New York Yankees
07:05 PM
ATS Picks on June 18, 2025
Read Projection
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 4.5 over: 100
Strikeouts 4.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Los Angeles Angels have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Trout, Logan O'Hoppe, Jo Adell, Scott Kingery).
Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
Given that flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Ryan Yarbrough (37.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected lineup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Yarbrough will hold that advantage in today's game.
Ryan Yarbrough's high usage rate of his secondary pitches (67.1% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Yarbrough to throw 84 pitches in today's game (2nd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Ben May projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for strikeouts.
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
As a result of his large platoon split, Ryan Yarbrough meets a tough challenge being matched up with 8 bats in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today's game.
Ryan Yarbrough is projected to have 4 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Read Projection
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -170
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The Los Angeles Angels have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season
Ben May projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fences in the majors.
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
As a result of his large platoon split, Ryan Yarbrough meets a tough challenge being matched up with 8 bats in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for BABIP.
Yankee Stadium has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks.
Given that flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Ryan Yarbrough (37.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected lineup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Yarbrough will hold that advantage in today's game.
Ryan Yarbrough performed well in his previous game started and gave up 1 ER.
Ryan Yarbrough is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-153) | ov 4.5 (-160) | - | ov 4.5 (-160) | ov 4.5 (-145) | ov 4.5 (-140) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (111) | ov 2.5 (130) | - | ov 2.5 (105) | ov 2.5 (105) | ov 2.5 (105) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 4.5 (102) | ov 4.5 (100) | ov 4.5 (114) | ov 4.5 (100) | ov 4.5 (105) | ov 4.5 (105) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (162) | ov 1.5 (160) | - | - | ov 1.5 (165) | - |
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