Toronto Blue Jays
07:07 PM
ATS Picks on June 20, 2025
Read Projection
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 1.5 over: -125
Earned Runs 1.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 4th-best venue in the majors for home runs.
In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.
Spencer Turnbull's 91.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Spencer Turnbull has been lucky since the start of last season, putting up a 2.61 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.84 — a 2.23 deviation.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The 2nd-worst projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Chicago White Sox.
In the league, the 8th-tallest average fence height are at Rogers Centre.
Spencer Turnbull is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Rogers Centre — the #4 HR venue in the majors — in today's game.
The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.
Considering that flyball pitchers hold a big advantage over flyball batters, Spencer Turnbull and his 45.3% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this game squaring off against 2 opposing FB batters.
Spencer Turnbull is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.
Read Less
Read Projection
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 4.5 over: 110
Strikeouts 4.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Chicago White Sox have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Teel, Luis Robert Jr., Ryan Noda, Austin Slater).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Considering that flyball pitchers hold a big advantage over flyball batters, Spencer Turnbull and his 45.3% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this game squaring off against 2 opposing FB batters.
Spencer Turnbull will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Spencer Turnbull's 2498.7-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 93rd percentile among all starters.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Turnbull in the 23rd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Spencer Turnbull to have a pitch count in today's game, projecting a maximum of 80 pitches.
Spencer Turnbull's 91.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Given the 2.01 difference between Spencer Turnbull's 9.21 K/9 and his 7.20 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.
Spencer Turnbull is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in today's game.
Read Less
.webp%3F2026-09-29T00%253A53%253A03.959Z&w=3840&q=75&dpl=719159949790e6294f7218bc6a8227cf8d5d2071)
