Shane Smith Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -105

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Miami Marlins projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Roberto Ortiz profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today's game.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 52°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #7 HR venue in the league — in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane Smith is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.

Shane Smith has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.41 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.45 — a 2.04 disparity.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Miami Marlins has been 117.4 mph this year, ranking them as the #4 offense in Major League Baseball by this stat.

Shane Smith is projected to have 16.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -152

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dane Myers, Kyle Stowers, Connor Norby).

Roberto Ortiz profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today's game.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 52°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Because flyball pitchers have a big advantage over flyball bats, Shane Smith and his 43.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's matchup matching up with 5 opposing FB bats.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Shane Smith will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane Smith is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

Shane Smith is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.

Shane Smith has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.41 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.45 — a 2.04 disparity.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Miami Marlins has been 117.4 mph this year, ranking them as the #4 offense in Major League Baseball by this stat.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Miami Marlins projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Roberto Ortiz profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today's game.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 52°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #7 HR venue in the league — in today's game.

Shane Smith is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.