Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Feb 12, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Pick – 2/12/2025


On February 12, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a highly anticipated matchup at the American Airlines Center, with tip-off scheduled for 9:30 PM ET. Both teams are currently struggling, with the Warriors sitting at a record of 27-26 and the Mavericks slightly ahead at 28-26.

Despite their recent form, the Warriors enter the game as 4-point favorites according to the spread, reflecting an implied win probability of 62%. This is notable considering Golden State has managed to lose 23 of their last 40 games, yet they are coming off a convincing 125-111 victory against the Milwaukee Bucks.

Conversely, the Mavericks have faced their own challenges, losing 16 of their last 25 games. In their most recent outing, Dallas fell just short in a nail-biter against the Sacramento Kings, losing 129-128. With both teams in search of stability, this matchup could prove pivotal for their respective playoff aspirations.

Betting markets seem to favor Draymond Green's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) prop, as it has gained traction among bettors. Additionally, sharp money has been leaning toward the Under option for Green's total set at 21.5, indicating a belief that this figure is mispriced.

As this matchup unfolds, all eyes will be on how the Warriors will perform on the road against a Mavericks team looking to bounce back from recent losses. With both teams in similar positions, the outcome may hinge on which squad can find their rhythm and capitalize on the other's weaknesses.


Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 117.61 vs Dallas Mavericks 111.84


Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Warriors64%66%
Mavericks36%34%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-108
76% GS
+5.5/-112
24% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-218
80% GS
+180
20% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

233.5/-112
8% UN
233.5/-108
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
53
Games
54
40.8
FG
42.0
91.6
FGA
91.4
.445
FG%
.459
15.4
3Pt-FG
13.2
42.7
3Pt-FGA
36.1
.361
3Pt%
.365
25.4
2Pt-FG
28.8
48.9
2Pt-FGA
55.3
.518
2Pt%
.521
15.1
FT
16.5
20.8
FTA
21.4
.726
FT%
.773
12.7
ORB
12.1
33.3
DRB
32.4
46.0
TRB
44.4
28.7
AST
26.7
8.7
STL
8.1
5.0
BLK
4.7
13.9
TOV
13.5
19.7
PF
19.1
112.2
PTS
113.6

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
53
Games
54
40.6
FG
42.3
87.8
FGA
88.3
.463
FG%
.479
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
37.3
3Pt-FGA
35.1
.358
3Pt%
.371
27.3
2Pt-FG
29.2
50.5
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.540
2Pt%
.549
17.2
FT
18.2
22.2
FTA
23.6
.777
FT%
.772
10.4
ORB
11.0
34.4
DRB
33.4
44.8
TRB
44.4
26.3
AST
25.3
7.5
STL
7.9
5.8
BLK
6.1
14.7
TOV
14.2
17.9
PF
18.7
111.9
PTS
115.8

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
DAL
.529
eFG%
.531
12.2
TOV%
11.8
27.0
RB%
73.5
.165
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
DAL
.539
eFG%
.553
13.1
TOV%
12.6
76.3
RB%
25.4
.196
FT/FGA
.206

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
53
Games
54
41.1
FG
42.2
92.2
FGA
92.0
.445
FG%
.459
15.5
3Pt-FG
13.3
43.0
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.361
3Pt%
.365
25.5
2Pt-FG
29.0
49.3
2Pt-FGA
55.6
.518
2Pt%
.521
15.2
FT
16.6
21.0
FTA
21.5
.726
FT%
.773
12.8
ORB
12.2
33.5
DRB
32.6
46.3
TRB
44.7
28.9
AST
26.8
8.8
STL
8.2
5.0
BLK
4.7
14.0
TOV
13.5
19.8
PF
19.2
112.9
PTS
114.4

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
53
Games
54
40.9
FG
42.5
88.4
FGA
88.9
.463
FG%
.479
13.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
37.6
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.358
3Pt%
.371
27.5
2Pt-FG
29.4
50.8
2Pt-FGA
53.5
.540
2Pt%
.549
17.4
FT
18.3
22.3
FTA
23.7
.777
FT%
.772
10.4
ORB
11.1
34.6
DRB
33.6
45.1
TRB
44.7
26.5
AST
25.5
7.6
STL
8.0
5.8
BLK
6.1
14.8
TOV
14.3
18.1
PF
18.8
112.6
PTS
116.5

GS
Analytics
DAL
27
Pythag Wins
30
26
Pythag Losses
24
0.26
Margin Of Victory
2.13
112.9
O Rtg
116.5
112.6
D Rtg
114.4
99.1
Pace
99.0
.228
FTr
.267
.466
3PAr
.398
.556
TS%
.587

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS DAL
GS DAL
Consensus
-3.5 (-111)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-111)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-109)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
GS DAL
GS DAL
Consensus
-162
+136
-209
+174
-162
+136
-218
+180
-164
+138
-220
+180
-190
+155
-200
+165
-165
+140
-210
+175
-170
+140
-210
+170
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-112)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-108)
233.5 (-112)
232.5 (-106)
232.5 (-114)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
232.5 (-112)
232.5 (-109)
233.5 (-109)
233.5 (-112)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
232.5 (-115)
232.5 (-105)

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