Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 7, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks 1/7/2025

  • Date: January 7, 2025
  • Venue: Chase Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 9.5 (-110), Golden State Warriors -9.5 (-110)
Over/Under:218
Moneyline:Miami Heat 330, Golden State Warriors -410


Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 22%Miami Heat - 32%
Golden State Warriors - 78%Golden State Warriors - 68%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (17-17) face off against the Golden State Warriors (18-17) on Tuesday night at 10:00 PM ET, with the game taking place at Chase Center. This matchup comes as a back-to-back for the Heat, who played just a day prior, making fatigue a key factor that could impact their performance. Traveling cross-country and across two time zones adds to the challenges for the Heat, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak after falling to the Sacramento Kings 123-118 in their last outing.

On the other side, the Warriors are also struggling, having lost 14 of their last 20 games, including a recent defeat to the Kings, where they were blown out 129-99. Despite their recent woes, Golden State enters this contest as significant favorites, boasting a spread of -9.5 and a moneyline of -400. The Warriors have an implied win probability of 77%, while the Heat's chances sit at 23%, reflecting the challenges Miami faces in this matchup.

With the Heat's players likely feeling the effects of a demanding travel schedule and limited rest, the odds appear stacked against them. Conversely, the Warriors will aim to take advantage of their home court, looking to regain momentum amidst a disappointing stretch. Bettors should consider both teams' recent performances and the implications of fatigue as they analyze this intriguing matchup.


Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 107.59 vs Golden State Warriors 113.94

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.5/-108
61% MIA
-9.5/-112
39% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+330
6% MIA
-425
94% GS

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
21% UN
218.5/-110
79% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
34
Games
35
39.5
FG
40.3
86.6
FGA
88.7
.456
FG%
.454
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.3
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.369
3Pt%
.348
25.5
2Pt-FG
27.0
48.6
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.524
2Pt%
.534
18.3
FT
17.2
23.4
FTA
22.0
.784
FT%
.783
9.5
ORB
10.8
33.7
DRB
34.5
43.2
TRB
45.3
25.9
AST
26.2
8.9
STL
8.0
3.7
BLK
6.1
13.6
TOV
15.4
16.6
PF
17.8
111.3
PTS
111.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
34
Games
35
41.0
FG
41.2
88.6
FGA
91.6
.463
FG%
.450
13.6
3Pt-FG
15.2
37.6
3Pt-FGA
41.1
.361
3Pt%
.369
27.4
2Pt-FG
26.0
51.0
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.538
2Pt%
.515
14.9
FT
14.6
18.6
FTA
20.6
.800
FT%
.711
11.4
ORB
12.7
34.3
DRB
33.6
45.6
TRB
46.3
26.8
AST
28.7
7.2
STL
8.9
5.2
BLK
5.4
14.9
TOV
14.5
18.9
PF
19.5
110.5
PTS
112.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
GS
.537
eFG%
.529
12.3
TOV%
13.5
21.7
RB%
75.7
.212
FT/FGA
.194

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
GS
.540
eFG%
.533
13.4
TOV%
12.6
74.7
RB%
26.9
.168
FT/FGA
.160

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
34
Games
35
40.1
FG
40.2
88.0
FGA
88.6
.456
FG%
.454
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.2
38.6
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.369
3Pt%
.348
25.9
2Pt-FG
27.0
49.4
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.524
2Pt%
.534
18.6
FT
17.2
23.8
FTA
22.0
.784
FT%
.783
9.7
ORB
10.8
34.2
DRB
34.5
43.9
TRB
45.2
26.3
AST
26.2
9.1
STL
8.0
3.8
BLK
6.1
13.8
TOV
15.4
16.8
PF
17.8
113.1
PTS
110.9

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
34
Games
35
41.7
FG
41.2
90.0
FGA
91.5
.463
FG%
.450
13.8
3Pt-FG
15.2
38.2
3Pt-FGA
41.1
.361
3Pt%
.369
27.9
2Pt-FG
26.0
51.9
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.538
2Pt%
.515
15.2
FT
14.6
19.0
FTA
20.6
.800
FT%
.711
11.6
ORB
12.7
34.8
DRB
33.6
46.4
TRB
46.3
27.3
AST
28.6
7.3
STL
8.9
5.3
BLK
5.4
15.2
TOV
14.5
19.2
PF
19.4
112.3
PTS
112.1

MIA
Analytics
GS
18
Pythag Wins
19
16
Pythag Losses
16
0.79
Margin Of Victory
1.20
113.1
O Rtg
112.1
112.3
D Rtg
110.9
96.9
Pace
99.8
.270
FTr
.225
.439
3PAr
.449
.574
TS%
.557

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA GS
MIA GS
Consensus
+7.0 (-113)
-7.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-113)
-9.5 (-108)
+7.0 (-112)
-7.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-108)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-114)
-7.0 (-109)
+9.5 (-114)
-9.5 (-107)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIA GS
MIA GS
Consensus
+225
-278
+317
-407
+225
-278
+330
-425
+215
-260
+315
-400
+205
-250
+310
-400
+228
-285
+328
-430
+225
-275
+333
-450
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.0 (-111)
218.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.0 (-112)
218.0 (-109)
219.5 (-110)
219.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
219.5 (-105)
219.5 (-115)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)