Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Mar 14, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction – 3/14/2025


The Boston Celtics, boasting a record of 47-19, are set to clash with the Miami Heat, who currently sit at 29-36, on March 14, 2025. This matchup will take place at 7:00 PM ET in the Kaseya Center, the home arena for the Heat.

Despite being on the road, the Celtics enter as significant favorites, with a spread of Celtics -8.0. The Moneyline reflects this confidence, showing the Celtics at -320, while the Heat are listed at +270. According to the odds, the Celtics carry an implied win probability of 74%, compared to the Heat's 26%.

Recent performance highlights the Celtics' strength, as they have won 34 of their last 50 games. However, they are coming off a disappointing loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, falling 118-112. On the other hand, the Miami Heat are struggling, having lost five consecutive games, including a recent defeat against the LA Clippers, where they lost 119-104.

For bettors looking at player props, Jayson Tatum's Points and Rebounds market has gained traction, making it the most popular betting option for this game. The current line is set at Over 37.5 Points and Rebounds at -110, and sharp bettors are leaning toward the Over, believing it to be mispriced and offering value.


Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Boston Celtics 115.76 vs Miami Heat 103.53


Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Celtics74%85%
Heat26%15%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.0/-108
79% BOS
Fanatics
+8.0/-112
21% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-325
92% BOS
DraftKings
+260
8% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-108
12% UN
BetMGM
213.0/-112
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
66
Games
65
41.6
FG
41.3
90.2
FGA
88.9
.461
FG%
.464
17.8
3Pt-FG
13.7
48.2
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.370
3Pt%
.357
23.8
2Pt-FG
27.6
42.0
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.566
2Pt%
.546
15.8
FT
14.3
19.7
FTA
18.3
.799
FT%
.782
11.1
ORB
10.8
33.8
DRB
34.3
44.9
TRB
45.1
25.8
AST
26.9
7.3
STL
7.4
5.6
BLK
4.7
11.9
TOV
13.5
16.3
PF
17.3
116.8
PTS
110.6

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
66
Games
65
40.7
FG
39.7
89.7
FGA
86.8
.453
FG%
.458
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.5
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.348
3Pt%
.361
27.9
2Pt-FG
25.9
53.2
2Pt-FGA
48.4
.525
2Pt%
.535
14.3
FT
16.6
18.2
FTA
20.9
.788
FT%
.792
10.6
ORB
9.5
33.6
DRB
34.0
44.2
TRB
43.5
24.0
AST
26.4
6.8
STL
7.9
3.8
BLK
3.7
13.0
TOV
13.6
18.1
PF
15.9
108.3
PTS
109.9

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.560
eFG%
.541
10.7
TOV%
12.2
24.9
RB%
75.9
.175
FT/FGA
.161

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.524
eFG%
.538
11.8
TOV%
12.4
76.2
RB%
21.7
.160
FT/FGA
.191

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
66
Games
65
42.8
FG
42.3
92.7
FGA
91.1
.461
FG%
.464
18.3
3Pt-FG
14.1
49.6
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.370
3Pt%
.357
24.4
2Pt-FG
28.2
43.2
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.566
2Pt%
.546
16.2
FT
14.6
20.3
FTA
18.7
.799
FT%
.782
11.4
ORB
11.0
34.8
DRB
35.2
46.2
TRB
46.2
26.5
AST
27.5
7.5
STL
7.6
5.8
BLK
4.8
12.2
TOV
13.9
16.8
PF
17.7
120.1
PTS
113.2

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
66
Games
65
41.8
FG
40.7
92.2
FGA
88.8
.453
FG%
.458
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.2
37.5
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.348
3Pt%
.361
28.7
2Pt-FG
26.5
54.7
2Pt-FGA
49.6
.525
2Pt%
.535
14.7
FT
17.0
18.7
FTA
21.4
.788
FT%
.792
10.9
ORB
9.8
34.5
DRB
34.8
45.4
TRB
44.5
24.7
AST
27.0
7.0
STL
8.1
3.9
BLK
3.8
13.4
TOV
13.9
18.6
PF
16.2
111.4
PTS
112.5

