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Tomoyuki Sugano

Baltimore Orioles

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Baltimore Orioles

06:35 PM

May 27, 2025

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St. Louis Cardinals

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyuki Sugano in the 18th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 3rd-best venue in the majors for home runs.

The shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Tomoyuki Sugano (42.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in St. Louis's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) behind the plate in this game.

Tomoyuki Sugano is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #3 HR venue among all parks — in today's game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Tomoyuki Sugano will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tomoyuki Sugano has tallied 17.6 outs per game per started this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) behind the plate in this game.

Tomoyuki Sugano is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #3 HR venue among all parks — in today's game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyuki Sugano in the 18th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 3rd-best venue in the majors for home runs.

The shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Tomoyuki Sugano (42.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in St. Louis's projected lineup.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) behind the plate in this game.

Tomoyuki Sugano will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Tomoyuki Sugano's high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (71.2% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Considering the 1.24 difference between Tomoyuki Sugano's 4.91 K/9 and his 6.15 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see better results in future games.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tomoyuki Sugano in the 4th percentile among all SPs in the league.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 20.5% underlying K%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Tomoyuki Sugano (42.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in St. Louis's projected lineup.

Tomoyuki Sugano struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and notched 1 Ks.

Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Tomoyuki Sugano Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-134)
un 5.5 (-104)
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (-105)
-
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (-105)
ov 5.5 (-142)
un 5.5 (104)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-101)
un 2.5 (-136)
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-140)
-
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-140)
ov 2.5 (-106)
un 2.5 (-129)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-120)
un 17.5 (-110)
ov 17.5 (-120)
un 17.5 (-110)
ov 17.5 (-120)
un 17.5 (-110)
ov 17.5 (-130)
un 17.5 (-110)
ov 17.5 (-117)
un 17.5 (-117)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-117)
un 3.5 (-113)
ov 3.5 (-130)
un 3.5 (100)
ov 3.5 (-110)
un 3.5 (-116)
ov 3.5 (-118)
un 3.5 (-110)
ov 3.5 (-106)
un 3.5 (-129)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (125)
un 1.5 (-175)
ov 1.5 (135)
un 1.5 (-190)
-
-
ov 1.5 (116)
un 1.5 (-160)

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