Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 20, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction – 4/20/2025

On April 20, 2025, the Memphis Grizzlies will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1 of their Western Conference first round playoff series at Paycom Center, scheduled to tip off at 1:00 PM ET. The Thunder, boasting an impressive 68-15 record, enter this contest as significant favorites, with a spread of Thunder -13.5 and a moneyline of -950. In stark contrast, the Grizzlies hold a 49-35 record and have struggled lately, losing 17 of their last 30 games.

Oklahoma City comes into this game well-rested, having last played seven days ago, which could provide a crucial advantage as they look to maintain their strong form. The Thunder have won 41 of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are coming off a victory against the Dallas Mavericks, where they secured a 120-106 win, but their overall performance has been inconsistent.

Betting enthusiasts should keep an eye on Cason Wallace's Points, Rebounds, and Assists prop market, which has garnered significant attention. The prop total opened at Under 12.5 but has since moved to Under 11.5, indicating sharp bettors are leaning towards the under.

With an implied win probability of 87% for the Thunder compared to just 13% for the Grizzlies, this matchup appears to heavily favor Oklahoma City. As both teams prepare for this Sunday showdown, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see if the Grizzlies can pull off an upset or if the Thunder will continue their winning ways at home.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Memphis Grizzlies 110.4, Oklahoma City Thunder 131.36

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Grizzlies13%6%
Thunder87%94%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.5/-110
46% MEM
-13.5/-110
54% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+650
14% MEM
-1000
86% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

229.0/-110
12% UN
229.0/-110
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MEM
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
44.8
FG
37.9
93.3
FGA
87.0
.479
FG%
.436
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.5
37.9
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.367
3Pt%
.342
30.8
2Pt-FG
24.5
55.5
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.556
2Pt%
.513
18.3
FT
18.3
23.3
FTA
23.7
.786
FT%
.774
12.9
ORB
11.6
34.4
DRB
33.3
47.3
TRB
44.9
28.4
AST
24.6
8.9
STL
6.7
5.6
BLK
4.8
15.7
TOV
17.0
20.9
PF
18.1
121.7
PTS
107.6

Defense/Offense

MEM
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
82
Games
82
41.9
FG
44.6
91.8
FGA
92.7
.456
FG%
.482
14.2
3Pt-FG
14.5
39.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.360
3Pt%
.374
27.7
2Pt-FG
30.1
52.4
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.529
2Pt%
.559
18.9
FT
16.7
24.5
FTA
20.4
.770
FT%
.819
11.5
ORB
10.6
32.0
DRB
34.2
43.5
TRB
44.8
27.0
AST
26.9
8.7
STL
10.3
5.5
BLK
5.7
15.1
TOV
11.7
20.2
PF
19.9
116.9
PTS
120.5

Offense/Defense

MEM
Four Factors
OKC
.554
eFG%
.513
13.1
TOV%
14.9
28.7
RB%
74.6
.196
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

MEM
Four Factors
OKC
.533
eFG%
.560
12.9
TOV%
10.3
74.9
RB%
24.2
.206
FT/FGA
.180

Offense/Defense

MEM
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
43.3
FG
37.9
90.3
FGA
86.8
.479
FG%
.436
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.4
36.6
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.367
3Pt%
.342
29.8
2Pt-FG
24.4
53.6
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.556
2Pt%
.513
17.7
FT
18.3
22.5
FTA
23.7
.786
FT%
.774
12.5
ORB
11.6
33.3
DRB
33.2
45.7
TRB
44.8
27.5
AST
24.6
8.6
STL
6.7
5.4
BLK
4.8
15.2
TOV
17.0
20.2
PF
18.1
117.7
PTS
107.5

Defense/Offense

MEM
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
44.6
88.8
FGA
92.6
.456
FG%
.482
13.7
3Pt-FG
14.5
38.1
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.360
3Pt%
.374
26.8
2Pt-FG
30.1
50.7
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.529
2Pt%
.559
18.3
FT
16.7
23.7
FTA
20.4
.770
FT%
.819
11.1
ORB
10.6
31.0
DRB
34.1
42.1
TRB
44.7
26.2
AST
26.8
8.4
STL
10.3
5.3
BLK
5.7
14.6
TOV
11.7
19.5
PF
19.9
113.0
PTS
120.3

MEM
Analytics
OKC
52
Pythag Wins
68
30
Pythag Losses
14
4.85
Margin Of Victory
12.87
117.7
O Rtg
120.3
113.0
D Rtg
107.5
103.3
Pace
100.0
.249
FTr
.220
.406
3PAr
.419
.588
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MEM OKC
MEM OKC
Consensus
+12.5 (-111)
-12.5 (-113)
+13.5 (-111)
-13.5 (-108)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-108)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-112)
-12.5 (-113)
+14.0 (-112)
-14.0 (-109)
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MEM OKC
MEM OKC
Consensus
+543
-786
+602
-889
+575
-850
+650
-1000
+540
-770
+590
-850
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.5 (-113)
226.5 (-109)
229.5 (-109)
229.5 (-109)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
226.5 (-114)
226.5 (-106)
229.5 (-108)
229.5 (-112)
226.5 (-113)
226.5 (-108)
228.0 (-112)
228.0 (-109)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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