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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -172

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 132

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyren Paris, Jo Adell, Logan O'Hoppe).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 5th-best park in MLB for strikeouts.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 70.5% of the time, placing in the 97th percentile.

Given the 1.4 difference between Tomoyuki Sugano's 4.85 K/9 and his 6.25 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyuki Sugano in the 4th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°.

Because of his reverse platoon split, Tomoyuki Sugano will have a disadvantage being matched up with 6 batters in the projected offense of the same handedness in today's game.

Tomoyuki Sugano will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

In his previous start, Tomoyuki Sugano wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 3.9 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tomoyuki Sugano in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Angels offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for home runs.

In the majors, Angel Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Tomoyuki Sugano is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #6 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.

Tomoyuki Sugano turned in a great performance in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 70.5% of the time, placing in the 97th percentile.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 3.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -135

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tomoyuki Sugano is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #6 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.

Tomoyuki Sugano turned in a great performance in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 70.5% of the time, placing in the 97th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tomoyuki Sugano in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Angels offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for home runs.

In the majors, Angel Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 83°.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 15.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Tomoyuki Sugano Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (104)
un 5.5 (-143)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-150)
-
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-155)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-137)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-120)
un 2.5 (-114)
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-130)
-
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-110)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-109)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-134)
un 16.5 (-103)
ov 16.5 (-125)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-128)
un 16.5 (-104)
ov 16.5 (-130)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-142)
un 16.5 (104)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-159)
un 3.5 (120)
ov 3.5 (-170)
un 3.5 (130)
ov 3.5 (-158)
un 3.5 (124)
ov 3.5 (-150)
un 3.5 (115)
ov 3.5 (-166)
un 3.5 (120)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (125)
un 1.5 (-175)
ov 1.5 (125)
un 1.5 (-175)
-
-
ov 1.5 (126)
un 1.5 (-174)

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