Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

Feb 12, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Pick – 2/12/2025


On February 12, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a highly anticipated matchup at the American Airlines Center, with tip-off scheduled for 9:30 PM ET. Both teams are currently struggling, with the Warriors sitting at a record of 27-26 and the Mavericks slightly ahead at 28-26.

Despite their recent form, the Warriors enter the game as 4-point favorites according to the spread, reflecting an implied win probability of 62%. This is notable considering Golden State has managed to lose 23 of their last 40 games, yet they are coming off a convincing 125-111 victory against the Milwaukee Bucks.

Conversely, the Mavericks have faced their own challenges, losing 16 of their last 25 games. In their most recent outing, Dallas fell just short in a nail-biter against the Sacramento Kings, losing 129-128. With both teams in search of stability, this matchup could prove pivotal for their respective playoff aspirations.

Betting markets seem to favor Draymond Green's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) prop, as it has gained traction among bettors. Additionally, sharp money has been leaning toward the Under option for Green's total set at 21.5, indicating a belief that this figure is mispriced.

As this matchup unfolds, all eyes will be on how the Warriors will perform on the road against a Mavericks team looking to bounce back from recent losses. With both teams in similar positions, the outcome may hinge on which squad can find their rhythm and capitalize on the other's weaknesses.


Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Golden State Warriors 117.61 vs Dallas Mavericks 111.84


Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Warriors64%66%
Mavericks36%34%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.0/-108
43% GS
+8.0/-112
57% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-315
83% GS
+256
17% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

234.5/-110
7% UN
234.5/-110
93% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
66
Games
67
41.1
FG
42.6
91.3
FGA
91.6
.451
FG%
.465
15.4
3Pt-FG
12.8
42.3
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.364
3Pt%
.360
25.7
2Pt-FG
29.8
49.0
2Pt-FGA
56.0
.526
2Pt%
.531
16.2
FT
16.6
21.5
FTA
21.3
.754
FT%
.780
12.7
ORB
12.3
33.2
DRB
33.2
45.9
TRB
45.5
29.3
AST
27.1
9.0
STL
7.9
5.0
BLK
4.7
14.0
TOV
13.4
19.6
PF
18.6
113.8
PTS
114.6

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
66
Games
67
40.5
FG
42.0
87.5
FGA
88.5
.463
FG%
.475
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
36.7
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.360
3Pt%
.368
27.3
2Pt-FG
28.9
50.8
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.537
2Pt%
.547
17.0
FT
17.7
22.0
FTA
22.7
.771
FT%
.778
10.6
ORB
10.5
33.7
DRB
32.9
44.2
TRB
43.4
25.9
AST
25.4
7.5
STL
7.9
5.6
BLK
5.6
15.3
TOV
13.9
18.2
PF
18.1
111.2
PTS
114.8

Offense/Defense

GS
Four Factors
DAL
.535
eFG%
.535
12.2
TOV%
11.7
27.4
RB%
72.8
.177
FT/FGA
.181

Defense/Offense

GS
Four Factors
DAL
.538
eFG%
.549
13.6
TOV%
12.4
75.8
RB%
24.0
.194
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
66
Games
67
41.4
FG
42.9
91.9
FGA
92.2
.451
FG%
.465
15.5
3Pt-FG
12.9
42.6
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.364
3Pt%
.360
25.9
2Pt-FG
30.0
49.3
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.526
2Pt%
.531
16.3
FT
16.7
21.6
FTA
21.4
.754
FT%
.780
12.8
ORB
12.4
33.4
DRB
33.4
46.2
TRB
45.8
29.5
AST
27.2
9.1
STL
8.0
5.0
BLK
4.8
14.1
TOV
13.4
19.7
PF
18.7
114.6
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

GS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
66
Games
67
40.8
FG
42.3
88.2
FGA
89.0
.463
FG%
.475
13.3
3Pt-FG
13.2
37.0
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.360
3Pt%
.368
27.5
2Pt-FG
29.1
51.2
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.537
2Pt%
.547
17.1
FT
17.8
22.1
FTA
22.9
.771
FT%
.778
10.6
ORB
10.6
33.9
DRB
33.1
44.5
TRB
43.7
26.0
AST
25.6
7.6
STL
8.0
5.6
BLK
5.7
15.4
TOV
14.0
18.3
PF
18.2
112.0
PTS
115.5

GS
Analytics
DAL
38
Pythag Wins
34
28
Pythag Losses
33
2.62
Margin Of Victory
0.18
114.6
O Rtg
115.5
112.0
D Rtg
115.4
99.1
Pace
99.1
.235
FTr
.257
.463
3PAr
.402
.565
TS%
.583

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
GS DAL
GS DAL
Consensus
-3.5 (-107)
+3.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-107)
+8.0 (-114)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-108)
+8.0 (-112)
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
-5.0 (-107)
+5.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-107)
+8.0 (-114)
-4.0 (-115)
+4.0 (-110)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
GS DAL
GS DAL
Consensus
-162
+136
-315
+256
-162
+136
-340
+270
-164
+138
-295
+240
-190
+155
-295
+240
-165
+140
-305
+240
-170
+140
-325
+260
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
234.5 (-112)
234.5 (-109)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
235.0 (-110)
235.0 (-110)
232.5 (-106)
232.5 (-114)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
232.5 (-112)
232.5 (-109)
234.5 (-112)
234.5 (-109)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
235.5 (-105)
235.5 (-115)

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