Heat +4.5 (-110) over Nuggets
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- The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games but they are just 18-14 at home so far this season.
- Jimmy Butler should be good to go for the Heat despite dealing with an illness and that should be a huge lift for Miami.
The Denver Nuggets will face off with the Miami Heat on March 13, 2024 at 7:30 pm ET. The opening betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Denver Nuggets as 5.0 point favorites.
The early action has the Denver Nuggets taking 86% of the spread bets, while the Miami Heat are getting 14% of the bets.
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.
We get an NBA Finals rematch in Wednesday’s Nuggets vs Heat matchup from South Florida. In that game, look for the Miami Heat to cover the spread as an underdog on their home floor. Not only are the Heat looking to exact revenge on the Nuggets for the outcome of the Finals. The Nuggets are also just not that good on the road this year, going just 18-14 away from Ball Arena, where they are 27-6. Miami should have Jimmy Butler in this game, which should help them keep this game within a possession or win it outright.
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NBA
Denver Nuggets
Miami Heat
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
14 Games 13 41.7 FG 41.6 88.8 FGA 89.1 .469 FG% .467 12.3 3Pt-FG 14.1 31.6 3Pt-FGA 38.8 .389 3Pt% .362 29.4 2Pt-FG 27.6 57.2 2Pt-FGA 50.3 .514 2Pt% .548 19.3 FT 15.1 25.2 FTA 18.6 .763 FT% .810 12.1 ORB 11.4 33.0 DRB 35.4 45.1 TRB 46.8 29.4 AST 26.8 8.7 STL 7.5 4.8 BLK 5.5 14.1 TOV 16.3 18.8 PF 19.2 114.9 PTS 112.4
DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
14 Games 13 42.6 FG 40.1 91.9 FGA 90.5 .464 FG% .444 12.9 3Pt-FG 15.3 37.5 3Pt-FGA 40.1 .343 3Pt% .382 29.7 2Pt-FG 24.8 54.3 2Pt-FGA 50.4 .547 2Pt% .492 15.7 FT 17.7 20.5 FTA 22.7 .770 FT% .779 11.9 ORB 10.7 32.3 DRB 33.1 44.1 TRB 43.7 28.6 AST 25.8 8.3 STL 10.1 6.5 BLK 3.8 14.7 TOV 13.1 21.6 PF 17.0 113.8 PTS 113.2 Four Factors
DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.538 eFG% .546 12.3 TOV% 14.3 27.3 RB% 74.4 .217 FT/FGA .169
DEN
Four Factors
MIA
.534 eFG% .528 12.7 TOV% 11.5 73.6 RB% 23.2 .171 FT/FGA .195 Analytics
DEN
Analytics
MIA
7 Pythag Wins 7 7 Pythag Losses 6 1.14 Margin Of Victory 0.85 114.9 O Rtg 113.2 113.8 D Rtg 112.4 100.1 Pace 97.2 .284 FTr .251 .356 3PAr .443 .575 TS% .564 Betting Trends
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 127.33 Avg Score 105.33 116.33 Avg Opp Score 110.33 AWAY HOME 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-1-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 123.33 Avg Score 117.33 109.67 Avg Opp Score 113.33
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 2-3-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 1-4-0 122.6 Avg Score 112 116 Avg Opp Score 112.2 AWAY HOME 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 114.2 Avg Score 114.8 115.2 Avg Opp Score 110.8
DEN
Betting Trends
MIA
OVERALL OVERALL 9-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 6-4-0 7-3-0 ATS W/L/P 6-4-0 120.9 Avg Score 109.9 109.8 Avg Opp Score 106.9 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 5-4-1 ATS W/L/P 4-6-0 109.6 Avg Score 112 112.2 Avg Opp Score 111.9 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
