St. Louis Cardinals
01:15 PM
ATS Picks on April 16, 2025
Read Projection
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 1.5 over: -130
Earned Runs 1.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Steven Matz's overall pitching ability grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game right now.
The Houston Astros have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Ramon De Jesus) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
In the league, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
Out of all starting pitchers, Steven Matz's fastball spin rate of 2000 rpm is in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst ballpark in MLB for home runs.
Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest right field fences among all stadiums.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-driest conditions of all games on the slate at 31%.
Due to his reverse platoon split, Steven Matz will hold the advantage squaring off against 9 hitters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in today's game.
Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Steven Matz is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.
Read Less
Read Projection
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 2.5 over: -175
Strikeouts 2.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-driest conditions of all games on the slate at 31%.
Due to his reverse platoon split, Steven Matz will hold the advantage squaring off against 9 hitters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in today's game.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Steven Matz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Steven Matz has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 6.27 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.05 — a 0.78 K/9 discrepancy.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Steven Matz in the 16th percentile among all SPs in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Steven Matz to be limited in today's game, projecting a maximum of 65 pitches.
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Ramon De Jesus) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 5th-worst ballpark in the league for strikeouts.
Out of all starting pitchers, Steven Matz's fastball spin rate of 2000 rpm is in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
Steven Matz is projected to have 2.8 Strikeouts in today's game.
Read Less
Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 3.5 (-155) | ov 3.5 (-150) | - | ov 3.5 (-155) | ov 3.5 (-166) | - |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 1.5 (-131) | ov 1.5 (-125) | - | ov 1.5 (-130) | - | - |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 2.5 (-160) | ov 2.5 (-170) | ov 2.5 (-154) | ov 2.5 (-150) | ov 2.5 (-166) | ov 2.5 (-150) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (131) | ov 1.5 (130) | - | - | ov 1.5 (133) | - |
.webp%3F2026-09-29T00%253A53%253A03.959Z&w=3840&q=75&dpl=64903997460438a016fe2d327f196dc1c00410aa)
