De’Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115) at BetMGM.
Pros
- In contrast to last season’s 18.7 rate, De’Aaron Fox’s shots have spiked this season to 20.8 per game.
- De’Aaron Fox has successfully made a terrific 2.8 three-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.8 rate last season.
- Among all players in the NBA, De’Aaron Fox registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.6 minutes per game this year.
- The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are on the road, the other team’s starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).
- The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).
Cons
- Among all players in the NBA, De’Aaron Fox ranks in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
- The Kings check in as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
- Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Prop Projection: De’Aaron Fox is projected for 25.4 Points
