Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Mar 14, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction – 3/14/2025


The Boston Celtics, boasting a record of 47-19, are set to clash with the Miami Heat, who currently sit at 29-36, on March 14, 2025. This matchup will take place at 7:00 PM ET in the Kaseya Center, the home arena for the Heat.

Despite being on the road, the Celtics enter as significant favorites, with a spread of Celtics -8.0. The Moneyline reflects this confidence, showing the Celtics at -320, while the Heat are listed at +270. According to the odds, the Celtics carry an implied win probability of 74%, compared to the Heat's 26%.

Recent performance highlights the Celtics' strength, as they have won 34 of their last 50 games. However, they are coming off a disappointing loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, falling 118-112. On the other hand, the Miami Heat are struggling, having lost five consecutive games, including a recent defeat against the LA Clippers, where they lost 119-104.

For bettors looking at player props, Jayson Tatum's Points and Rebounds market has gained traction, making it the most popular betting option for this game. The current line is set at Over 37.5 Points and Rebounds at -110, and sharp bettors are leaning toward the Over, believing it to be mispriced and offering value.


Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Boston Celtics 115.76 vs Miami Heat 103.53


Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Celtics74%85%
Heat26%15%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.0/-112
76% BOS
+8.0/-108
24% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-304
94% BOS
+250
6% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

212.0/-112
15% UN
212.0/-108
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
41.3
90.0
FGA
88.6
.462
FG%
.466
17.8
3Pt-FG
13.6
48.2
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.368
3Pt%
.360
23.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
41.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.571
2Pt%
.545
15.3
FT
13.9
19.1
FTA
17.9
.799
FT%
.776
11.4
ORB
10.7
33.9
DRB
33.9
45.3
TRB
44.7
26.1
AST
26.5
7.2
STL
7.5
5.5
BLK
4.7
11.9
TOV
13.8
15.9
PF
17.0
116.3
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
40.3
FG
40.5
89.4
FGA
87.0
.450
FG%
.465
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.1
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.347
3Pt%
.367
27.4
2Pt-FG
26.8
52.3
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.524
2Pt%
.538
13.8
FT
16.0
17.7
FTA
20.2
.777
FT%
.791
10.7
ORB
9.7
33.0
DRB
33.7
43.7
TRB
43.4
24.0
AST
26.4
6.9
STL
8.1
3.6
BLK
3.8
12.8
TOV
13.6
17.5
PF
15.5
107.2
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.561
eFG%
.543
10.8
TOV%
12.5
25.7
RB%
75.8
.169
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.522
eFG%
.544
11.6
TOV%
12.4
76.0
RB%
22.3
.154
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
43.2
FG
42.3
93.3
FGA
90.9
.462
FG%
.466
18.4
3Pt-FG
14.0
50.0
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.368
3Pt%
.360
24.7
2Pt-FG
28.3
43.3
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.571
2Pt%
.545
15.8
FT
14.3
19.8
FTA
18.4
.799
FT%
.776
11.8
ORB
11.0
35.2
DRB
34.8
47.0
TRB
45.8
27.1
AST
27.2
7.4
STL
7.7
5.7
BLK
4.8
12.3
TOV
14.2
16.5
PF
17.4
120.6
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
41.5
92.7
FGA
89.3
.450
FG%
.465
13.3
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.347
3Pt%
.367
28.4
2Pt-FG
27.5
54.2
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.524
2Pt%
.538
14.3
FT
16.4
18.3
FTA
20.7
.777
FT%
.791
11.1
ORB
10.0
34.2
DRB
34.5
45.3
TRB
44.5
24.9
AST
27.1
7.2
STL
8.4
3.7
BLK
3.9
13.3
TOV
13.9
18.2
PF
16.0
111.1
PTS
113.5

BOS
Analytics
MIA
62
Pythag Wins
42
20
Pythag Losses
40
9.11
Margin Of Victory
0.56
120.6
O Rtg
113.5
111.1
D Rtg
112.9
95.7
Pace
96.2
.212
FTr
.232
.536
3PAr
.429
.591
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-7.0 (-113)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.5 (-113)
+7.5 (-106)
-7.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-112)
+8.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-112)
+8.0 (-115)
-8.0 (-112)
+8.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-113)
+8.0 (-114)
-7.5 (-113)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.0 (-115)
+7.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-115)
+8.0 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-285
+230
-304
+250
-298
+240
-310
+250
-310
+250
-335
+270
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
212.0 (-109)
212.0 (-112)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
211.5 (-108)
211.5 (-112)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
212.0 (-110)
212.0 (-110)
214.5 (-109)
214.5 (-112)
212.0 (-109)
212.0 (-112)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
212.0 (+105)
212.0 (-125)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)

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