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Ryan Gusto

Houston Astros

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Houston Astros

08:10 PM

May 12, 2025

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Kansas City Royals

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Kansas City Royals have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #7 ballpark in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all parks.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The Houston Astros outfield defense profiles as the 13th-worst among every team today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest average fence height among all major league parks.

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Ryan Gusto (37.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Gusto will hold that advantage today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Ryan Gusto's fastball spin rate of 2437 rpm is in the 88th percentile this year.

Ryan Gusto has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play this year with a .320 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Ryan Gusto is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -172

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 132

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 field in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Ryan Gusto (37.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Gusto will hold that advantage today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Ryan Gusto's fastball spin rate of 2437 rpm is in the 88th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Gusto is projected to throw 77 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.

The Kansas City Royals (20.4 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of the day.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Ryan Gusto is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -182

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 140

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest average fence height among all major league parks.

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Ryan Gusto (37.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Gusto will hold that advantage today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Ryan Gusto's fastball spin rate of 2437 rpm is in the 88th percentile this year.

Ryan Gusto has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play this year with a .320 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Gusto is projected to throw 77 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.

The Kansas City Royals have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #7 ballpark in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all parks.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Ryan Gusto is projected to have 14.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Ryan Gusto Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-123)
un 4.5 (-113)
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-110)
-
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-121)
un 4.5 (-113)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
-
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-160)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 14.5 (-185)
un 14.5 (133)
ov 14.5 (-180)
un 14.5 (135)
ov 14.5 (-188)
un 14.5 (134)
ov 14.5 (-185)
un 14.5 (130)
ov 14.5 (-194)
un 14.5 (139)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-158)
un 3.5 (119)
ov 3.5 (-160)
un 3.5 (125)
ov 3.5 (-154)
un 3.5 (120)
ov 3.5 (-165)
un 3.5 (125)
ov 3.5 (-160)
un 3.5 (116)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (145)
un 1.5 (-204)
ov 1.5 (145)
un 1.5 (-205)
-
-
ov 1.5 (146)
un 1.5 (-204)

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