The Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers are set to meet on Tuesday night in the NBA. Both teams are in the top-six in the Eastern Conference, and will look for a win over a team they could face later in the year in the postseason. In our NBA betting picks for Tuesday, we break down Heat vs Cavaliers from Northeast Ohio.
Heat vs Cavaliers Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Cavaliers -4 |
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This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 31, 2023.
Why Bet the Cavaliers:
✅ Cleveland is one of the best home teams in the NBA this season. They are 21-5 straight up at home on the year, and they will continue to play at a high level at home here.
✅ Jimmy Butler is questionable for this game for Miami, due to a quad contusion. Even if he does play, the Cavs should take advantage of him being at less than full health on Tuesday night.
✅ The Heat are just 11-14 at home this year, and they have been struggling of late. They are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, and will continue to have problems in Cleveland.
NBA
Miami Heat
Cleveland Cavaliers
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Games | 27 |
| 40.7 | FG | 40.2 |
| 89.9 | FGA | 88.5 |
| .453 | FG% | .455 |
| 15.0 | 3Pt-FG | 13.6 |
| 39.7 | 3Pt-FGA | 36.7 |
| .379 | 3Pt% | .371 |
| 25.7 | 2Pt-FG | 26.6 |
| 50.2 | 2Pt-FGA | 51.8 |
| .511 | 2Pt% | .514 |
| 18.2 | FT | 16.6 |
| 23.3 | FTA | 20.7 |
| .782 | FT% | .800 |
| 10.5 | ORB | 10.6 |
| 34.2 | DRB | 32.7 |
| 44.7 | TRB | 43.3 |
| 26.8 | AST | 25.3 |
| 9.2 | STL | 7.5 |
| 3.6 | BLK | 4.7 |
| 13.1 | TOV | 15.9 |
| 16.5 | PF | 19.2 |
| 114.7 | PTS | 110.7 |
Defense/Offense
| MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Games | 27 |
| 41.3 | FG | 44.5 |
| 89.4 | FGA | 88.3 |
| .462 | FG% | .504 |
| 14.1 | 3Pt-FG | 15.5 |
| 38.5 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.9 |
| .366 | 3Pt% | .399 |
| 27.2 | 2Pt-FG | 29.0 |
| 50.9 | 2Pt-FGA | 49.4 |
| .535 | 2Pt% | .586 |
| 14.9 | FT | 16.8 |
| 18.5 | FTA | 21.6 |
| .803 | FT% | .779 |
| 11.2 | ORB | 9.4 |
| 35.1 | DRB | 33.8 |
| 46.3 | TRB | 43.2 |
| 27.5 | AST | 28.2 |
| 7.1 | STL | 9.1 |
| 5.3 | BLK | 4.8 |
| 15.6 | TOV | 13.2 |
| 19.5 | PF | 18.4 |
| 111.6 | PTS | 121.3 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| MIA | Four Factors | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| .537 | eFG% | .532 |
| 11.6 | TOV% | 14.0 |
| 23.0 | RB% | 76.2 |
| .203 | FT/FGA | .188 |
Defense/Offense
| MIA | Four Factors | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| .541 | eFG% | .592 |
| 13.8 | TOV% | 11.9 |
| 75.3 | RB% | 22.3 |
| .166 | FT/FGA | .190 |
Analytics
| MIA | Analytics | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pythag Wins | 21 |
| 10 | Pythag Losses | 6 |
| 3.08 | Margin Of Victory | 10.63 |
| 114.7 | O Rtg | 121.3 |
| 111.6 | D Rtg | 110.7 |
| 97.1 | Pace | 100.2 |
| .259 | FTr | .244 |
| .442 | 3PAr | .441 |
| .573 | TS% | .620 |
Betting Trends
| MIA | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 108.33 | Avg Score | 111.67 |
| 107.33 | Avg Opp Score | 102 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 110.33 | Avg Score | 116.67 |
| 111.67 | Avg Opp Score | 107 |
| MIA | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 103 | Avg Score | 110.4 |
| 106.6 | Avg Opp Score | 102.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 109.6 | Avg Score | 110.6 |
| 110.4 | Avg Opp Score | 102.4 |
| MIA | Betting Trends | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 108.3 | Avg Score | 111.4 |
| 106 | Avg Opp Score | 107.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 112.3 | Avg Score | 115.8 |
| 111.2 | Avg Opp Score | 109.4 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Miami Heat
The Miami Heat had a three-game winning streak snapped in their last game. They fell against the Charlotte Hornets on the road, dropping a 122-117 decision against one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference. Now, the Heat will look to rebound from that loss against a Cavaliers team that is one spot ahead of them in the conference standings.
For Miami, the question going into this game will be whether or not Jimmy Butler can take the court. He scored 28 points in the loss to the Hornets, but is dealing with a quad contusion. His status for this game could go a long way toward determining whether the Heat have a chance to get a rare road win.
Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cleveland Cavaliers enter this game off of a home win over the Los Angeles Clippers at home over the weekend. They come into Tuesday at 31-21, and in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings. Here, they look to move to 22-5 at home on the season, with a win over a Heat team that they could see again in the playoffs.
Cleveland appears to be getting healthy near the middle of the season, as they should have both Donovan Mitchell and Kevin Love available for this game. Their only player on the injury report missing time going into this game is Dylan Windler. Having their full array of weapons could make them far too dangerous for the Heat to deal with, despite the Heat’s stout defense.
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