When the night session of the NBA Christmas Day slate begins, it will feature the defending NBA champions an one of their budding rivals. The Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors had a heated second round playoff series last season, and they will meet on the biggest stage of the regular season on Sunday. In our NBA betting predictions for Christmas Day, we break down this Grizzlies vs Warriors matchup.
Grizzlies vs Warriors Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Grizzlies -3.5 |
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This game will be played at Chase Center at 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, December 25, 2022.
Why Bet the Grizzlies:
✅ Andrew Wiggins could be back for this Christmas Day game after missing significant time due to injury. However, he is not going to be anywhere near 100% for this matchup, and the Grizzlies should be able to beat Golden State.
✅ Golden State is 12-2 at home this season, which bettors will see often before this contest. But that record was accumulated before Steph Curry went down with an injury during the team’s recent road trip. Memphis will drop them to 12-3 at home for the year.
✅ There is a revenge element in play coming into this contest. Memphis was eliminated from the postseason by the Warriors last year. This game means a lot more to them than it does the Warriors, and Memphis will play that way.
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| MEM | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | GS |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Games | 25 |
| 42.8 | FG | 39.2 |
| 88.1 | FGA | 88.2 |
| .486 | FG% | .445 |
| 12.6 | 3Pt-FG | 12.9 |
| 35.2 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.0 |
| .358 | 3Pt% | .338 |
| 30.2 | 2Pt-FG | 26.4 |
| 52.8 | 2Pt-FGA | 50.2 |
| .572 | 2Pt% | .525 |
| 18.2 | FT | 17.9 |
| 23.4 | FTA | 23.2 |
| .777 | FT% | .773 |
| 11.7 | ORB | 10.9 |
| 33.8 | DRB | 34.4 |
| 45.6 | TRB | 45.3 |
| 28.8 | AST | 26.1 |
| 8.6 | STL | 7.6 |
| 6.4 | BLK | 6.1 |
| 16.1 | TOV | 15.2 |
| 20.8 | PF | 17.8 |
| 116.5 | PTS | 109.2 |
Defense/Offense
| MEM | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | GS |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Games | 25 |
| 38.6 | FG | 41.7 |
| 87.7 | FGA | 91.8 |
| .440 | FG% | .454 |
| 12.8 | 3Pt-FG | 15.4 |
| 38.5 | 3Pt-FGA | 41.4 |
| .333 | 3Pt% | .373 |
| 25.7 | 2Pt-FG | 26.2 |
| 49.2 | 2Pt-FGA | 50.4 |
| .524 | 2Pt% | .520 |
| 18.5 | FT | 14.6 |
| 24.7 | FTA | 20.7 |
| .749 | FT% | .702 |
| 11.5 | ORB | 13.0 |
| 30.5 | DRB | 34.5 |
| 42.0 | TRB | 47.6 |
| 23.3 | AST | 29.2 |
| 8.7 | STL | 9.0 |
| 4.9 | BLK | 5.2 |
| 15.7 | TOV | 14.4 |
| 20.7 | PF | 20.0 |
| 108.4 | PTS | 113.3 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| MEM | Four Factors | GS |
|---|---|---|
| .558 | eFG% | .518 |
| 14.1 | TOV% | 13.4 |
| 27.8 | RB% | 76.1 |
| .206 | FT/FGA | .203 |
Defense/Offense
| MEM | Four Factors | GS |
|---|---|---|
| .513 | eFG% | .538 |
| 13.7 | TOV% | 12.5 |
| 74.6 | RB% | 27.5 |
| .211 | FT/FGA | .159 |
Analytics
| MEM | Analytics | GS |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pythag Wins | 16 |
| 7 | Pythag Losses | 9 |
| 8.44 | Margin Of Victory | 4.12 |
| 116.5 | O Rtg | 113.3 |
| 108.4 | D Rtg | 109.2 |
| 104.9 | Pace | 100.1 |
| .266 | FTr | .226 |
| .400 | 3PAr | .451 |
| .592 | TS% | .562 |
Betting Trends
| MEM | Betting Trends | GS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 108.33 | Avg Score | 111 |
| 106.67 | Avg Opp Score | 128.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 108.33 | Avg Score | 115.67 |
| 106.67 | Avg Opp Score | 106.67 |
| MEM | Betting Trends | GS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 119 | Avg Score | 111.6 |
| 104.8 | Avg Opp Score | 125.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 109.6 | Avg Score | 119 |
| 108.2 | Avg Opp Score | 109.8 |
| MEM | Betting Trends | GS |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-7-0 |
| 7-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 117.2 | Avg Score | 113.9 |
| 104.3 | Avg Opp Score | 120 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 8-2-0 |
| 110.8 | Avg Score | 118.4 |
| 112.8 | Avg Opp Score | 106.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Memphis Grizzlies
The Memphis Grizzlies are right near the top of the Western Conference standings going into Christmas night against the Golden State Warriors. They have dealt with some injury issues nicely, overcoming absences from players like Desmond Bane and Ja Morant. Here, they will look for a key road win against a Warriors team that is without its best player in Stephen Curry.
For Memphis, the biggest key to this game is going to be controlling their emotions. They lost a heated second round series against the Warriors last postseason, with Dillon Brooks picking up a key suspension for a flagrant foul. Memphis will have to keep their cool against a Golden State team that has struggled but is capable of scoring in bunches at any time.
Golden State Warriors
The Golden State Warriors find themselves outside of the top-10 in the Western Conference coming into this Christmas game against the Grizzlies. A lot of that has had to do with their road record, which is the worst in the NBA at 3-16. But while the Warriors are 12-2 at home on the season, the question coming into this game is whether they can win at home without Steph Curry.
Golden State could be getting reinforcements back in the form of a returning Andrew Wiggins ahead of this contest. Wiggins was arguably the most influential player on the Warriors during their NBA Finals triumph this past postseason. But Wiggins may have his minutes limited upon his return to the lineup, which could force the Warriors to rely on their suspect bench anyway.
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