Jalen Brunson Points Prop Pick & Prediction – Mar 27th, 2024

Bob Cooper on March 27th, 2024

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-118/-108) at BetMGM sportsbook.

Jalen Brunson has attempted 24.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he’s attempted overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson ranks in the 94th percentile for three-pointers sunk, tallying 2.7 per game this year.
Jalen Brunson has played 35.0 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile — some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Knicks will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The Knicks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks’s unimpressive 102.7 points per game measures as the 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a hard one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Toronto may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team’s starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Toronto Raptors are playing at home (5th-least in the league).
Jalen Brunson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.