Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Apr 18, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction – 4/18/2025


On April 18, 2025, the Miami Heat (38-45) will face off against the Atlanta Hawks (40-43) in a crucial divisional matchup at State Farm Arena, starting at 7:00 PM ET. Both teams are looking to gain momentum, and the rivalry adds an extra layer of intensity to this Friday night clash.

Atlanta enters this game as a slight favorite, with the spread currently at Hawks -1.0. Both teams share a similar trajectory, having struggled lately, with the Heat losing 29 of their last 50 games and the Hawks dropping 28 of their last 50. However, the Hawks enjoyed three days off before this game, which could provide them with an advantage in terms of rest and preparation.

In their most recent outings, the Heat secured a commanding 109-90 victory over the Chicago Bulls, while the Hawks faced a disappointing 120-95 defeat against the Orlando Magic. This contrast in momentum could play a significant role in the outcome, especially considering the Hawks' need to bounce back from their recent loss.

Betting enthusiasts should keep an eye on Bam Adebayo's Points and Assists, as this market has gained traction among bettors. The current line for Adebayo stands at Under 23.5 Points and Assists, with odds at -110, indicating that sharp bettors may see value in betting the Under.

With both teams having equal implied win probabilities of 50% according to the moneyline, this matchup promises to be a competitive affair, and it will be intriguing to see which team can rise to the occasion and secure a vital win.


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Heat 111.97, Atlanta Hawks 113.39


Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Heat50%46%
Hawks50%54%

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.0/-110
85% MIA
+1.0/-110
15% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-115
63% MIA
-105
37% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

221.0/-110
7% UN
221.0/-110
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
43.4
87.0
FGA
90.2
.465
FG%
.481
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.3
37.3
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.367
3Pt%
.377
26.8
2Pt-FG
29.2
49.7
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.538
2Pt%
.557
16.0
FT
18.2
20.2
FTA
22.7
.791
FT%
.802
9.7
ORB
10.3
33.7
DRB
33.4
43.4
TRB
43.7
26.4
AST
28.2
8.1
STL
9.2
3.8
BLK
4.9
13.6
TOV
16.0
15.5
PF
19.1
110.6
PTS
119.3

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
43.4
88.6
FGA
91.8
.466
FG%
.472
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.5
37.9
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.360
3Pt%
.358
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.9
50.6
2Pt-FGA
54.1
.545
2Pt%
.552
13.9
FT
18.0
17.9
FTA
23.2
.776
FT%
.775
10.7
ORB
11.9
33.9
DRB
32.6
44.7
TRB
44.5
26.5
AST
29.6
7.5
STL
9.7
4.7
BLK
5.1
13.8
TOV
15.5
17.0
PF
19.1
110.0
PTS
118.2

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.544
eFG%
.560
12.4
TOV%
13.8
22.3
RB%
76.0
.183
FT/FGA
.202

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
ATL
.543
eFG%
.546
12.5
TOV%
13.2
75.8
RB%
26.3
.157
FT/FGA
.196

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
42.1
89.3
FGA
87.5
.465
FG%
.481
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.3
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.367
3Pt%
.377
27.5
2Pt-FG
28.3
51.0
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.538
2Pt%
.557
16.4
FT
17.6
20.7
FTA
22.0
.791
FT%
.802
10.0
ORB
10.0
34.5
DRB
32.3
44.5
TRB
42.3
27.1
AST
27.4
8.4
STL
8.9
3.9
BLK
4.8
13.9
TOV
15.5
16.0
PF
18.5
113.5
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
42.0
90.9
FGA
89.0
.466
FG%
.472
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.1
38.9
3Pt-FGA
36.5
.360
3Pt%
.358
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.0
52.0
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.545
2Pt%
.552
14.3
FT
17.4
18.4
FTA
22.5
.776
FT%
.775
11.0
ORB
11.5
34.8
DRB
31.6
45.8
TRB
43.1
27.2
AST
28.7
7.7
STL
9.4
4.8
BLK
5.0
14.2
TOV
15.1
17.4
PF
18.5
112.9
PTS
114.6

MIA
Analytics
ATL
42
Pythag Wins
38
40
Pythag Losses
44
0.56
Margin Of Victory
-1.13
113.5
O Rtg
114.6
112.9
D Rtg
115.7
96.2
Pace
102.6
.232
FTr
.252
.429
3PAr
.410
.576
TS%
.579

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
+1.5 (-113)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.0 (-113)
-1.0 (-106)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-106)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
+1.5 (100)
-1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
Open
Current
Book
MIA ATL
MIA ATL
Consensus
+100
-121
-109
-110
-102
-118
-115
-105
+100
-118
-104
-112
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
220.5 (-112)
220.5 (-109)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
221.0 (-112)
221.0 (-108)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
220.0 (-115)
220.0 (-105)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
220.5 (-115)
220.5 (-105)

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