The Denver Nuggets will travel to face the Phoenix Suns on Saturday night in a high-stakes Western Conference game. Denver is on a six-game road winning streak and Phoenix is looking to rebound after a tough loss in their last game. Denver is a slight favorite entering this game and you can find my Nuggets vs Suns prediction below.
Our Nuggets vs Suns Pick
Pick: Denver Nuggets -3.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns
Date & Time: Saturday, November 29, 2025, 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, Arizona
Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- The Nuggets enter the game at 13–5 overall and are 11–4 against Western Conference opponents. They have won six straight on the road, a streak they will try to extend in hostile territory here.
- The Suns sit at 12–8 and 11–7 in conference play. Phoenix ranks among the better defensive teams in the league, allowing only 113.2 points per game and holding opponents to roughly 46.5% shooting.
- Offensively, Denver remains a juggernaut led by Nikola Jokic. He’s averaging 29.1 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 11 assists per game this season. On top of that, their supporting cast has been consistent enough to give Denver balance.
- For Phoenix, Devin Booker is the focal point, putting up 25.8 points and 6.9 assists per contest. The Suns’ 3-point shooting and perimeter discipline will be key if they hope to slow Denver’s half-court sets.
- This is the second game of a back-to-back for both teams, who will look to overcome their fatigue concerns to pick up a win in this contest.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These clubs have met earlier this season, with Denver dominating a 133–111 win on October 25.
- In the last six head-to-heads, Denver has claimed four wins over the Suns.
- Phoenix is 14-6 against the spread so far this season.
- Denver is 11-7 against the spread on the year.
- The Nuggets have gone over the total in 11 of their first 18 games.
- Suns games have stayed under the total 11 times in 20 outings.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop to Watch |
|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | Triple double |
| Devin Booker | Over 25.5 Points |
| Cam Johnson | Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made |
Nuggets vs Suns Model Projection
Score Projection: Denver Nuggets 119 – Phoenix Suns 113
Win Probability: Denver 62%, Phoenix 38%
Final Thoughts
Denver should be able to handle the demands of a back-to-back better than the Suns in this matchup. Nikola Jokic will help them keep things steady offensively, while the role players of the Nuggets are more trustworthy at this point in time. I’m going to lay the points with the Nuggets here in what could end up being the best game of the night in the NBA.
Affiliate Disclosure
ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