BOS
Analytics
MIA
49
Pythag Wins
31
17
Pythag Losses
34
8.48
Margin Of Victory
-0.72
120.1
O Rtg
112.5
111.4
D Rtg
113.2
96.5
Pace
96.3
.219
FTr
.241
.535
3PAr
.442
.591
TS%
.572

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-7.0 (-107)
+7.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-107)
+8.0 (-113)
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-108)
+8.0 (-112)
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-8.0 (-108)
+8.0 (-115)
-8.0 (-108)
+8.0 (-112)
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-8.0 (-109)
+8.0 (-114)
-8.0 (-109)
+8.0 (-112)
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-7.0 (-105)
+7.0 (-110)
-8.0 (-105)
+8.0 (-115)
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-285
+230
-308
+252
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-298
+240
-325
+260
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-310
+250
-310
+250
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-295
+240
-295
+240
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-305
+240
-335
+260
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-295
+230
-325
+260
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.0 (-111)
214.0 (-109)
DraftKings $150 Bonus
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
213.0 (-112)
213.0 (-108)
FanDuel $200 Bonus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
214.5 (-109)
214.5 (-112)
214.0 (-113)
214.0 (-108)
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-105)
214.5 (-115)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
BOS
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIA
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
0-3-0
1-2-0
ATS W/L/P
0-3-0
112.33
Avg Score
105
109
Avg Opp Score
112.67
4-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
0-5-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-3-0
117.6
Avg Score
105.2
110
Avg Opp Score
111.2
7-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-7-0
5-5-0
ATS W/L/P
6-4-0
114
Avg Score
108.6
109.9
Avg Opp Score
108.9
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
02/10/25
BOS
211.5
-324
18
MIA
8.5
+262
24
12/02/24
MIA
220.5
+330
25
BOS
-9.5
-421
28
05/01/24
MIA
201.5
+653
23
BOS
-13.5
-1000
41
04/29/24
BOS
204.5
-523
34
MIA
10.5
+395
24
04/27/24
BOS
205.0
-449
21
MIA
9.5
+343
12
04/24/24
MIA
205.5
+725
28
BOS
-14.5
-1193
27
04/21/24
MIA
210.5
+712
21
BOS
-14.5
-1152
26
02/11/24
BOS
224.0
-335
26
MIA
8.0
+249
22
01/25/24
BOS
225.0
-334
42
MIA
8.0
+265
29
10/27/23
MIA
217.5
+280
28
BOS
-8.5
-356
25

Boston Celtics

03/12/25
OKC
327.4
+182
47
BOS
-4.3
-216
43
03/10/25
UTA
312.8
+1059
33
BOS
-21.9
-1750
34
03/08/25
LAL
209.3
+181
31
BOS
-6.0
-216
31
03/06/25
PHI
274.9
+789
30
BOS
-17.1
-1179
44
03/05/25
POR
122.5
+171
14
BOS
-5.2
-218
17
03/02/25
DEN
267.2
+208
23
BOS
-6.2
-247
36
02/28/25
CLE
307.8
-137
34
BOS
-1.3
-152
50
02/26/25
BOS
221.0
-186
20
DET
4.3
+156
28
02/25/25
BOS
384.6
-978
59
TOR
18.7
+715
41
02/23/25
NY
92.6
+98
3
BOS
-3.0
-119
15

Miami Heat

03/12/25
LAC
295.9
+155
43
MIA
-2.9
-182
29
03/10/25
CHA
296.4
+433
29
MIA
-12.3
-553
46
03/08/25
CHI
209.3
+155
22
MIA
-5.1
-185
33
03/07/25
MIN
104.9
-76
16
MIA
0.8
+65
12
03/05/25
MIA
120.3
+321
18
CLE
-7.4
-481
20
03/03/25
WAS
75.1
+98
3
MIA
-2.9
-122
11
02/28/25
IND
294.6
-199
46
MIA
5.2
+167
38
02/26/25
ATL
225.4
+123
27
MIA
-2.9
-146
28
02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
MIA
88.4
+60
15
MIL
-1.8
-72
4

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