In the final game for both teams before the All-Star break, there will be a ton of star power on the floor when the Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets face off on Wednesday. Two-time reigning MVP Nikola Jokic will lead the Nuggets into a home game against the newly formed dynamic duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, in a game any basketball fan should be watching. In our NBA betting predictions for Wednesday, we take a closer look at Mavericks vs Nuggets.
Mavericks vs Nuggets Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Nuggets -7 |
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This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 15, 2023.
Why Bet the Nuggets:
✅ The defense of the Mavericks has struggled in the aftermath of their trade to bring in Kyrie Irving from Brooklyn. They were torched at home by the Minnesota Timberwolves last time out, and they are likely to struggle on defense again as they figure things out with their new-look roster.
✅ There are some illness concerns for the Mavericks heading into this game that are concerning. Christian Wood and Reggie Bullock are both questionable with non-COVID illnesses, which would make things even harder on them against Denver.
✅ Denver, by the way, is 26-4 at home this season. That is the best home record in the NBA, and that success at home will continue in this game against the Mavs.
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
Denver Nuggets
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| DAL | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Games | 12 |
| 43.6 | FG | 43.0 |
| 91.2 | FGA | 92.1 |
| .478 | FG% | .466 |
| 12.3 | 3Pt-FG | 13.6 |
| 36.1 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.8 |
| .341 | 3Pt% | .350 |
| 31.3 | 2Pt-FG | 29.4 |
| 55.1 | 2Pt-FGA | 53.3 |
| .569 | 2Pt% | .551 |
| 17.1 | FT | 15.2 |
| 22.1 | FTA | 19.3 |
| .773 | FT% | .790 |
| 11.5 | ORB | 11.4 |
| 33.5 | DRB | 32.4 |
| 45.0 | TRB | 43.8 |
| 25.6 | AST | 29.7 |
| 7.8 | STL | 8.1 |
| 5.0 | BLK | 6.5 |
| 13.3 | TOV | 14.4 |
| 21.6 | PF | 21.6 |
| 116.7 | PTS | 114.7 |
Defense/Offense
| DAL | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Games | 12 |
| 40.5 | FG | 41.5 |
| 89.9 | FGA | 88.9 |
| .450 | FG% | .467 |
| 12.9 | 3Pt-FG | 12.2 |
| 38.1 | 3Pt-FGA | 31.9 |
| .338 | 3Pt% | .384 |
| 27.6 | 2Pt-FG | 29.3 |
| 51.9 | 2Pt-FGA | 57.0 |
| .532 | 2Pt% | .514 |
| 18.9 | FT | 19.9 |
| 25.6 | FTA | 25.5 |
| .736 | FT% | .782 |
| 12.7 | ORB | 11.9 |
| 32.9 | DRB | 33.4 |
| 45.7 | TRB | 45.3 |
| 27.2 | AST | 29.5 |
| 7.5 | STL | 8.7 |
| 4.3 | BLK | 4.6 |
| 14.2 | TOV | 13.7 |
| 19.0 | PF | 18.1 |
| 112.7 | PTS | 115.3 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| DAL | Four Factors | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| .546 | eFG% | .540 |
| 11.7 | TOV% | 12.5 |
| 25.9 | RB% | 74.5 |
| .188 | FT/FGA | .165 |
Defense/Offense
| DAL | Four Factors | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| .522 | eFG% | .536 |
| 12.3 | TOV% | 12.1 |
| 72.4 | RB% | 26.9 |
| .210 | FT/FGA | .224 |
Analytics
| DAL | Analytics | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pythag Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Pythag Losses | 6 |
| 3.86 | Margin Of Victory | 0.58 |
| 116.7 | O Rtg | 115.3 |
| 112.7 | D Rtg | 114.7 |
| 98.1 | Pace | 99.0 |
| .243 | FTr | .287 |
| .396 | 3PAr | .358 |
| .578 | TS% | .576 |
Betting Trends
| DAL | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 123.67 | Avg Score | 111.67 |
| 123.67 | Avg Opp Score | 109.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 120 | Avg Score | 136 |
| 117 | Avg Opp Score | 112.33 |
| DAL | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 121 | Avg Score | 115.8 |
| 117.2 | Avg Opp Score | 113.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 119.4 | Avg Score | 125.8 |
| 116.2 | Avg Opp Score | 110.2 |
| DAL | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 113.9 | Avg Score | 118.1 |
| 111.9 | Avg Opp Score | 113.9 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 115.7 | Avg Score | 125.2 |
| 117.5 | Avg Opp Score | 110.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Dallas Mavericks
Last time out, the Dallas Mavericks fell at home to the Minnesota Timberwolves, despite a valiant comeback attempt in the fourth quarter. Kyrie Irving went nuclear in the final period of that game, cutting a Timberwolves lead from 26 points down to just three points by the end of the game. Here, the Mavs will look to avoid needing another comeback, as they will attempt to simply outperform the Nuggets from start to finish.
It is clear that the tandem of Irving and Doncic is still a little awkward early on. Both players are so ball dominant that whichever player is not the primary ball handler for a possession tends to stand around a bit. Expect that to get better over time, but that is a serious concern against a team playing as well as the Nuggets are.
Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets are the top team in the Western Conference as the All-Star break approaches. They owe a lot of that success to their incredible play at Ball Arena, as they are 26-4 on their home floor going into this game. Here, they will look to prey on a vulnerable Dallas defense to get yet another home win, and earn their third straight victory overall.
The Mavericks do not look as good defensively after the Irving trade as they did before it. Throw the fact that Christian Wood is questionable for this game on top of that, and the Nuggets could have a field day against the Mavericks, even with the star power on the Dallas roster being undeniable.
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