On Saturday, May 10, 2025, the UFC welterweight division will feature a title bout as reigning champion Belal Muhammad faces off against Australian contender Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 315 in Montreal, Canada. This matchup presents a contrast in fighting styles, with Muhammad’s grappling and endurance pitted against Della Maddalena’s striking prowess and finishing ability. Here, we break down Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena and make our pick for the UFC 315 main event.
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Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena Preview
Belal Muhammad enters this fight on a six-year undefeated streak, having secured the welterweight title with a decisive victory over Leon Edwards in July of 2024. Known for his relentless pace, wrestling acumen, and strategic striking, Muhammad has consistently outperformed opponents through calculated game plans and superior conditioning.
Jack Della Maddalena, ranked No. 5 in the welterweight division, steps into the title picture following an injury to Shavkat Rakhmonov. Della Maddalena boasts an impressive winning streak dating back to 2016, including seven consecutive UFC victories. His knockout win in his last fight over Gilbert Burns in March of 2024 showcased his ability to neutralize grappling threats and deliver powerful finishes.
While this matchup is being framed as a striker versus grappler clash, Della Maddalena contends that he is a more well-rounded mixed martial artist. He acknowledges Muhammad’s strengths but believes he can outperform him both standing and on the ground. Della Maddalena’s strategy focuses on stopping takedowns and capitalizing on striking opportunities to secure a knockout victory.
Betting Insights
As of May 6, 2025, the betting odds for this welterweight title bout at Sportzino are as follows:
- Belal Muhammad: -220 (favorite)
- Jack Della Maddalena: +175 (underdog)
These odds reflect the competitive nature of the matchup, with Muhammad’s experience and championship pedigree giving him an edge. Bettors should consider the following factors:
- Fight Duration: Muhammad’s tendency to go the distance may favor bets on the fight reaching the later rounds or ending in a decision.
- Finishing Ability: Della Maddalena’s knockout power presents value in bets on an early finish or a win by KO/TKO.
- Stylistic Matchup: The clash of styles could lead to a dynamic fight, influencing bets on total rounds and method of victory.
Before this fight begins in Canada, be sure to check out our Sportzino sportsbook review. Find out what we think of this up-and-coming social sportsbook and claim your bonus there to bet on this welterweight championship matchup.
Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena Prediction
Belal Muhammad (-220) over Jack Della Maddalena
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- Muhammad has more experience in big five-round fights, which should benefit him here.
- Muhammad’s ability to control this fight from the ground should give him the ultimate edge.
This title fight presents a compelling scenario where each fighter’s strengths directly challenge the other’s. Muhammad’s grappling and cardio are likely to test Della Maddalena’s takedown defense and endurance. If Muhammad can implement his wrestling effectively, he may control the pace and direction of the fight, leading to a decision victory.
Conversely, Della Maddalena’s striking accuracy and power pose a significant threat, especially if he can keep the fight standing. His ability to finish opponents could capitalize on any lapses in Muhammad’s defense, potentially leading to a knockout.
Considering the fighters’ recent performances and skill sets, my prediction leans toward Belal Muhammad retaining his title through a unanimous decision. His experience in five-round fights and strategic approach may allow him to neutralize Della Maddalena’s striking and control the bout’s tempo.
