Heat +4.5 (-110) over Nuggets
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- The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games but they are just 18-14 at home so far this season.
- Jimmy Butler should be good to go for the Heat despite dealing with an illness and that should be a huge lift for Miami.
The Denver Nuggets will face off with the Miami Heat on March 13, 2024 at 7:30 pm ET. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Denver Nuggets as 5.0 point favorites.
The early action has the Denver Nuggets taking 86% of the spread bets, while the Miami Heat are getting 14% of the bets.
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.
We get an NBA Finals rematch in Wednesday’s Nuggets vs Heat matchup from South Florida. In that game, look for the Miami Heat to cover the spread as an underdog on their home floor. Not only are the Heat looking to exact revenge on the Nuggets for the outcome of the Finals. The Nuggets are also just not that good on the road this year, going just 18-14 away from Ball Arena, where they are 27-6. Miami should have Jimmy Butler in this game, which should help them keep this game within a possession or win it outright.
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NBA
Denver Nuggets
Miami Heat
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
25 Games 26 43.4 FG 41.3 87.5 FGA 89.3 .496 FG% .463 11.4 3Pt-FG 14.0 29.9 3Pt-FGA 38.3 .383 3Pt% .365 32.0 2Pt-FG 27.4 57.7 2Pt-FGA 51.0 .555 2Pt% .537 18.6 FT 15.1 24.8 FTA 18.8 .752 FT% .805 10.7 ORB 11.2 33.2 DRB 35.0 43.9 TRB 46.2 30.4 AST 27.2 8.8 STL 7.1 4.5 BLK 5.4 14.4 TOV 15.5 18.1 PF 19.6 116.9 PTS 111.8
DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
25 Games 26 42.7 FG 40.4 91.3 FGA 89.2 .467 FG% .453 13.7 3Pt-FG 14.7 38.3 3Pt-FGA 39.5 .358 3Pt% .373 29.0 2Pt-FG 25.7 53.1 2Pt-FGA 49.7 .546 2Pt% .517 15.4 FT 18.6 20.1 FTA 23.9 .763 FT% .778 11.8 ORB 10.2 31.1 DRB 34.1 42.9 TRB 44.3 28.9 AST 26.2 8.9 STL 9.2 5.8 BLK 3.5 14.5 TOV 13.5 20.6 PF 16.9 114.5 PTS 114.1 Four Factors
DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.562 eFG% .541 12.8 TOV% 13.7 25.5 RB% 75.2 .213 FT/FGA .170
DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.542 eFG% .536 12.6 TOV% 11.9 73.7 RB% 22.6 .168 FT/FGA .209 Analytics
DEN
Analytics
MIA
14 Pythag Wins 15 11 Pythag Losses 11 2.52 Margin Of Victory 2.31 116.9 O Rtg 114.1 114.5 D Rtg 111.8 101.3 Pace 97.2 .283 FTr .268 .341 3PAr .443 .594 TS% .572 Betting Trends
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 127.33 Avg Score 105.33 116.33 Avg Opp Score 110.33 AWAY HOME 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 123.33 Avg Score 117.33 109.67 Avg Opp Score 113.33
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-3-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 1-4-0 122.6 Avg Score 112 116 Avg Opp Score 112.2 AWAY HOME 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 114.2 Avg Score 114.8 115.2 Avg Opp Score 110.8
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 9-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 6-4-0 7-3-0 ATS W/L/P 6-4-0 120.9 Avg Score 109.9 109.8 Avg Opp Score 106.9 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 5-4-1 ATS W/L/P 4-6-0 109.6 Avg Score 112 112.2 Avg Opp Score 111.9 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
