Heat +4.5 (-110) over Nuggets
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- The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games but they are just 18-14 at home so far this season.
- Jimmy Butler should be good to go for the Heat despite dealing with an illness and that should be a huge lift for Miami.
The Denver Nuggets will face off with the Miami Heat on March 13, 2024 at 7:30 pm ET. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Denver Nuggets as 5.0 point favorites.
The early action has the Denver Nuggets taking 86% of the spread bets, while the Miami Heat are getting 14% of the bets.
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.
We get an NBA Finals rematch in Wednesday’s Nuggets vs Heat matchup from South Florida. In that game, look for the Miami Heat to cover the spread as an underdog on their home floor. Not only are the Heat looking to exact revenge on the Nuggets for the outcome of the Finals. The Nuggets are also just not that good on the road this year, going just 18-14 away from Ball Arena, where they are 27-6. Miami should have Jimmy Butler in this game, which should help them keep this game within a possession or win it outright.
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Denver Nuggets
Miami Heat
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN Team Stats Per 100 Poss MIA 82 Games 82 45.1 FG 42.3 89.1 FGA 90.9 .506 FG% .466 11.9 3Pt-FG 14.0 31.7 3Pt-FGA 38.9 .376 3Pt% .360 33.2 2Pt-FG 28.3 57.4 2Pt-FGA 52.0 .578 2Pt% .545 17.8 FT 14.3 23.1 FTA 18.4 .770 FT% .776 11.1 ORB 11.0 34.3 DRB 34.8 45.4 TRB 45.8 30.8 AST 27.2 7.9 STL 7.7 4.9 BLK 4.8 14.2 TOV 14.2 17.5 PF 17.4 119.9 PTS 112.9 DEN Team Stats Per 100 Poss MIA 82 Games 82 43.0 FG 41.5 92.4 FGA 89.3 .466 FG% .465 14.0 3Pt-FG 14.1 38.4 3Pt-FGA 38.3 .365 3Pt% .367 29.0 2Pt-FG 27.5 54.0 2Pt-FGA 51.0 .538 2Pt% .538 16.0 FT 16.4 20.6 FTA 20.7 .777 FT% .791 11.7 ORB 10.0 30.5 DRB 34.5 42.2 TRB 44.5 28.8 AST 27.1 8.7 STL 8.4 5.1 BLK 3.9 12.9 TOV 13.9 18.9 PF 16.0 116.0 PTS 113.5 Four Factors
DEN Four Factors MIA .573 eFG% .543 12.5 TOV% 12.5 26.7 RB% 75.8 .200 FT/FGA .157 DEN Four Factors MIA .542 eFG% .544 11.3 TOV% 12.4 74.6 RB% 22.3 .173 FT/FGA .183 Analytics
DEN Analytics MIA 50 Pythag Wins 42 32 Pythag Losses 40 3.89 Margin Of Victory 0.56 119.9 O Rtg 113.5 116.0 D Rtg 112.9 99.8 Pace 96.2 .259 FTr .232 .356 3PAr .429 .604 TS% .576 Betting Trends
DEN Betting Trends MIA OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 127.33 Avg Score 105.33 116.33 Avg Opp Score 110.33 AWAY HOME 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 123.33 Avg Score 117.33 109.67 Avg Opp Score 113.33 DEN Betting Trends MIA OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-3-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 1-4-0 122.6 Avg Score 112 116 Avg Opp Score 112.2 AWAY HOME 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 114.2 Avg Score 114.8 115.2 Avg Opp Score 110.8 DEN Betting Trends MIA OVERALL OVERALL 9-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 6-4-0 7-3-0 ATS W/L/P 6-4-0 120.9 Avg Score 109.9 109.8 Avg Opp Score 106.9 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 5-4-1 ATS W/L/P 4-6-0 109.6 Avg Score 112 112.2 Avg Opp Score 111.9 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
