Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Nov 19, 2024

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Best Bet – 11/19/2024

  • Date: November 19, 2024
  • Venue: FedExForum

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets 4 (-110), Memphis Grizzlies -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 227
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets 150, Memphis Grizzlies -175

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 39% Denver Nuggets - 28%
Memphis Grizzlies - 61% Memphis Grizzlies - 72%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets, sitting at 7-5, are set to clash with the 8-6 Memphis Grizzlies in a Tuesday night showdown at FedExForum. With the Grizzlies favored at home, the current spread stands at Grizzlies -4.0. The moneyline odds reflect a 61% implied win probability for Memphis at -170, while the Nuggets are pegged at +150, indicating a 39% chance of victory.

The Grizzlies have been on a roll at home, boasting four consecutive wins, and they’ll look to extend this streak against a Nuggets team that has struggled on the road, dropping their last three away games. In their most recent encounter, Memphis convincingly defeated Denver 105-90, a result fresh in the minds of both teams as they prepare for this rematch.

For those eyeing player prop bets, Nikola Jokic's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market is drawing significant attention. The line is set at Over 50.5 PRA with odds of -115. Sharp bettors are reportedly leaning towards the Over, suggesting they see value in this line, potentially due to Jokic's ability to fill up the stat sheet.

As the Grizzlies look to maintain their home-court dominance, the Nuggets will aim to turn their road woes around in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. With both teams having something to prove, this game is shaping up to be a must-watch for basketball fans and bettors alike.

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 111.72 vs Memphis Grizzlies 119.46

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-108
63% DEN
-6.0/-112
37% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+193
17% DEN
-234
83% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

224.0/-112
31% UN
224.0/-108
69% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
40
Games
41
44.9
FG
41.3
89.9
FGA
92.1
.500
FG%
.448
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.8
31.0
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.382
3Pt%
.348
33.1
2Pt-FG
27.5
58.9
2Pt-FGA
52.6
.562
2Pt%
.523
18.3
FT
18.8
24.1
FTA
25.1
.759
FT%
.751
11.0
ORB
11.7
34.5
DRB
31.7
45.4
TRB
43.3
30.9
AST
25.9
8.6
STL
9.5
4.8
BLK
5.8
14.4
TOV
16.4
18.2
PF
21.3
120.0
PTS
115.2

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
40
Games
41
43.1
FG
45.0
93.0
FGA
93.2
.464
FG%
.483
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
39.1
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.353
3Pt%
.371
29.3
2Pt-FG
31.0
53.9
2Pt-FGA
55.3
.544
2Pt%
.560
16.0
FT
18.9
20.9
FTA
24.6
.769
FT%
.769
11.6
ORB
13.0
31.5
DRB
35.2
43.0
TRB
48.1
29.3
AST
29.5
9.1
STL
9.3
5.6
BLK
6.2
14.1
TOV
17.0
20.0
PF
21.3
116.0
PTS
123.0

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
MEM
.566
eFG%
.523
12.6
TOV%
13.7
25.9
RB%
75.1
.204
FT/FGA
.204

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
MEM
.538
eFG%
.558
12.1
TOV%
14.1
74.9
RB%
29.0
.172
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
40
Games
41
44.2
FG
39.3
88.3
FGA
87.7
.500
FG%
.448
11.6
3Pt-FG
13.1
30.5
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.382
3Pt%
.348
32.5
2Pt-FG
26.2
57.8
2Pt-FGA
50.0
.562
2Pt%
.523
18.0
FT
17.9
23.7
FTA
23.9
.759
FT%
.751
10.8
ORB
11.1
33.9
DRB
30.2
44.6
TRB
41.3
30.4
AST
24.6
8.5
STL
9.1
4.7
BLK
5.5
14.2
TOV
15.6
17.8
PF
20.3
117.9
PTS
109.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
40
Games
41
42.4
FG
42.9
91.4
FGA
88.7
.464
FG%
.483
13.5
3Pt-FG
13.4
38.4
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.353
3Pt%
.371
28.8
2Pt-FG
29.5
52.9
2Pt-FGA
52.7
.544
2Pt%
.560
15.7
FT
18.0
20.5
FTA
23.4
.769
FT%
.769
11.4
ORB
12.3
30.9
DRB
33.5
42.3
TRB
45.8
28.8
AST
28.1
8.9
STL
8.9
5.5
BLK
5.9
13.9
TOV
16.2
19.6
PF
20.3
114.0
PTS
117.1

DEN
Analytics
MEM
25
Pythag Wins
29
15
Pythag Losses
12
4.00
Margin Of Victory
7.83
117.9
O Rtg
117.1
114.0
D Rtg
109.6
100.7
Pace
105.1
.268
FTr
.264
.345
3PAr
.406
.597
TS%
.591

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN MEM
DEN MEM
Consensus
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-111)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-109)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+4.0 (100)
-4.0 (-110)
+6.0 (+100)
-6.0 (-120)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
DEN MEM
DEN MEM
Consensus
+150
-178
+193
-234
+140
-166
+200
-245
+150
-178
+198
-240
+135
-159
+190
-235
+152
-180
+215
-267
+145
-175
+190
-250
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
224.0 (-109)
224.0 (-113)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
224.0 (-108)
224.0 (-112)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
228.5 (-109)
228.5 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
224.0 (-113)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
224.0 (-105)
224.0 (-115)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
224.5 (-105)
224.5 (-115)