Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 7, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 1/7/2025

  • Date: January 7, 2025
  • Venue: Chase Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 9.5 (-110), Golden State Warriors -9.5 (-110)
Over/Under:218
Moneyline:Miami Heat 330, Golden State Warriors -410


Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 22%Miami Heat - 32%
Golden State Warriors - 78%Golden State Warriors - 68%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (17-17) face off against the Golden State Warriors (18-17) on Tuesday night at 10:00 PM ET, with the game taking place at Chase Center. This matchup comes as a back-to-back for the Heat, who played just a day prior, making fatigue a key factor that could impact their performance. Traveling cross-country and across two time zones adds to the challenges for the Heat, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak after falling to the Sacramento Kings 123-118 in their last outing.

On the other side, the Warriors are also struggling, having lost 14 of their last 20 games, including a recent defeat to the Kings, where they were blown out 129-99. Despite their recent woes, Golden State enters this contest as significant favorites, boasting a spread of -9.5 and a moneyline of -400. The Warriors have an implied win probability of 77%, while the Heat's chances sit at 23%, reflecting the challenges Miami faces in this matchup.

With the Heat's players likely feeling the effects of a demanding travel schedule and limited rest, the odds appear stacked against them. Conversely, the Warriors will aim to take advantage of their home court, looking to regain momentum amidst a disappointing stretch. Bettors should consider both teams' recent performances and the implications of fatigue as they analyze this intriguing matchup.


Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.59 vs Golden State Warriors 113.94

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-110
61% MIA
-9.0/-110
39% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+305
10% MIA
-384
90% GS

Total Pick Consensus

216.5/-108
15% UN
216.5/-112
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
63
Games
64
39.7
FG
40.5
86.8
FGA
87.6
.458
FG%
.462
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.361
3Pt%
.358
25.8
2Pt-FG
27.4
48.3
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.534
2Pt%
.537
16.7
FT
17.0
21.1
FTA
22.1
.794
FT%
.771
9.5
ORB
10.6
34.2
DRB
33.9
43.7
TRB
44.5
26.4
AST
25.8
7.8
STL
7.5
3.8
BLK
5.6
13.6
TOV
15.3
15.9
PF
18.3
110.1
PTS
111.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
63
Games
64
41.3
FG
41.0
89.2
FGA
91.6
.463
FG%
.448
13.8
3Pt-FG
15.2
38.6
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.357
3Pt%
.359
27.5
2Pt-FG
25.8
50.6
2Pt-FGA
49.2
.544
2Pt%
.525
14.2
FT
16.1
18.1
FTA
21.4
.781
FT%
.751
10.8
ORB
12.8
34.5
DRB
33.2
45.3
TRB
46.0
26.9
AST
29.1
7.4
STL
8.9
4.7
BLK
5.0
13.5
TOV
13.9
17.4
PF
19.6
110.5
PTS
113.3

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
GS
.537
eFG%
.537
12.4
TOV%
13.6
21.6
RB%
75.8
.193
FT/FGA
.194

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
GS
.540
eFG%
.531
12.2
TOV%
12.1
76.0
RB%
27.5
.159
FT/FGA
.176

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
63
Games
64
40.6
FG
40.8
88.8
FGA
88.2
.458
FG%
.462
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.4
3Pt-FGA
36.9
.361
3Pt%
.358
26.4
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.4
2Pt-FGA
51.4
.534
2Pt%
.537
17.1
FT
17.1
21.5
FTA
22.2
.794
FT%
.771
9.7
ORB
10.6
35.0
DRB
34.1
44.7
TRB
44.7
27.0
AST
26.0
8.0
STL
7.5
3.8
BLK
5.6
13.9
TOV
15.4
16.2
PF
18.4
112.5
PTS
111.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
63
Games
64
42.2
FG
41.3
91.2
FGA
92.2
.463
FG%
.448
14.1
3Pt-FG
15.3
39.4
3Pt-FGA
42.6
.357
3Pt%
.359
28.1
2Pt-FG
26.0
51.7
2Pt-FGA
49.5
.544
2Pt%
.525
14.5
FT
16.2
18.5
FTA
21.6
.781
FT%
.751
11.0
ORB
12.9
35.2
DRB
33.4
46.3
TRB
46.3
27.5
AST
29.3
7.6
STL
9.0
4.9
BLK
5.0
13.8
TOV
14.0
17.8
PF
19.7
113.0
PTS
114.0

MIA
Analytics
GS
31
Pythag Wins
36
32
Pythag Losses
28
-0.46
Margin Of Victory
2.14
112.5
O Rtg
114.0
113.0
D Rtg
111.9
96.4
Pace
99.2
.243
FTr
.234
.443
3PAr
.463
.573
TS%
.561

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA GS
MIA GS
Consensus
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-111)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-109)
-7.0 (-109)
+9.0 (-109)
-9.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-105)
-7.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA GS
MIA GS
Consensus
+225
-278
+305
-384
+225
-278
+310
-395
+215
-260
+315
-400
+205
-250
+295
-375
+228
-285
+310
-400
+225
-275
+310
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
216.5 (-111)
216.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
217.0 (-112)
217.0 (-108)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
216.5 (-112)
216.5 (-109)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
216.5 (-105)
216.5 (-115)
219.5 (-105)
219.5 (-115)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)

Related Articles