Yariel Rodriguez MLB projections and prop bets for Miami Marlins at Toronto Blue Jays on Sep 28, 2024
Yariel Rodriguez Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: 110
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine, Jake Burger, Connor Norby).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a good pitch framer.
The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Yariel Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yariel Rodriguez is projected to throw 79 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of all pitchers on the slate.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (David Arrieta) behind the plate today.
Yariel Rodriguez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2292 rpm) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (2364 rpm).
Projection For Yariel Rodriguez Strikeouts Prop Bet
Yariel Rodriguez is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
Yariel Rodriguez Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -180
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (David Arrieta) behind the plate today.
In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.
Yariel Rodriguez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2292 rpm) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (2364 rpm).
Yariel Rodriguez has recorded a 1.96 K/BB rate this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The 5th-worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Miami Marlins.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a good pitch framer.
Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) in the league.
The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team in action today.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Yariel Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Projection For Yariel Rodriguez Earned Runs Prop Bet
Yariel Rodriguez is projected to have 1.9 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
