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Tomoyuki Sugano

Baltimore Orioles

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New York Yankees

07:05 PM

Jun 20, 2025

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Baltimore Orioles

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 3.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 3.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Tomoyuki Sugano's overall pitching skill ranks in the 20th percentile out of all starters in baseball currently.

The New York Yankees projected offense ranks as the 3rd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fences among all parks.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate at 82°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the New York Yankees offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #29 venue in MLB for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the majors, Yankee Stadium's CF fences are the 6th-deepest.

Tomoyuki Sugano is an extreme groundball pitcher (43% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #6 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today's game.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 3.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -128

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -104

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tallying 17.1 outs per outing this year on average, Tomoyuki Sugano falls in the 77th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the New York Yankees offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #29 venue in MLB for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the majors, Yankee Stadium's CF fences are the 6th-deepest.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Tomoyuki Sugano's overall pitching skill ranks in the 20th percentile out of all starters in baseball currently.

The New York Yankees projected offense ranks as the 3rd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fences among all parks.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate at 82°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 15 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -113

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The New York Yankees (25.8% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-most strikeout-prone team of batters of the day.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has relied on his secondary offerings a lot this year: 70.8% of the time, placing in the 97th percentile.

Tomoyuki Sugano has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 5.18 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.02 — a 0.85 K/9 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tomoyuki Sugano in the 3rd percentile among all starters in the league.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #22 venue in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate at 82°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Considering that flyball batters hold a substantial edge over groundball pitchers, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 43% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position today being matched up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Tomoyuki Sugano Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-155)
un 5.5 (112)
ov 5.5 (-140)
un 5.5 (100)
-
ov 5.5 (-165)
un 5.5 (115)
ov 5.5 (-154)
un 5.5 (112)
ov 5.5 (-160)
un 5.5 (120)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 3.5 (-104)
un 3.5 (-130)
ov 3.5 (-105)
un 3.5 (-120)
-
ov 3.5 (-110)
un 3.5 (-130)
ov 3.5 (-106)
un 3.5 (-129)
ov 3.5 (-105)
un 3.5 (-125)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-103)
un 16.5 (-134)
ov 15.5 (-125)
un 15.5 (-105)
ov 15.5 (-128)
un 15.5 (-104)
ov 16.5 (-105)
un 16.5 (-140)
ov 16.5 (104)
un 16.5 (-142)
ov 16.5 (-105)
un 16.5 (-125)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-118)
un 3.5 (-113)
ov 3.5 (-120)
un 3.5 (-110)
ov 3.5 (-113)
un 3.5 (-113)
ov 3.5 (-105)
un 3.5 (-120)
ov 3.5 (-121)
un 3.5 (-113)
ov 3.5 (-115)
un 3.5 (-115)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-118)
un 1.5 (-119)
ov 1.5 (-115)
un 1.5 (-125)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-121)
un 1.5 (-113)
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