick – 2/21/2025


On February 21, 2025, the Miami Heat (25-28) will face off against the Toronto Raptors (17-38) in an intriguing matchup at Scotiabank Arena, set to tip off at 7:30 PM ET. Both teams enter this Friday night game with similar challenges, as they each look to break out of recent slumps.

The Miami Heat come into this contest having lost four consecutive games, the most recent being a 118-113 defeat to the Dallas Mavericks. Despite their recent struggles, the Heat are slight favorites with a spread of -3.0, carrying an implied win probability of 57%. The extra time off—eight days since their last game—could provide a much-needed boost for the Heat’s players, allowing them to rest and regroup.

Conversely, the Toronto Raptors also have had a significant layoff, having not played for nine days. They enter the game after a disappointing 131-108 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, contributing to their poor record, which includes losing 34 of their last 50 games. With an implied win probability of 43%, the Raptors will look to leverage their home-court advantage to snap their own losing streak.

For those looking to wager on individual player performance, RJ Barrett's Points and Rebounds prop market is drawing attention. Initially set at Over 25.5 Points and Rebounds, this line has moved to 26.5, reflecting sharp bettor confidence in Barrett’s potential impact on the game.


Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 116.33 vs Toronto Raptors 110.07


Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat57%68%
Raptors43%32%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-3.5/-115
26% MIA
+3.5/-105
74% TOR

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-159
67% MIA
+136
33% TOR

Total Pick Consensus

219.5/-112
20% UN
219.5/-108
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
TOR
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.2
87.0
FGA
88.3
.465
FG%
.466
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.2
37.3
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.367
3Pt%
.349
26.8
2Pt-FG
28.0
49.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.538
2Pt%
.554
16.0
FT
19.6
20.2
FTA
25.2
.791
FT%
.778
9.7
ORB
11.5
33.7
DRB
33.5
43.4
TRB
45.0
26.4
AST
25.9
8.1
STL
9.2
3.8
BLK
5.9
13.6
TOV
15.1
15.5
PF
18.1
110.6
PTS
115.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
TOR
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
41.6
88.6
FGA
91.0
.466
FG%
.458
13.6
3Pt-FG
11.8
37.9
3Pt-FGA
34.0
.360
3Pt%
.348
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.8
50.6
2Pt-FGA
57.0
.545
2Pt%
.523
13.9
FT
15.8
17.9
FTA
21.1
.776
FT%
.748
10.7
ORB
12.6
33.9
DRB
32.5
44.7
TRB
45.1
26.5
AST
28.5
7.5
STL
8.1
4.7
BLK
4.2
13.8
TOV
15.3
17.0
PF
21.2
110.0
PTS
110.9

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
TOR
.544
eFG%
.541
12.4
TOV%
13.2
22.3
RB%
73.9
.183
FT/FGA
.222

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
TOR
.543
eFG%
.522
12.5
TOV%
13.3
75.8
RB%
27.3
.157
FT/FGA
.173

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
TOR
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
41.0
89.3
FGA
88.0
.465
FG%
.466
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.3
3Pt-FGA
37.6
.367
3Pt%
.349
27.5
2Pt-FG
27.9
51.0
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.538
2Pt%
.554
16.4
FT
19.6
20.7
FTA
25.2
.791
FT%
.778
10.0
ORB
11.4
34.5
DRB
33.4
44.5
TRB
44.8
27.1
AST
25.8
8.4
STL
9.1
3.9
BLK
5.9
13.9
TOV
15.0
16.0
PF
18.0
113.5
PTS
114.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
TOR
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
41.5
90.9
FGA
90.7
.466
FG%
.458
14.0
3Pt-FG
11.8
38.9
3Pt-FGA
33.9
.360
3Pt%
.348
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.7
52.0
2Pt-FGA
56.8
.545
2Pt%
.523
14.3
FT
15.7
18.4
FTA
21.0
.776
FT%
.748
11.0
ORB
12.6
34.8
DRB
32.4
45.8
TRB
45.0
27.2
AST
28.4
7.7
STL
8.1
4.8
BLK
4.2
14.2
TOV
15.3
17.4
PF
21.1
112.9
PTS
110.5

MIA
Analytics
TOR
42
Pythag Wins
30
40
Pythag Losses
52
0.56
Margin Of Victory
-4.29
113.5
O Rtg
110.5
112.9
D Rtg
114.8
96.2
Pace
99.7
.232
FTr
.232
.429
3PAr
.373
.576
TS%
.553

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA TOR
MIA TOR
Consensus
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-115)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA TOR
MIA TOR
Consensus
-150
+125
-159
+136
-148
+124
-162
+136
-164
+138
-166
+140
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-112)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
219.5 (-108)
219.5 (-112)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
220.5 (-109)
220.5 (-112)
219.5 (-108)
219.5 (-113)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
219.0 (-105)
219.0 (-115)
220.5 (-115)
220.5 (-105)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)

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Home NBA Picks Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Pick – 2/21/2025