Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110) at Caesars sportsbook.
Pros
- Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game this year.
- The matchup against the Thunder is a strong one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (44.1%).
- The 9th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
- The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
- The Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Cons
- In contrast to last season’s 17.6 clip, Bradley Beal’s field goal attempts have decreased this season to 13.9 per game.
- Bradley Beal has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
- The Suns rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road in regard to 3-point attempts.
- Compared to last year’s 3.8 rate, Bradley Beal’s free throws drained have tailed off this year to 2.2 per game.
- Over the last 20 games, the opposition’s starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Thunder, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Prop Projection: Bradley Beal is projected for 17.6 Points
