Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Jan 23, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks 1/23/2025

  • Date: January 23, 2025
  • Venue: Paycom Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Dallas Mavericks 13 (-110), Oklahoma City Thunder -13 (-110)
Over/Under:221
Moneyline:Dallas Mavericks 560, Oklahoma City Thunder -750


Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 15%Dallas Mavericks - 15%
Oklahoma City Thunder - 85%Oklahoma City Thunder - 85%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (23-21) face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) in a highly anticipated matchup on Thursday night at 8:00 PM ET, taking place at Paycom Center. Both teams are coming off back-to-back games, which could impact their performance. The Mavericks are particularly struggling, having lost their last six road games, including a narrow defeat to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 115-114.

On the other hand, the Thunder have been a force to be reckoned with, winning an impressive 32 of their last 40 contests. They enter this game fresh off a solid victory against the Utah Jazz, winning 123-114. Oklahoma City is a massive favorite, with a spread of Thunder -13.0 and a moneyline of -750, giving them an implied win probability of 85%. Meanwhile, the Mavericks sit at +560 on the moneyline, translating to an implied win probability of just 15%.

For those looking at player prop markets, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Points and Rebounds is generating considerable interest. The prop total opened at Over 36.5 Points and Rebounds (-125) and has since climbed to 37.5 (-110), indicating sharp bettors are favoring the Over.

With both teams facing the fatigue of back-to-back games, the outcome may hinge on which squad can muster the energy to execute their game plan effectively. Given the Mavericks' recent road struggles and the Thunder's dominant form, this matchup promises to be an exciting clash, especially for those looking to place their bets.


Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 102.15 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 114.64

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+13.5/-108
44% DAL
-13.5/-112
56% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+575
4% DAL
-850
96% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

222.0/-108
12% UN
222.0/-112
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
44
Games
43
42.0
FG
36.7
88.1
FGA
85.5
.477
FG%
.429
13.0
3Pt-FG
12.4
35.3
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.367
3Pt%
.321
29.1
2Pt-FG
24.3
52.8
2Pt-FGA
47.0
.551
2Pt%
.517
18.1
FT
18.1
23.4
FTA
23.8
.774
FT%
.760
10.9
ORB
12.3
33.7
DRB
34.1
44.5
TRB
46.4
25.1
AST
24.0
8.3
STL
6.7
5.8
BLK
4.8
14.4
TOV
18.7
18.9
PF
17.8
115.1
PTS
103.9

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
44
Games
43
40.9
FG
43.5
90.4
FGA
91.9
.453
FG%
.473
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.1
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.360
3Pt%
.357
28.0
2Pt-FG
29.7
54.3
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.515
2Pt%
.558
17.0
FT
15.8
22.0
FTA
19.1
.774
FT%
.828
12.0
ORB
10.1
32.6
DRB
33.5
44.7
TRB
43.6
26.2
AST
26.1
8.5
STL
11.5
4.6
BLK
5.7
14.0
TOV
12.1
19.0
PF
20.4
111.9
PTS
116.6

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.550
eFG%
.501
12.7
TOV%
16.3
25.0
RB%
73.1
.206
FT/FGA
.212

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.525
eFG%
.548
12.3
TOV%
10.7
73.6
RB%
22.9
.188
FT/FGA
.172

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
44
Games
43
42.3
FG
36.8
88.7
FGA
85.8
.477
FG%
.429
13.0
3Pt-FG
12.4
35.6
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.367
3Pt%
.321
29.3
2Pt-FG
24.3
53.1
2Pt-FGA
47.1
.551
2Pt%
.517
18.3
FT
18.2
23.6
FTA
23.9
.774
FT%
.760
11.0
ORB
12.3
33.9
DRB
34.2
44.8
TRB
46.6
25.2
AST
24.1
8.3
STL
6.7
5.9
BLK
4.8
14.5
TOV
18.8
19.1
PF
17.9
115.9
PTS
104.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
44
Games
43
41.2
FG
43.6
90.9
FGA
92.1
.453
FG%
.473
13.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.3
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.360
3Pt%
.357
28.1
2Pt-FG
29.8
54.6
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.515
2Pt%
.558
17.1
FT
15.9
22.1
FTA
19.1
.774
FT%
.828
12.1
ORB
10.2
32.8
DRB
33.6
44.9
TRB
43.7
26.4
AST
26.1
8.6
STL
11.5
4.6
BLK
5.8
14.1
TOV
12.1
19.1
PF
20.5
112.6
PTS
116.9

DAL
Analytics
OKC
26
Pythag Wins
36
18
Pythag Losses
7
3.27
Margin Of Victory
12.72
115.9
O Rtg
116.9
112.6
D Rtg
104.1
99.1
Pace
99.7
.266
FTr
.208
.401
3PAr
.421
.585
TS%
.581

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+10.5 (-108)
-10.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
-10.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-112)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-108)
-11.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-113)
+11.0 (100)
-11.0 (-115)
+13.5 (+100)
-13.5 (-120)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+410
-550
+560
-813
+400
-535
+575
-850
+500
-700
+540
-770
+420
-560
+550
-770
+460
-650
+650
-1000
+425
-600
+550
-800
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.0 (-111)
222.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.0 (-112)
222.0 (-108)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
218.5 (-109)
218.5 (-112)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)

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