On Saturday, March 29, 2025, the UFC returns to Mexico City with an exciting strawweight bout between Mexico’s own Loopy Godinez and Brazil’s Julia Polastri. This matchup promises to be a thrilling contest, with both fighters eager to make a significant impact in the division. Here, we break down Loopy Godinez vs Julia Polastri and make our prediction for this preliminary card matchup.
Loopy Godinez vs Julia Polastri Preview
Loopy Godinez enters the octagon with a professional record of 12 wins and 5 losses. Known for her relentless pace and grappling prowess, Godinez has secured multiple victories through her dominant ground game. However, she is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Mackenzie Dern on August 3, 2024, in Abu Dhabi, marking her second consecutive defeat. This upcoming fight presents an opportunity for Godinez to rebound and showcase her resilience in front of a home crowd in Mexico City.
Julia Polastri, on the other hand, has been making waves in the strawweight division. She is coming off a split decision victory over Cory McKenna, demonstrating her ability to edge out close contests. Polastri’s striking accuracy and defensive skills have been notable, and she will aim to leverage these attributes against the aggressive style of Godinez. However, facing a seasoned opponent like Godinez in a high-altitude environment poses a significant test for the Brazilian fighter.
Betting Insights
As the fight approaches, betting odds have been established, reflecting the anticipated competitiveness of the bout. According to recent lines from Sportzino, Loopy Godinez is favored with odds of -234, indicating that a bettor would need to wager $234 to win $100 on Godinez. Conversely, Julia Polastri is the underdog, with odds of +185, meaning a $100 bet on Polastri would yield a profit of $185 if she secures the victory.
For those interested in over/under bets, the total rounds line is set at 2.5 rounds, with the over heavily favored at -567. This suggests that oddsmakers anticipate the fight going the distance, aligning with both fighters’ histories of engaging in full-length bouts.
Loopy Godinez vs Julia Polastri Prediction
Loopy Godinez (-234) over Julia Polastri
220K Gold Coins & 10 FREE Sweeps Coins
- Godinez is fighting on home soil here and should be better equipped to handle the conditions in Mexico City.
- Godinez will be desperate to snap a two-fight losing streak and should get the job done against an inexperienced member of the UFC roster.
Analyzing the matchup, several factors come into play. Godinez’s grappling expertise and experience against high-caliber opponents provide her with a solid foundation. Fighting in Mexico City, she may also benefit from the support of the local crowd and familiarity with the high-altitude conditions, which can impact cardiovascular performance.
Polastri’s recent success and striking capabilities cannot be overlooked. Her ability to manage distance and counter-strike effectively could pose challenges for Godinez, especially if she can thwart takedown attempts and keep the fight standing. However, the step up in competition and the environmental factors present hurdles that Polastri will need to overcome.
Considering the available information, the prediction leans towards Loopy Godinez securing a victory, likely via decision. Her grappling acumen, combined with the advantages of fighting on home soil, positions her favorably in this contest. Bettors might find value in wagering on Godinez to win by decision, aligning with the expectation of a full-length, hard-fought battle.
