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  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -145

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Sonny Gray's overall pitching skill is in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

Bill Miller projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in baseball for base hits.

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions of all games today at 22%.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Sonny Gray has averaged 83.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

The New York Mets projected lineup grades out as the 5th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Citi Field.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sonny Gray in today's matchup.

Sonny Gray's sinker utilization has jumped by 6% from last year to this one (17.8% to 23.8%) .

Sonny Gray is projected to have 16 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 128

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -164

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When estimating his strikeout ability, Sonny Gray projects as the 13th-best starter in MLB currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bill Miller projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.

Citi Field profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions of all games today at 22%.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Sonny Gray has averaged 83.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sonny Gray in today's matchup.

Sonny Gray's sinker utilization has jumped by 6% from last year to this one (17.8% to 23.8%) .

Considering the 0.44 gap between Sonny Gray's 10.74 K/9 and his 10.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression the rest of the season.

Sonny Gray is projected to have 6.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -165

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The New York Mets projected lineup grades out as the 5th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Citi Field.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sonny Gray in today's matchup.

Sonny Gray's sinker utilization has jumped by 6% from last year to this one (17.8% to 23.8%) .

Sonny Gray has put up a .208 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Sonny Gray's overall pitching skill is in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

Bill Miller projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in baseball for base hits.

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions of all games today at 22%.

Sonny Gray is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Sonny Gray Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-101)
un 4.5 (-138)
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-135)
-
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-137)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-162)
un 1.5 (118)
ov 1.5 (-165)
un 1.5 (120)
-
ov 1.5 (-165)
un 1.5 (120)
ov 1.5 (-166)
un 1.5 (120)
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (105)
-
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-148)
un 17.5 (108)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (116)
un 6.5 (-155)
ov 6.5 (110)
un 6.5 (-145)
ov 6.5 (128)
un 6.5 (-164)
ov 6.5 (115)
un 6.5 (-150)
ov 6.5 (112)
un 6.5 (-154)
ov 6.5 (120)
un 6.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-197)
un 1.5 (141)
ov 1.5 (-195)
un 1.5 (140)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-199)
un 1.5 (143)
-

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